Expert NBA Basketball Picks

Merry Pickmas! Here are tonight’s best bets…

December 25, 2017

Tonight’s Free NBA Tips

*Original NBA betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

The original expert NBA picks for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

Confidence is out of 1-5 stars

Tonight’s Parlay

Washington @ Boston – Boston ML

Cleveland @ Golden State – Cavaliers +4.5

Houston @ Oklahoma City – Houston ML

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Tonight’s NBA Picks

Philadelphia @ New York

H2H Trends –

Philadelphia are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Philadelphia are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in New York.

Stats Edge –

PHI	EDGE IN:	NY

	Points/Game
	Field Goal %
	Free Throw %
	Defense
	Rebounding
	Turnovers
	Bench

Win/Loss

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
Philadelphia	14	18	7-9	7-9
New York	17	15	15-5	2-10

Season Points +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF
Philadelphia	107.9	109.2	-1.2
New York	104.2	103.5	+0.6

Picks against the spread

Spread	O/U Points	Result
Philadelphia	Over	Philadelphia
+3.0	209.0	105-98

The Knicks are 15-5 at home and 2-10 on the road, so at this stage, home wins are all they have, and with a road trip on the way this one is valuable.

The 76ers have lost 5 straight but we’ll take them at the line tonight as underdogs.

Best Bet = Philadelphia ML

Cleveland @ Golden State

H2H Trends –

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings in Golden State.

Stats Edge –

CLE	EDGE IN:	GS

	Points/Game
	Field Goal %
	Free Throw %
	Defense
	Rebounding
	Turnovers
	Bench

Win/Loss

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
Cleveland	24	9	14-4	10-5
Golden State	26	7	12-4	14-3

Season Points +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF
Cleveland	111.3	107.6	+3.8
Golden State	115.0	105.0	+10.0

Picks against the spread

Spread	O/U Points	Result
Cavaliers	Over	Golden State
+4.5	217.5	99-92

The Cavaliers have won eight of their last ten games (twelve straight wins at home) and are currently 1.5 games behind Boston for the top spot in the East.

The Warriors have won 12 of their 16 home games this season and are behind Houston for first place in the Western Conference by %.

Both rank in the top 3 in offensive efficiency, so the over is worth a look, with the Cavs at the +4.5.

Best Bet = Cavaliers +4.5

Washington @ Boston

H2H Trends –

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.
Washington are 0-9 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Boston.
Washington are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings

Stats Edge –

WAS	EDGE IN:	BOS

	Points/Game
	Field Goal %
	Free Throw %
	Defense
	Rebounding
	Turnovers
	Bench

Win/Loss

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
Washington	18	15	10-6	8-9
Boston	27	9	14-4	13-5

Season Points +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF
Washington	105.7	103.6	+2.1
Boston	103.5	98.2	+5.3

Picks against the spread

Spread	O/U Points	Result
Boston	Over	Washington
-5.0	206.0	111-103

The Celtics for us tonight ATL.

Boston rank 1st in defensive efficiency and Washington rank 9th, so the under is a nice take.

Best Bet = Boston ML

Houston @ Oklahoma City

H2H Trends –

Houston are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.
Houston are 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings.

Stats Edge –

HOU	EDGE IN:	OKC

	Points/Game
	Field Goal %
	Free Throw %
	Defense
	Rebounding
	Turnovers
	Bench

Win/Loss

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
Houston	25	6	13-5	12-1
OKC	18	15	12-4	6-11

Season Points +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF
Houston	115.4	105.4	+10.0
OKC	102.6	99.8	+2.9

Picks against the spread

Spread	O/U Points	Result
Houston	Under	OKC
-2.5	216.5	112-107

The Rockets finally hit a sour patch dropping the last two after winning 14 in a row.

Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, and despite CP3 questionable with an adductor strain, we’ll take them tonight. Zero faith in the Thunder at this point.

Best Bet = Houston ML