Tonight’s NBA Computer Picks – Wed, 20th March

nba ai generated picks

We take hundreds of lines of statistics and trends from the top sites that offer NBA matchups statistical analysis, and tun these stats through AI, at which point the AI will predict the most likely outcome of the games given the huge number of statistics fed through the AI betting computer.

If you’re interested to see how these NBA computer picks go, we’ll be updating daily a Win/Loss table – so that we can all see just how good AI generated NBA picks are.


*These computer betting picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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AI COMPUTER PICKS RECORD

ATS RECORD TOTAL PTS PROPS
W L W L
18 15 15 17
  • BEST BETS: 11-9

Best ROI Bet Tonight

Oklahoma City Cover 3rd Quarter Spread – The Oklahoma City Thunder covering the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+16.45 Units / 59% ROI) appears to be the most likely to win. This stat not only showcases a high return on investment but also reflects a strong pattern of performance specifically in the third quarter for home games. The 59% ROI is notably high, indicating a high likelihood of profit.


MIAMI @ CLEVELAND

Over/Under Prediction: Under 206.5 Total Points

  • The Heat’s strong trend towards games going Under, evidenced by 52 of their last 77 games hitting the Under, including the last 7 games, suggests a continuation of this pattern. With a significant ROI of 29% on Unders for Miami, the defensive performances of both teams are likely contributing factors. The Heat hitting the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 38 games further supports the likelihood of a low-scoring affair.

ATS Prediction: Miami +2.5

  • With the Cavs failing to cover their last 8 games following a win and the road team’s success in 4 of the last 5 matchups between these teams, there’s an indication that Miami might cover the ATS. The Heat’s positive Moneyline trend in away games, winning 27 of their last 49 with a 43% ROI, also suggests their competitiveness on the road.

Best Pick: Under 206.5 Total Points

  • Backing the Under is the stronger position here, bolstered by Miami’s consistent performance in games going Under and the recent trends of both teams that indicate defensive battles. The statistical evidence, particularly Miami’s significant success rate in hitting the Under in recent games and their performance in 4Q Game Totals, makes the Under bet more convincing.

Best ROI Bet: Under 206.5 Total Points

  • The Miami Heat hitting the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 77 games (+24.50 Units / 29% ROI) stands out as the most likely to win. This statistic not only shows a strong trend towards games involving the Heat not reaching high total points but also comes with a significant return on investment.

INDIANA @ DETROIT

Over/Under Prediction: Under 235.5 Total Points

  • Both teams have a strong trend towards games going Under, with the Pistons seeing their last five games and the Pacers 18 of their last 22 away games hitting the Under. The Pistons’ struggle to score, as evidenced by their frequent losses in the first half, supports a game with lower total points.

ATS Prediction: Indiana -9.5

  • The Pacers’ ability to cover the line, especially after a home loss, combined with the Pistons’ dismal record against teams with a winning record, suggests that the Pacers are likely to cover. The Pacers covering the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 37 away games further supports their capability to cover in this matchup.

Best Pick: Under 235.5 Total Points

  • The more compelling evidence points towards the Under bet as the stronger choice. The statistical backing, including the Pacers’ success in hitting the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 away games and both teams’ recent trends towards lower-scoring games, makes the Under a more reliable prediction.

Best ROI Bet: Under 235.5 Total Points

  • The Indiana Pacers hitting the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 away games (+13.60 Units / 56% ROI) stands out as the most likely to win. This statistic not only demonstrates a high return on investment but also a significant consistency in away games for the Pacers, indicating a strong trend towards lower scoring games when they are on the road.

MILWAUKEE @ BOSTON

Over/Under Prediction: Under 224.5 Total Points

  • The Bucks’ consistent trend of games going Under against Eastern opponents, with 25 of their last 37 games hitting the Under, supports a likely Under outcome for this matchup. Additionally, the Bucks’ defensive performance on the road contributes to lower-scoring games, reinforced by their last 8 games against Eastern opponents going Under.

ATS Prediction: Boston -10.5

  • Given the Celtics’ strong record of winning and covering the spread in their last 22 home games against Eastern opponents, coupled with their recent form of covering the last 6 games, Boston appears well-positioned to cover the ATS against the Bucks.

Best Pick: Under 224.5 Total Points

  • With the stronger trend leaning towards the Under, particularly highlighted by the Bucks’ recent games against Eastern teams and their away game performances, the Under bet emerges as the more compelling pick. The Bucks’ effectiveness in limiting point totals, as shown by hitting the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games supports the Under as the best bet for this game.

Best ROI Bet: 1st Half Over Total Points

  • The Milwaukee Bucks hitting the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+10.90 Units / 11% ROI) appears to be the most consistently successful bet among these statistics. This specific trend not only showcases a solid return on investment but also indicates a relatively high frequency of occurrence, suggesting that the Bucks tend to score well in the first half of games, making the 1H Game Total Over a likely successful bet based on these patterns.

SACRAMENTO @ TORONTO

Over/Under Prediction: Under 231.5 Total Points

  • Given that 12 of the Raptors’ last 15 home games have gone Under, and considering the Kings’ tendency towards lower-scoring games in away settings, as evidenced by hitting the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games, there’s a strong trend suggesting an Under outcome for this matchup.

ATS Prediction: Toronto +10.5

  • The Kings’ struggle to cover as favorites following a win, failing in their last 7 attempts, coupled with the Raptors’ urgent need to break a losing streak against Western opponents, positions Toronto favorably to cover the ATS. The Raptors’ history of strong defensive play at home supports this pick.

Best Pick: Under 231.5 Total Points

  • The compelling evidence leans towards the Under, with both teams showing trends that contribute to lower-scoring games, especially in Toronto’s home setting and the Kings’ away games. The Raptors’ home game trend of 12 Unders in their last 15 games, combined with the Kings’ 24 Unders in their last 40 away games, makes the Under bet the best.

Best ROI Bet: Sacramento To Lead At The Half

  • The Sacramento Kings hitting the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI) appears to be the most likely to win of these statistics. This trend not only shows a high return on investment but also a high percentage of occurrences in recent games. The 41% ROI is particularly impressive, indicating strong performance in the first half of games, especially in the context of recent performances.

UTAH @ OKLAHOMA CITY

Over/Under Prediction: Over 231.5 Total Points

  • Given the recent history between the Jazz and Thunder, with 5 of their last 6 matchups going Over, and considering the Jazz’s trend of hitting the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games, there’s a compelling trend suggesting an Over outcome for this game.

ATS Prediction: Oklahoma City -14.5

  • The Thunder’s strong home performance, covering their last 5 home games against the Jazz, combined with the Jazz’s struggles on the road against Western opponents above .500, losing their last 19, strongly positions Oklahoma City to cover the ATS. The Thunder’s impressive record of 26 wins in their last 30 home games underscores their dominance at Paycom Center.

Best Pick: Oklahoma City -14.5

  • The combination of the Thunder’s proven track record at home against the Jazz and their overall strong performance in covering the spread in recent games makes them the safer bet. While the Over prediction also holds significant weight, the Thunder’s consistency in covering the spread, especially at home and against the Jazz, backed by a 59% ROI in covering the 3Q Spread in their last 25 home games, suggests a higher likelihood of an OKC win ATS.

Best ROI Bet: Oklahoma City Cover 3rd Quarter Spread

  • The Oklahoma City Thunder covering the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+16.45 Units / 59% ROI) appears to be the most likely to win. This stat not only showcases a high return on investment but also reflects a strong pattern of performance specifically in the third quarter for home games. The 59% ROI is notably high, indicating a significant probability of profit.

MEMPHIS @ GOLDEN STATE

Over/Under Prediction: Over 216.5 Total Points

  • Considering the trend of 7 of the Grizzlies’ last 8 road games going Over and the Warriors’ trend of hitting the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 home games, there’s a strong trend toward an Over outcome for this game.

ATS Prediction: Golden State -9.5

  • The Warriors’ resilience, demonstrated by covering 7 of their last 8 games following a loss, combined with their strong home performance against the Grizzlies, winning their last 6 home games against Memphis, positions them well to cover the ATS.

Best Pick: Over 216.5 Total Points

  • Although the Warriors to Cover is a strong contender, the stronger statistical evidence leans toward the game total going Over. This is supported by both teams’ recent trends toward higher-scoring games, especially in the context of the Grizzlies’ road games and the Warriors’ home games. The significant ROI from both teams in related trends, with the Warriors achieving a 20% ROI on Game Total Over in their last 43 home games, makes the Over bet the best.

Best ROI Bet: Memphis Under 4th Qtr Total

  • The Memphis Grizzlies hitting the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 77 games (+22.45 Units / 25% ROI) seems to be the most likely to win. This statistic not only indicates a significant positive return on investment but also shows a consistent pattern of the Grizzlies’ games trending towards lower scoring in the 4th quarter. With a 25% ROI, this trend suggests that betting on the 4Q Game Total Under in Grizzlies games has been profitable.

PHILADELPHIA @ PHOENIX

Over/Under Prediction: Under 223.5 Total Points

  • The Suns’ trend of their last 7 home games going Under combined with their strong defensive performances, leading to low-scoring games, particularly with 55 of their last 87 4Q Game Totals going Under, supports a prediction for an Under outcome in this matchup.

ATS Prediction: Philadelphia +9.5

  • Despite the Suns’ success as home favorites against Eastern opponents, their recent difficulty in covering the spread in home games, failing to do so in their last 5, suggests they may struggle to cover against the 76ers.

Best Pick: Under 223.5 Total Points

  • Given the Suns’ and 76ers’ recent history of Unders in their respective games, the Under bet is strongly supported. The Suns have seen the Game Total go Under in 31 of their last 48 games, and similarly, the 76ers have experienced the Game Total going Under in 15 of their last 20 games. This trend, coupled with both teams’ defensive prowess and the Suns’ specific trend of Unders at home, makes the Under bet the best.

Best ROI Bet: Under 223.5 Total Points

  • The 76ers hitting the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI) appears to be the most likely to win. This stat not only shows a significant return on investment but also a high percentage of occurrence in recent games, indicating a strong trend towards lower-scoring games involving the 76ers. The 43% ROI is particularly notable.

LA CLIPPERS @ PORTLAND

Over/Under Prediction: Over 215.5 Total Points

  • Given that 8 of the Blazers’ last 9 games against Western opponents have gone Overs, coupled with their trend of hitting the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games, the pattern suggests a high-scoring affair when these teams meet, particularly with the Clippers and Blazers showing a propensity for high-scoring games recently.

ATS Prediction: Portland +12.5

  • While the Clippers have a strong win record against the Blazers, their recent struggles against Western opponents, failing to cover in 7 of their last 8, hint at potential difficulties in covering the spread in this matchup.

Best Pick: Over 215.5 Total Points

  • The compelling trend towards Overs in recent Blazers games against Western opponents, alongside both teams’ offensive capabilities and specific Over trends, such as the Blazers’ last 9 games against Western opponents and the Clippers’ overall scoring potential, makes the Over bet one to go for.

Best ROI Bet:  Under 1st Qtr Total Points

  • The most likely to win based on returns on investment (ROI) would be the Los Angeles Clippers hitting the 1Q Total Under in their game against the Portland Trail Blazers. This trend has occurred in 47 of their last 77 games, yielding a +13.85 units return with a 16% ROI.

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