Tonight’s NBA Computer Picks – Thurs, 21st March

nba ai generated picks

We take hundreds of lines of statistics and trends from the top sites that offer NBA matchups statistical analysis, and tun these stats through AI, at which point the AI will predict the most likely outcome of the games given the huge number of statistics fed through the AI betting computer.

If you’re interested to see how these NBA computer picks go, we’ll be updating daily a Win/Loss table – so that we can all see just how good AI generated NBA picks are.


*These computer betting picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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AI COMPUTER PICKS RECORD

ATS RECORD TOTAL PTS PROPS
W L W L
20 21 21 19
  • BEST BETS: 16-12

Best ROI Picks Tonight

  1. The New Orleans Pelicans hitting the 1H Moneyline in 57 of their last 80 games (+35.85 Units / 24% ROI):
    • This trend suggests a strong likelihood of the Pelicans leading at halftime, especially given their significant positive ROI over a considerable number of games.
  1. The Brooklyn Nets hitting the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 49 games (+21.10 Units / 37% ROI):
    • This demonstrates a consistent pattern of lower scoring in the first quarters of Nets games, making it a promising bet based on the high ROI and the pattern’s frequency.
  1. The New York Knicks hitting the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 43 games (+22.00 Units / 47% ROI):
    • This trend shows a strong inclination towards low-scoring games involving the Knicks, highlighted by a very high ROI, suggesting betting on the Under for Knicks games could be highly profitable.

NEW ORLEANS @ ORLANDO

Over/Under Prediction: Under 208.0 Total Points

The trend of 9 of the Pelicans’ last 10 games against Eastern opponents going Under, coupled with both teams’ strong performances in recent games that suggest a continuation of low-scoring outcomes. The Pelicans’ success in hitting the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games reinforces the likelihood of a game leaning towards the Under.

ATS Prediction: New Orleans -2.5

Considering the road team has covered 5 of the last 6 matchups between these teams, and the Pelicans’ recent road game success, winning 7 of their last 8, there’s an inclination towards New Orleans covering the spread. Their significant ROI in the 1H Moneyline and consistent performance in covering the 1H Spread in their recent games supports their competitiveness, especially in away settings.

Best Pick: Under 208.0 Total Points

Given the strong under trends for both teams in specific matchups and the Pelicans’ notable performances against Eastern teams, betting on the Under seems to be the more compelling choice. The Pelicans’ and Magic’s recent game trends provide solid backing for expecting a game focused on defensive strength, making the Under a more reliable prediction.


SACRAMENTO @ WASHINGTON

Over/Under Prediction: Over 238.5 Total Points

The trend of 8 of the Wizards’ last 9 games as underdogs going Over, combined with the Kings’ high-scoring style of play, suggests a game likely to exceed the 236.5 total points line. Both teams have shown a capacity for high-scoring games, particularly the Wizards in challenging matchups.

ATS Prediction: Sacramento -10.0

The Wizards’ extensive losing streak against Western opponents above .500 highlights their difficulties in these matchups. Sacramento’s recent performance and the Wizards’ struggles at home, failing to cover the spread in a significant number of games, position the Kings favorably to cover the -2.5 spread.

Best Pick: Over 238.5 Total Points

Considering the scoring capabilities of both teams and the Wizards’ trend towards Overs in their recent games as underdogs, the Over 236.5 total points stands out as the most promising bet. This is reinforced by the Wizards’ offensive and defensive metrics in their last several games.


CHICAGO @ HOUSTON

Over/Under Prediction: Over 215.5 Total Points

Given the last 5 games between the Bulls and Rockets have gone Overs, combined with the Bulls’ strong trend of hitting the 4Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games, and the Rockets’ offensive surge in recent games, an Over outcome seems probable. The Bulls’ tendency to hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 away games further supports this prediction.

ATS Prediction: Houston -3.5

The Rockets’ impressive run of covering their last 8 home games against Eastern opponents, coupled with their current 6-game win streak, indicates a strong likelihood of Houston covering the spread. The Rockets’ success in the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 home games emphasizes their ability to start strong, which could be pivotal in covering the ATS.

Best Pick: Over 215.5 Total Points

Considering both teams’ recent scoring trends and historical Over outcomes in their matchups, betting on the Over seems the most convincing. The combination of the Rockets’ and Bulls’ offensive performances, especially Houston’s recent form and Chicago’s away game trends, makes the Over bet particularly appealing.


BROOKLYN @ MILWAUKEE

Over/Under Prediction: Under 220.5 Total Points

Considering the Bucks’ trend of games going Under in 8 of their last 9 home encounters with the Nets, coupled with the Nets’ strong performance in hitting the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 49 games, the matchup is likely to lean towards a lower-scoring affair. The history of Unders in this matchup and the Nets’ recent trends suggest that the game might not reach the high total points line set at 222.5.

ATS Prediction: Brooklyn Nets +9.5

Given the Nets’ challenges in covering the spread as road underdogs in 7 of their last 8 games, this might typically advise caution. However, considering the substantial spread of -9.5 for the Bucks, the Nets’ recent performances in the first quarters and their ability to keep games close, especially in the 3Q where they’ve hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games, might offer them an edge to cover this spread.

Best Pick: Under 220.5 Total Points

The Under bet is more convincing, supported by the consistent Under outcomes in the Bucks’ home games against the Nets and the Nets’ strong defensive showings in early and late-game stages. These patterns provide a solid foundation for expecting a total score to stay under 222.5 points.


UTAH @ DALLAS

Over/Under Prediction: Under 238.5 Total Points

With the Mavericks’ trend of hitting the Under in 7 of their last 8 home games and their consistent Under performance in 28 of their last 44 games overall, this matchup against the Jazz is likely to follow suit. The substantial total points line of 238.5 seems high considering Dallas’s defensive capabilities and recent under trends, making the Under a compelling bet.

ATS Prediction: Dallas Mavericks -13.5

Considering the Mavericks’ recent success in covering the spread in their last 5 home games against Western opponents above .500 and their overall strong performance in covering the spread in 14 of their last 20 games, Dallas is well-positioned to cover the ATS, even with a larger spread of -13.5. The Jazz’s struggle on the road against strong Western teams supports this pick.

Best Pick: Under 238.5 Total Points

Given the high total points line and the Mavericks’ recent trends towards lower-scoring games at home, the Under 238.5 bet emerges as the best pick. This choice is bolstered by Dallas’s statistical backing, including their performance in the 2Q Game Total Under and overall game totals.


NEW YORK @ DENVER

Over/Under Prediction: Under 209.5 Total Points

The Knicks’ trend of hitting the Under in 33 of their last 43 games, combined with the Nuggets’ consistent Under performance in home settings, strongly suggests a continuation of low-scoring encounters, especially considering the Knicks’ defensive play contributing to the Under in 11 of their last 13 games.

ATS Prediction: Knicks +8.0

Given the Knicks’ recent form of covering their last 4 games as road underdogs and the competitive nature of their recent matchups against the Nuggets, where underdogs have won the first half in 4 of the last 5 games, the Knicks are well-positioned to cover the spread, despite the Nuggets’ home dominance.

Best Pick: Under 209.5 Total Points

The strong trend towards the Under for both teams, especially in Knicks games, and the specific matchup’s historical tendency to produce lower-scoring games make betting the Under the most compelling choice. The Knicks’ defensive efforts and the Nuggets’ own Under trends in home games bolster the case for a total points under 209.5.


ATLANTA @ PHOENIX

Over/Under Prediction: Under 226.5 Total Points

The Suns’ trend of games going Under on the second leg of a back-to-back, along with both teams’ tendencies towards lower scoring quarters (the Hawks hitting the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games), supports a likely Under outcome for this game. Furthermore, the historical performances suggest cautious offensive outputs in specific quarters, particularly with the Hawks’ success in hitting the 1Q Game Total Under.

ATS Prediction: Atlanta +9.5

Given the Hawks’ recent performances against the Suns, having covered their last 4 matchups, along with the significant points spread, Atlanta appears well-positioned to cover the ATS. This is bolstered by their strong showing in the 3Q Game Total Over in previous games, indicating their ability to keep games competitive.

Best Pick: Under 226.5 Total Points

With the Suns’ tendency to play lower-scoring games on the second leg of back-to-backs and both teams’ performance trends, the Under bet seems most promising. The combination of the Suns’ defensive capabilities in such scenarios and the Hawks’ 4Q Game Total Under trend makes this the better pick.


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