FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 53-29
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.
ORLANDO VS BROOKLYN
The whole world is piling into Caris LeVert over 24.5 —- so let me settle the score and take the Unders.
Without doubt I’m playing with fire on this bet with the Brooklyn’s offense going through LeVert but totaling 25 points against a sturdy Magic defense is good going.
Orlando have capable (big bodied, long and lean) defenders to throw on him, should they not double.
DP’S PICK – CARIS LEVERT UNDER 24.5 POINTS – WIN
TREND BET
SACRAMENTO VS SAN ANTONIO
SACRAMENTO
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 games vs teams with a losing straight up record.
SAN ANTONIO
- 1-7 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 0-6 ATS in last 6 games vs teams with a losing straight up record.
MATCHUP
- Kings are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
TREND BET – SACRAMENTO -3.5
*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
ORLANDO VS BROOKLYN
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Magic are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 25.02.20 | BKN | ORL | 113 : 115 |
| 07.01.20 | ORL | BKN | 101 : 89 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Nikola Vucevic has 22+ points in 6 of the Magic’s last 8 games as favorites.
- Aaron Gordon has 9+ rebounds in his last 5 games with the Magic as favorites.
- Evan Fournier has 19+ points in 6 of his last 9 games.
- Joe Harris has 18+ points in 3 of the Nets’ last 4 games against East opponents.
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BKN | 30 | 34 | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| ORL | 30 | 35 | 16-15 | 14-20 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BKN | 110.8 | 111.4 | -0.6 | 222.2 |
| ORL | 106.4 | 107.3 | -0.9 | 213.7 |
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PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ORL | Under | ORL |
| -6.5 | 211.5 | 128-118 |
Orlando can’t take it lightly tonight, sitting in 8th spot and desperately aiming to go past the Nets.
Brooklyn’s roster is absolutely ruined. No Kyrie, no Durant, no Deandre Jordan, and no Dinwiddie, they leave Caris LeVert (17.7 ppg) and Joe Harris (13.9 ppg) to shoulder the scoring load.
The Nets brought in 40-year-old guard Jamal Crawford, who last played in April 2019, and Tyler Johnson to supplement the backcourt and will rely on other G-League roster fillers tonight.
Magic in a canter.
PICK – Orlando -6.5
MEMPHIS VS PORTLAND
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 13.02.20 | MEM | POR | 111 : 104 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Jonas Valanciunas has scored the first basket in the Grizzlies’ last 3 games.
- C.J. McCollum has 23+ points in 8 of the Trail Blazers’ last 11 games.
- Damian Lillard has 7+ assists in 23 of his last 29 games against Western opponents.
- Jonas Valanciunas has 15+ rebounds in 6 of the Grizzlies’ last 7 games.
- Jaren Jackson Jr. has 16+ points in 11 of his last 15 games with the Grizzlies as underdogs against Western opponents.
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 32 | 33 | 18-15 | 14-18 |
| POR | 29 | 37 | 18-14 | 11-23 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MEM | 112.6 | 113.7 | -1.1 | 226.3 |
| POR | 113.6 | 115.2 | -1.6 | 228.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| POR | Under | POR |
| -2.5 | 223.5 | 140-135 (1OT) |
Portland will shuffle their roster, with the return of Jusuf Nurkic after a 16-month layoff (broken leg) and big Zach Collins into the four-spot. Trevor Ariza won’t be hit the court tonight, while Hassan Whiteside will move into a role off the bench.
Memphis has an exciting young crew led by ROY favorite Ja Morant (17.6 ppg and 6.9 apg), along with Dillon Brooks, Jaren Jackson Jnr and Brandon Clarke.
PICK – Under 223.5 Total Points
PHOENIX VS WASHINGTON
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Suns are 15-7 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 28.11.19 | PHO | WAS | 132 : 140 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Ricky Rubio has 9+ assists in 10 of the Suns’ last 11 games.
- Thomas Bryant has 18+ points in the Wizards’ last 3 games against the Suns.
- Devin Booker has 27+ points in the Suns’ last 3 games against the Wizards.
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHO | 26 | 39 | 13-22 | 13-17 |
| WAS | 24 | 40 | 16-16 | 8-24 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHO | 112.6 | 113.9 | -1.3 | 226.5 |
| WAS | 115.6 | 119.7 | -4.1 | 235.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHO | Over | PHO |
| -7.0 | 223.5 | 125-112 |
The two teams with the longest odds to reach the postseason clash here.
Washington sit 5.5 games behind the Magic for 8th seed in the East.
The Suns are 6 games behind the 8th-place Grizzlies in the West.
The Wizards must be at Disney World for the rides, and not to compete for an 8th seed in the East. Without Beal and Bertans they’ll be without their two leading scorers, and even though the Suns have little to no chance of making it, they do have a roster of some sort.
Devin Booker will get the chance to play street ball tonight, and Mikal Bridges has been great during the practice games as a ‘3 and D’ option. This with the quality of Rubio and Ayton makes the Suns a much better outfit than the depleted Wizards.
PICK – Phoenix -7.0 & Over 223.5 Total Points
BOSTON VS MILWAUKEE
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Daniel Theis has 9+ rebounds in 5 of the Celtics’ last 7 games as underdogs.
- Jayson Tatum has 25+ points in 13 of his last 16 games.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 29+ points in 4 of his last 5 games.
- Khris Middleton has 4+ assists in eight of the Bucks’ last 10 games against the Celtics.
SEASON SERIES
| 17.01.20 | MIL | BOS | 128 : 123 |
| 31.10.19 | BOS | MIL | 116 : 105 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BOS | 43 | 21 | 23-9 | 20-12 |
| MIL | 53 | 12 | 28-3 | 25-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BOS | 113.0 | 106.8 | +6.2 | 219.8 |
| MIL | 118.6 | 107.4 | +11.2 | 226.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BOS | Over | MIL |
| +4.5 | 218.5 | 119-112 |
Notable Stat – 7 of the Bucks’ last 8 games have gone Under the total points line.
The Bucks owned the best record and were pulling away in the East when the NBA shut down in March. The lead the league in scoring (118.6 ppg) and points +/- (+11.2) and enter the bubble relatively healthy though Bledsoe and Connaughton, who both joined the team this week after recovering from COVID-19, will sit out tonight.
Boston are trying to catch the Raptors for the 2nd in the East and got a bump to the roster when Kemba Walker (knee) appeared in a scrimmage earlier this week, though the team is still trying to find its form defensively.
Milwaukee has also failed to cover 5 of its last 6, and we like the Celts in this one at +4.5.
PICK – NO BET
IF YOU MUST – Over 218.0 Total Points
SACRAMENTO VS SAN ANTONIO
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Kings are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 09.02.20 | SAC | SAS | 122 : 102 |
| 07.12.19 | SAS | SAC | 105 : 104 (100 : 100) |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Bogdan Bogdanovic has 15+ points in 8 of his last 9 games with the Kings as favorites.
- Nemanja Bjelica has the first basket in each of the Kings’ last 2 games.
- DeMar DeRozan has 16 points or less in each of the Spurs’ last 3 games against the Kings.
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAC | 28 | 36 | 14-17 | 14-19 |
| SAS | 27 | 36 | 16-14 | 11-22 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| SAC | 109.0 | 110.9 | -1.9 | 219.9 |
| SAS | 113.2 | 114.9 | -1.7 | 228.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAC | Under | SAS |
| -2.5 | 219.5 | 129-120 |
Notable Stat – 18 of the Kings’ last 26 games have gone Over the total match points line.
San Antonio’s task is made harder in the bubble without LaMarcus Aldridge (season-ending shoulder surgery), the team’s second-leading scorer at 18.9 ppg.
The Spurs have made the playoffs in 22 straight seasons but will need a strong kick and a lot of luck to keep the streak alive.
Sacramento on the other end of the spectrum are looking to avoid missing the playoffs for the 14th straight season and they are tied with Portland and New Orleans for 9th spot in the West.
De’Aaron Fox is ready to go for Sac after tweaking his left ankle earlier this month while small forward Harrison Barnes recently rejoined the club after testing positive for COVID-19.
PICK – Sacramento -2.5
HOUSTON VS DALLAS
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Rockets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 01.02.20 | HOU | DAL | 128 : 121 |
| 25.11.19 | HOU | DAL | 123 : 137 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Russell Westbrook has 29+ points in 14 of his last 18 games against Western teams.
- Seth Curry has 15+ points in 12 of his last 14 games.
- Kristaps Porzingis has 24+ points in 11 of his last 15 games.
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 40 | 24 | 22-10 | 18-14 |
| DAL | 40 | 27 | 19-15 | 21-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| HOU | 118.1 | 114.4 | +3.7 | 232.5 |
| DAL | 116.4 | 110.3 | +6.1 | 226.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Dallas | Under | HOU |
| -1.5 | 229.5 | 153-149 (1OT) |
The Rockets are tied for 5th place in the West with OKC, while Dallas are just 1.5 games out in 7th place.
Houston may need time to find their stride as point guard Russell Westbrook is still working his way into shape after testing positive for COVID-19, and Eric Gordon will sit (ankle).
James Harden leads the NBA with a 34.4 scoring average and is on his way to his 3rd straight scoring title, but without Gordon and a fir Westbrook the Rockets will struggle tonight against the Mavs.
PICK – Dallas -1.5 & Under 229.5
