FREE NBA PICKS – THE RETURN – 30/7/20

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 51-29

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.

UTAH vs NEW ORLEANS

Ingram has made an absolute mockery of Utah in his past 3 outings against them this year returning totals of; 35, 49 & 33.

Simply put. The Jazz cannot defend him.

He is too long and lean for the likes of Joe Ingles and Royce O’Neale and with Zion a game-time decision and the Pelicans needing to get W’s from the get-go, I fully expect Ingram to shoot it at volume and cause havoc from start to finish.

Easy cash grab to get us moving in the bubble.

DP’S PICK – Brandon Ingram Over 22.5 Points – WIN


TREND BET

LA CLIPPERS vs LA LAKERS

LA CLIPPERS

  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 games playing on 3+ days rest.

LA LAKERS

  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

MATCHUP

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

TREND BET – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS – WIN

*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


UTAH vs NEW ORLEANS

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Jazz are 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
  • Over is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
17.01.20 NOR UTA 138 : 132
(122 : 122)
07.01.20 NOR UTA 126 : 128
24.11.19 UTA NOR 128 : 120

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 41 23 21-10 20-13
NOR 28 36 13-19 15-17

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
UTA 111.0 107.9 +3.1 218.9
NOR 116.2 117.0 -0.8 233.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA OVER UTA
+2.5 223.5 106-104

The Pelicans get 8 games to try to make up a 3.5 game gap on the Grizzlies for the final spot in the West and Zion is a game-time decision after being away from the team for 12 days due to a family emergency and his 4-day quarantine.

These teams have met 3 times this season, and have not match-up at all defensively. The Jazz are elite defensively under Quin Snyder, but have had problems defending Ingram with the small forward averaging 39 ppg in 3 games against the Jazz this season.

The same can be said for the Pelicans defense of Donovan Mitchell, who averages 34 ppg against the Pelicans this season, his highest average against any team.

The total points in the 3 matchups this season have been 248, 254 and 244.

Utah took two of the first three meetings this season and scored at least 128 points in each contest.

18 of the last 24 games between the Jazz and Pelicans have gone OVER the total points line.

PICK  – OVER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS


LA CLIPPERS vs LA LAKERS

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
09.03.20 LAC LAL 103 : 112
26.12.19 LAL LAC 106 : 111
23.10.19 LAC LAL 112 : 102

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • LeBron James has eight or more rebounds in each of his last seven games against the Clippers.
  • Anthony Davis has 26+ points in each of the Lakers’ last four games.
  • Kawhi Leonard has 28+ points in each of the Clippers’ last four games as underdogs.
  • Kyle Kuzma has scored 12 points or less in nine of the Lakers’ last 12 games as favourites.

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 49 14 23-8 26-6
LAC 44 20 25-7 19-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
LAL 114.3 106.9 +7.4 221.2
LAC 116.2 109.7 +6.5 225.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAL UNDER LAL
-1.5 216.5 103-101

Many predict that this will be the West Finals match-up, but the Clippers will be a little short-handed tonight.

For the Clippers, Sixth Man of the Year contender Montrezl Harrell is a big loss despite coming off the bench, he plays the bulk of minutes in the five-spot and there’s no bigger task than defending AD, Javale McGee and Dwight Howard (knee, probable).

Patrick Beverley (personal) is doubtful after returning to the bubble, while Lou Williams won’t play the first 2 games, forced to a 10-day quarantine after leaving the bubble to get some ‘chicken wings’. (LOL).

Even with Kawhi and PG13 out there, the Clippers depth has taken hit, and they’ll be tested.

The Clippers have won 21 of their last 26 games against the Lakers and have taken 2 of the 3 matchups this season.

PICK  – LA LAKERS -1.5