11 tonight, some more educated guesses coming your way!

*Original lines taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

Tonight’s NBA tips

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Chicago @ Orlando

Picks against the spread

Win/Loss

Points +/-

25.01.17 – Chicago Bulls 100 @ Orlando Magic 92
08.11.16 – Orlando Magic 80 @ Chicago Bulls 112
27.03.16 – Chicago Bulls 89 @ Orlando Magic 111
03.03.16 – Chicago Bulls 89 @ Orlando Magic 102
02.11.15 – Orlando Magic 87 @ Chicago Bulls 92

Picks –

Chicago are 5-5 and Orlando are 3-7  over 10.

Chicago have had a tough run over their last 5, with wins over Cleveland and Golden State, and losses to Denver, Clippers and Detroit.

Despite our long-running curse of taking Chicago, we are again jumping on that train again, with the Bulls recent schedule a little easier on the legs.

*Holds breath.

Best Bet: Chicago WIN @1.86 (-120)

Feeling Lucky: Chicago -1.5 @1.91 (-110)

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Brooklyn @ Atlanta

Picks against the spread

Win/Loss

Points +/-

Last 5

11.01.17 – Atlanta Hawks 117 @ Brooklyn Nets 97
17.01.16 – Brooklyn Nets 86 @ Atlanta Hawks 114
18.11.15 – Atlanta Hawks 88 @ Brooklyn Nets 90
05.11.15 – Brooklyn Nets 87 @ Atlanta Hawks 101
02.05.15 – Atlanta Hawks 111 @ Brooklyn Nets 87

Picks –

Brooklyn, ugh… we cringe every time. We tipped against them last week, which culminated in them getting over the line against Sacramento for their first victory in 23 games, ruining the parlay.

Surely tonight the Hawks have our backs despite going 3-7 over 10. Brooklyn have gone 2-18 over their last 20.

Another deep breath here… Atlanta! But not at the -9.5 line.

Best Bet: Atlanta WIN @1.20 (-500) *Shudder

Feeling Lucky: Total Points Over 219.5 @1.91 (-110)

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Charlotte @ Miami

Picks against the spread

Win/Loss

Last 5

30.12.16 – Miami Heat 82 @ Charlotte Hornets 91
29.10.16 – Charlotte Hornets 97 @ Miami Heat 91
02.05.16 – Charlotte Hornets 73 @ Miami Heat 106
30.04.16 – Miami Heat 97 @ Charlotte Hornets 90
28.04.16 – Charlotte Hornets 90 @ Miami Heat 88

Picks –

Both are 4-6 over their last 10, however Miami’s wins are much more impressive, including two B2B wins over the Champs, Atlanta and the Rockets.

There’s no reason to bet against Miami tonight on current form, and for the same reason, there’s no reason to bet on Charlotte with an 11-22 road record.

Liking that -4.0 line for the Heat.

Best Bet: Miami WIN @1.58 (-175)

Feeling Lucky: Miami -4.5 @1.91 (-110)

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Utah @ Houston

Picks against the spread

Points +/-

Last 5

30.11.16 – Houston Rockets 101 @ Utah Jazz 120
20.11.16 – Utah Jazz 102 @ Houston Rockets 111
24.03.16 – Utah Jazz 89 @ Houston Rockets 87
24.02.16 – Houston Rockets 114 @ Utah Jazz 117 – OT
08.01.16 – Utah Jazz 94 @ Houston Rockets 103

Picks –

Houston are 7-3, Utah are 6-4 over their last 10.

The Rockets fell 112-110 to the Spurs at AT&T Center last out, and have battled tough teams over their last 3, including wins over Memphis and the Clippers. The form is there.

The Jazz on the other hand have been given W’s on a plate over their last 3, with wins over the Pelicans, Kings and Brooklyn.

At home we’ll take Harden and the crew, but that line’s just a little high at -7.0.

Best Bet: Nope.

Feeling Lucky: Total Points Over 214.5 @1.91 (-110)

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Detroit @ Indiana

Picks against the spread

Win/Loss

Points +/-

Last 5

05.02.17 – Detroit Pistons 84 @ Indiana Pacers 105
04.01.17 – Indiana Pacers 121 @ Detroit Pistons 116
18.12.16 – Indiana Pacers 105 @ Detroit Pistons 90
07.02.16 – Detroit Pistons 104 @ Indiana Pacers 112
03.01.16 – Detroit Pistons 82 @ Indiana Pacers 94

Picks –

Indiana are 3-7, Detroit are 6-4 over their last 10.

The 6th and 7th East seeds do battle here, both trying to cement a playoff run, and with the Pacers having won all 3 in this matchup this season, favoritism at home is not surprising. However, tonight we’re rolling with the Motor City at the line, to break the trend.

Best Bet: Nope.

Feeling Lucky: Detroit +3.5 @1.91 (-110) 

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New York @ Milwaukee

Picks against the spread

Win/Loss

Points +/-

Last 5

07.01.17 – New York Knicks 116 @ Milwaukee Bucks 111
05.01.17 – Milwaukee Bucks 105 @ New York Knicks 104
11.01.16 – Milwaukee Bucks 88 @ New York Knicks 100
06.12.15 – New York Knicks 91 @ Milwaukee Bucks 106
07.11.15 – Milwaukee Bucks 99 @ New York Knicks 92

Picks –

Milwaukee are 7-3, New York are 4-6 over 10.

Milwaukee start a 3 game home-stand tonight, and if the trends stay put they should pull a W tonight, with the match-up 2-2 so far this season, both winning on home court.

New York’s 11-21 road record sways us the way of the home team.

Best Bet: Milwaukee WIN @1.47 (-212)

Feeling Lucky: Total Points Under 211.0 @1.91 (-110)

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LA Clippers @ Minnesota

Picks against the spread

Win/Loss

Points +/-

Last 5

20.01.17 – Minnesota Timberwolves 104 @ Los Angeles Clippers 101
13.11.16 – Los Angeles Clippers 119 @ Minnesota Timberwolves 105
31.03.16 – Los Angeles Clippers 99 @ Minnesota Timberwolves 79
04.02.16 – Minnesota Timberwolves 108 @ Los Angeles Clippers 102
08.12.15 – Los Angeles Clippers 110 @ Minnesota Timberwolves 106

Picks –

Both are 6-4 over their last 10, with the young fellas in Minnesota having a couple of day’s rest ahead of this one due to a postponement of the Portland game last Monday.

The T-Wolves are 3.5 games out of the 8 and would be desperate for a win here, having missed their chance to get one over the Blazers, who are 1.5 games ahead of them in the West.

Griffin has averaged 23.5 ppg, 8.0 rpg and 5.8 apg in 17 games post knee surgery and is likely them main reason for the Clippers resurgence.

Can’t look past the Clippers here, despite some tired legs.

Best Bet: Total Points Under 211.5 @1.91 (-110)

Feeling Lucky: Take the best bet.

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Toronto @ New Orleans

Picks against the spread

Win/Loss

Last 5

01.02.17 – New Orleans Pelicans 106 @ Toronto Raptors 108 – OT
27.03.16 – Toronto Raptors 115 @ New Orleans Pelicans 91
14.11.15 – New Orleans Pelicans 81 @ Toronto Raptors 100
24.02.15 – Toronto Raptors 97 @ New Orleans Pelicans 100
19.01.15 – New Orleans Pelicans 95 @ Toronto Raptors 93

Picks –

The Raptors won the last matchup in OT against the Pelicans but both teams have changed in personal since then. New Orleans are still adjusting with Cousins and are challenged in their depth. Toronto with a win and waiting on other results could put pressure on their East opponents.

Best Bet: Total Points Under 203.5 @1.91 (-110)

Feeling Lucky: Toronto -2.5 @1.95 (-105)

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Sacramento @ San Antonio

Picks against the spread

Points +/-

Last 5

17.11.16 – San Antonio Spurs 110 @ Sacramento Kings 105
28.10.16 – San Antonio Spurs 102 @ Sacramento Kings 94
06.03.16 – Sacramento Kings 94 @ San Antonio Spurs 104
25.02.16 – San Antonio Spurs 108 @ Sacramento Kings 92
10.11.15 – San Antonio Spurs 106 @ Sacramento Kings 88

Picks –

The Kings have lost 5 straight and are starting to show a lack of leadership on the court which has them in-line for a lottery spot. Their opponents in the Spurs have won 8 straight and will look to capitalize on the Kings’ weakness and lock them down.

Best Bet: Total Points Under 200.0 @1.91 (-110)

Feeling Lucky: Go with the Best Bet

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Washington @ Denver

Picks against the spread

Win/Loss

Points +/-

Last 5

09.12.16 – Denver Nuggets 85 @ Washington Wizards 92
13.03.16 – Washington Wizards 100 @ Denver Nuggets 116
29.01.16 – Denver Nuggets 117 @ Washington Wizards 113
26.01.15 – Washington Wizards 117 @ Denver Nuggets 115 – OT
06.12.14 – Denver Nuggets 89 @ Washington Wizards 119

Picks –

Playing in a high scoring game against the Suns may suggest the defense and contest was free flowing for the Wizards but on the second night of a B2B in high altitude Denver could be too much of an effort.

Best Bet: Denver WIN @1.81 (-123)

Feeling Lucky: Denver -2.0 @1.95 (-105)

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Boston @ Golden State

Picks against the spread

Win/Loss

Points +/-

Last 5

19.11.16 – Golden State Warriors 104 @ Boston Celtics 88
02.04.16 – Boston Celtics 109 @ Golden State Warriors 106
12.12.15 – Golden State Warriors 124 @ Boston Celtics 119 – OT
02.03.15 – Golden State Warriors 106 @ Boston Celtics 101
26.01.15 – Boston Celtics 111 @ Golden State Warriors 114

Picks –

The Warriors have straightened up from the Durant injury while the Celtics have had some bad losses on their current road trip. Good news for the boys in green is that Al Horford is expecting to play which puts them at full strength against the leagues best.

Interesting that their 2 previous matchups have been low scoring affairs.

Best Bet: Total Points Under 222.5 @1.91 (-110)

Feeling Lucky: Boston +9.0 @1.95 (-105)