NBA Computer Picks Tonight – Wed, 27th March

nba computer picks

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AI COMPUTER PICKS RECORD

ATS RECORD TOTAL PTS RECORD
W L W L
46 39 45 39
  • BEST BETS RECORD: 43-29


TOP 3 ROI BETS TONIGHT

1. Washington Wizards hitting the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+11.60 Units / 97% ROI):

  • This trend shows an extremely high ROI, indicating that betting on the Washington Wizards to win outright in these games would have yielded significant profits relative to the investment made.

2. Detroit Pistons hitting the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+12.75 Units / 61% ROI):

  • This specific trend suggests that the Detroit Pistons have been particularly successful in clinching the final quarter in their away games, making bets on their 4Q Moneyline highly profitable.

3. Denver Nuggets hitting the Moneyline in 68 of their last 93 games (+28.90 Units / 10% ROI):

  • Despite the lower ROI compared to the first two, this trend is notable for the volume of games and consistency, indicating a strong overall performance by the Denver Nuggets over a significant period.

CLEVELAND @ CHARLOTTE

Over/Under Prediction: Under 207.5 Total Points

The trends lean towards a lower-scoring game, with Cleveland’s recent performance in the 1H Game Total Under and both teams’ tendency towards unders in their matchups.

ATS Prediction: Cleveland -10.0

Cleveland’s consistency in the 1H Moneyline and their ability to cover the 2Q Game Total Under suggest they have a solid chance to cover the spread against the Hornets, despite their recent challenges in covering post-win games.

Best Pick: Cleveland -10.0


GOLDEN STATE @ ORLANDO

Over/Under Prediction: Under 217.5 Total Points

With the Golden State Warriors’ last 8 road games against Eastern opponents consistently going Under, coupled with the Orlando Magic’s trend of hitting the 1Q and 1H Game Total Under in a significant majority of their recent games (49 of the last 79 and 33 of the last 50 games, respectively), this matchup leans heavily towards a lower-scoring affair. The set total of 216.5 points seems optimistic considering both teams’ demonstrated ability to limit scoring, particularly in the early stages of games. These trends underscore the likelihood of the game not reaching the Over, making the Under 216.5 the more compelling bet.

ATS Prediction: Orlando Magic -4.5

Orlando’s impressive record of covering the Spread in 47 of their last 71 games, coupled with their strong performance on the Moneyline in 40 of their last 67 games, positions them as solid favorites to cover the -5.5 spread against the Warriors. The Warriors’ performance on the road against Eastern opponents above .500, having covered 7 of their last 8, does present a challenge. However, Orlando’s consistent ability to come out ahead, especially in the first half (hitting the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games), gives them an edge in covering the spread, especially with the game being at the Kia Center, where underdogs have historically performed well in this matchup.

Best Pick: Under 217.5 Total Points


BROOKLYN @ WASHINGTON

Over/Under Prediction: Under 224.5 Total Points

The strong trends of both teams towards unders in their matchups are critical. Specifically, the Brooklyn Nets have a notable record of hitting the Under in quarters, with the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 52 games, suggesting strong defensive starts. The Wizards’ defensive performance, particularly at home, further supports an Under outcome, making this a high-confidence pick.

ATS Prediction: Washington Wizards +3.5

Historical performance shows the Wizards excel as underdogs against the Nets, combined with their recent trend of covering the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games. This resilience in late-game scenarios, especially at home, suggests they are well-placed to cover the spread against Brooklyn.

Best Pick: Washington Wizards +3.5


PORTLAND @ ATLANTA

Over/Under Prediction: Over 214.5 Total Points

Considering the Atlanta Hawks’ recent trend of hitting the Over in their games, along with their performance of hitting the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 home games, this matchup is poised for a higher scoring affair. The Portland Trail Blazers’ trend of hitting the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games supports an expectation of a high-scoring game, surpassing the total set at 214.5.

ATS Prediction: Atlanta Hawks -10.0

The Hawks’ strong home game performance, covering 5 of their last 6 home games, and the historical advantage of the home team winning the last 9 games in matchups between the Blazers and Hawks, positions Atlanta favorably to cover the -11.0 spread.

Best Pick: Over 214.5 Total Points


LA CLIPPERS @ PHILADELPHIA

Over/Under Prediction: Under 217.5 Total Points

Given the 76ers’ recent trend with 9 of their last 10 games going Under and their effectiveness in maintaining low scores, especially with their strong defensive plays in the 3rd quarter, this game leans towards an under scenario. The Clippers’ recent performance, despite their ability to score, also aligns with lower-scoring outcomes when facing defensively strong teams.

ATS Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers +3.5

The 76ers’ impressive record against high-caliber teams and their ability to stay competitive, even as underdogs, suggest they’re well-positioned to cover the spread. Their robust defense and the Clippers’ struggles against teams above .500 enhance the likelihood of the 76ers covering.

Best Pick: Under 217.5 Total Points


NEW YORK @ TORONTO

Over/Under Prediction: Under 208.0 Total Points

Given both teams’ strong trends towards hitting the Under in recent games, with the Knicks seeing the Under in 34 of their last 46 games and the Raptors’ last 7 games also going Under, this matchup leans heavily towards a lower-scoring affair, reinforcing the Under 208.0 as the best bet.

ATS Prediction: New York Knicks -12.5

The Knicks’ robust performance against Eastern opponents below .500, covering their last 9 road games, aligns with the likelihood of covering a -12.5 spread against a struggling Raptors team on an 11-game losing streak.

Best Pick: New York Knicks ATS -12.5


INDIANA @ CHICAGO

Over/Under Prediction: Over 234.0 Total Points

Given the Bulls’ recent trend of games going Over, with 6 of their last 7 games surpassing the total, combined with the Pacers’ performance away from home where the Game Total Under trend is significant, this matchup presents a nuanced perspective. However, considering the overall scoring capabilities of both teams and recent patterns, leaning towards an Over seems more aligned with the current trends.

ATS Prediction: Chicago Bulls +3.5

The underdogs winning the last 4 games in matchups between the Pacers and Bulls, along with the Pacers’ struggle to cover as favorites after a win, suggests value in backing the Bulls with the points. The Bulls have shown resilience and a tendency to surpass expectations, particularly in home settings against the Pacers.

Best Pick: Over 234.0 Total Points


LA LAKERS @ MEMPHIS

Over/Under Prediction: Over 217 Total Points

Given the Lakers’ trend of Overs in their last 7 road back-to-back games, and the Grizzlies’ ability to score, despite their strong Under trend at home, this game leans towards breaking the pattern with an Over, especially with the Lakers’ offensive capability.

ATS Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers -4.5

The Lakers’ struggle to cover after OT wins is notable, but the Grizzlies’ 13-game losing streak at home against Western teams above .500 presents a significant trend. The Lakers’ overall performance might edge them to cover.

Best Pick: Over 217 Total Points


DETROIT @ MINNESOTA

Over/Under Prediction: Under 214.5 Total Points

Given the Pistons’ recent trend towards Unders in road games and their struggle against teams above .500, combined with the Timberwolves’ defensive efficiency reflected in their ability to keep games under, this game is leaning towards an under on the total points. The Timberwolves’ performance in home games further supports a defensively strong game, suggesting that the total points will likely fall short of the 214.5 line.

ATS Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves -14.5

The Timberwolves’ consistent covers and the Pistons’ difficulty in facing higher-ranked teams make Minnesota a strong candidate to cover the -14.5 spread. The Timberwolves’ ability to dominate the third quarter and their strong home game performance indicate their potential to extend their lead, especially against a struggling Pistons team.

Best Pick: Under 214.5 Total Points


HOUSTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY

Over/Under Prediction: Under 230.5 Total Points

Considering the Houston Rockets’ recent trend towards the Under in their role as road underdogs, with their last 4 games in this situation going Under, and the specific matchup dynamics between these teams, the game leans towards a lower scoring outcome. The total set at 230.5 points appears to be on the higher end, especially with both teams showing tendencies that could limit scoring bursts, such as the Rockets’ struggles in the first half on the road, only hitting the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 74 games. This suggests a slower start which could contribute to the game falling under the total.

ATS Prediction: Houston Rockets +5.0

The Rockets have been on a remarkable streak, covering 12 of their last 13 games, and they have shown a strong ability to keep games close or win outright, having hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games. Despite being underdogs by 5.0 points, the Rockets’ performance against the spread in recent games, particularly their success in the 4th quarter on the road (covering the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 31 away games), underscores their capability to cover the spread. The trend of coming out strong in the final quarter, coupled with their overall resilience, makes them a solid bet to cover +5.0 against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Best Pick: Houston Rockets ATS +5.0


SAN ANTONIO @ UTAH

Over/Under Prediction: Under 230.5 Total Points

Considering both teams’ recent trends towards Unders, especially in matchups against Western opponents, and the Spurs’ effectiveness in late-game scenarios, this game is likely to lean towards a lower total. Utah’s struggles to cover and their recent Under trend in games against Western teams reinforce this expectation.

ATS Prediction: San Antonio Spurs +3.5

San Antonio’s strong performance in the 4th quarter, both in moneyline and spread, suggests they have the resilience to keep the game close or win outright, making them a solid pick against the spread.

Best Pick: San Antonio Spurs +3.5


PHOENIX @ DENVER

Over/Under Prediction: Over 226.5 Total Points

Given Denver’s last 5 home games going Over and their overall offensive strength, along with the Suns’ recent Game Total Under trend showing potential for reversal in high-competition matchups, this game is primed to exceed the total. Both teams have potent offenses capable of high-scoring performances, making the Over an appealing pick.

ATS Prediction: Denver Nuggets -6.5

Denver’s home dominance, winning 9 of their last 10 games, and a strong 1Q Spread cover trend suggest they’re in a good position to cover against a struggling Suns team. The Nuggets’ ability to win the first half consistently, coupled with the Suns’ recent coverage following road losses, presents a tight contest, but Denver’s home form should see them cover.

Best Pick: Over 226.5 Total Points


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