Tonight’s NBA Computer Picks – Sun, 7th April

nba computer picks

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AI COMPUTER PICKS RECORD

ATS RECORD TOTAL PTS RECORD
W L W L
75 62 72 65
  • BEST BETS RECORD: 71-54

TOP 3 ROI TRENDS TONIGHT

1. The Miami Heat hitting the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+27.05 Units / 40% ROI):

This trend stands out as the highest ROI, showcasing the Heat’s strong performance in away games, making them a potentially profitable bet when playing on the road.

2. The New Orleans Pelicans hitting the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 79 games (+30.70 Units / 21% ROI):

While the ROI percentage is lower than the Heat’s top trend, the units gained are higher, indicating consistent success in first-half outcomes for the Pelicans over a large sample of games.

3. The San Antonio Spurs hitting the Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games (+15.80 Units / 80% ROI):

This trend has the highest ROI percentage among the three, showing exceptional profitability over a smaller set of games. It highlights the Spurs’ potential value in moneyline bets under specific conditions.


HOUSTON @ DALLAS

Over/Under Prediction: Under 226.5 Total Points

The trend heavily leans towards the Under for this game, primarily based on the Mavericks’ recent home game history and their defensive capabilities. Dallas has stayed under the game total in their last six home games, coupled with a broader trend of hitting the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 52 games.

This defensive prowess at home is further bolstered by hitting the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 home games, indicating a pattern of low-scoring games when playing in Dallas.

ATS Prediction: Dallas Mavericks -6.5

The Mavericks have shown a strong ability to cover spreads, especially in favorable matchups, having covered the line in their last 7 home games against Western teams and winning their last 11 games against teams with a losing record.

These trends, along with the Rockets’ struggles in the first half of their last 7 games, suggest that Dallas is well-positioned to cover the -6.5 spread. The Rockets’ difficulties in maintaining competitive early-game performances, particularly on the road, undermine their chances against a Dallas team that thrives against weaker opposition.

Best Pick: Dallas Mavericks -6.5


CLEVELAND @ LA CLIPPERS

Over/Under Prediction: Over 219.0 Total Points

Considering the LA Clippers’ recent trends towards high-scoring games, particularly in the 4th quarter where they’ve hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games, there’s a strong indication that this matchup could exceed the total points line.

The Clippers’ performance against teams on a back-to-back, with their last 7 games in such scenarios going Over, supports the expectation for a high-scoring affair. This trend is further complemented by the Clippers hitting the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 home games, suggesting a tendency for fast starts in their matchups.

ATS Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5

The Clippers’ recent form as home favorites, losing 4 of their last 5 games in this role, suggests vulnerabilities that Cleveland could exploit. Despite the Clippers’ overall solid performance, with a positive return on the Moneyline in 41 of their last 59 games, their recent struggles in a favored position at home point towards potential value in backing Cleveland to cover the -3.5 spread.

The Clippers’ inconsistencies as favorites, leans the prediction towards the Cavaliers covering.

Best Pick: Over 219.0 Total Points


MIAMI @ INDIANA

Over/Under Prediction: Over 227.5 Total Points

Despite both teams showing a strong trend towards hitting the Game Total Under in recent matchups (Miami in 54 of their last 86 games and Indiana in 28 of their last 42 games), the recent performance of the Miami Heat suggests a potential shift towards higher-scoring games, with their last 5 games all going Over.

This recent trend, combined with the Pacers’ ability to hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 home games, suggests that this matchup might defy their usual Under trend and lean towards an Over outcome.

ATS Prediction: Miami Heat +2.5

The Miami Heat have been strong on the road, covering the line in 12 of their last 15 road games and winning 5 of their last 6 road games outright. Their strong performance away from home, coupled with a solid ROI on hitting the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games, indicates their capability to cover or even win outright against the Pacers.

Given these trends, the Heat are favored to cover the spread, especially considering their positive performance trend in recent road games.

Best Pick: Miami Heat +2.5


PORTLAND @ BOSTON

Over/Under Prediction: Over 216.5 Total Points

Considering the Celtics’ recent trend towards high-scoring games, with 7 of their last 9 games going Over, along with the Trail Blazers’ tendency to hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games, this game leans towards an Over.

Both teams have shown an ability to contribute significantly to the scoreboard, especially in the later quarters, which aligns with the potential for this game to exceed the total points line.

ATS Prediction: Boston Celtics -16.5

The Celtics have shown a strong ability to cover significant spreads, especially evident in their last 12 home wins. Their proficiency in covering the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 80 games suggests a dominant performance is likely, even against a sizable spread.

While the Trail Blazers have covered the line in their last 3 games, the Celtics’ overwhelming strength, particularly in home games, suggests they have the potential to cover the -16.5 spread, albeit a challenging proposition given the large margin.

Best Pick: Over 216.5 Total Points


OKLAHOMA CITY @ CHARLOTTE

Over/Under Prediction: Under 218.5 Total Points

Considering the Charlotte Hornets’ strong trend towards hitting the 1H Game Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games, combined with the Oklahoma City Thunder’s inclination to hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games, there’s a substantial lean towards the Under in this matchup.

Both teams have shown tendencies in recent games that contribute to lower-scoring outcomes, especially in specific quarters that could significantly impact the total points.

ATS Prediction: Oklahoma City -8.0

Oklahoma City’s robust performance in covering spreads, particularly in the latter quarters of the game, and their impressive record of hitting the Moneyline in 55 of their last 81 games, suggests they have the resilience and capability to cover an 8.0-point spread against the Hornets.

Charlotte’s struggles, particularly in losing the first half in 10 of their last 11 games and failing to cover the line in their last 5 games after a win, further tilt the prediction in favor of Oklahoma City covering.

Best Pick: Under 218.5 Total Points


CHICAGO @ ORLANDO

Over/Under Prediction: Under 209.5 Total Points

Given the Orlando Magic’s trend towards hitting the Under in their recent home games (last 5 home games) and the Magic’s historical performance of hitting the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games, this matchup leans towards an Under outcome.

This prediction is bolstered by the Magic’s defensive prowess in games against teams with a losing record, contributing to lower-scoring games.

ATS Prediction: Orlando -7.0

The Magic’s exceptional record of winning their last 18 home games against teams with a losing record, combined with their ability to cover the Spread in 49 of their last 77 games, suggests a strong likelihood of Orlando covering the 7.0-point spread.

While the Bulls have a tendency to cover as underdogs (covered the line in their last 6 games), the Magic’s dominance at home against similar caliber teams points towards a cover for Orlando.

Best Pick: Under 209.5 Total Points


NEW ORLEANS @ PHOENIX

Over/Under Prediction: Under 221.5 Total Points

Considering the Phoenix Suns’ pronounced trend towards the Under in their recent home games (10 of their last 11 home games have gone Under), coupled with their overall tendency to hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games, this matchup leans towards an Under outcome.

The Pelicans’ own performances do not strongly counter this trend, especially given the Suns’ ability to enforce a lower-scoring game environment at home.

ATS Prediction: Phoenix -6.0

The Suns have demonstrated a strong capacity to secure wins as home favorites, winning 14 of their last 15 games in such scenarios.

Despite the Pelicans’ strong performances in covering spreads, particularly in the first half of their games, the Suns’ consistent form at home provides confidence in their ability to cover the -6.0 spread, especially considering their success in the last 4 home games.

Best Pick: Under 221.5 Total Points


WASHINGTON @ TORONTO

Over/Under Prediction: Under 233.0 Total Points

The trend towards the Under in recent Toronto games, particularly at home (18 of their last 26), combined with both teams’ performances in this area, leans towards a lower-scoring game than the line suggests.

The historical context of the last four meetings between these two teams going Under reinforces the expectation for a tightly contested game focused more on defense.

ATS Prediction: Washington +5.0

Given the Raptors’ recent struggles, not only in winning games but also in covering the spread at home (failing to cover in their last 11 home games), there’s a compelling argument for the Wizards to cover the spread, even as underdogs.

The Wizards’ relatively better performance in covering the 4Q Spread in recent outings (34 of their last 51 games) suggests they have the resilience to keep the game close or possibly secure an outright win.

Best Pick: Under 233.0 Total Points


NEW YORK @ MILWAUKEE

Over/Under Prediction: Under 218.0 Total Points

The New York Knicks’ strong tendency towards hitting the Under in a significant number of their recent games (35 of their last 52), combined with the Milwaukee Bucks’ similar inclination towards the Under in their matchups (29 of their last 46), this game leans towards a lower-scoring affair.

Both teams have shown a pattern of defensive diligence that could limit scoring opportunities, making the Under a compelling choice.

ATS Prediction: New York Knicks +3.5

Not discounting the Knicks’ ups and downs, they have shown resilience after losses, covering the spread in 6 of their last 7 games following a defeat. Meanwhile, the Bucks are currently in a slump, having lost 5 of their last 6 games, which raises questions about their ability to cover the spread in this matchup.

The Knicks’ recent performance, coupled with the Bucks’ struggles, suggests that New York has a strong chance to cover the spread or potentially secure an outright win.

Best Pick: Under 218.0 Total Points


PHILADELPHIA @ SAN ANTONIO

Over/Under Prediction: Under 225.5 Total Points

Given the San Antonio Spurs’ mixed results in hitting game totals and the Philadelphia 76ers’ tendency for games to go Under on road back-to-backs (last 7 road back-to-back games have gone Unders), this matchup leans towards a lower-scoring outcome.

Both teams have shown patterns in their recent games that suggest a tight, possibly defensive-focused contest, making the Under a more attractive option.

ATS Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers -4.0

The 76ers’ recent form, having won 9 of their last 10 games against the Spurs and covered the line in their last 6 games, indicates a strong performance against the spread.

On the other hand, while the Spurs have shown resilience, particularly in the 4th quarter, their overall inconsistency across quarters might hinder their ability to cover in this matchup.

Best Pick: Under 225.5 Total Points


SACRAMENTO @ BROOKLYN

Over/Under Prediction: Over 215.0 Total Points

While the Sacramento Kings have shown a trend towards hitting the Under in many of their away games, the Brooklyn Nets’ recent back-to-back home games leaning towards the Over (7 out of 8) suggests a propensity for higher-scoring outcomes in this specific setup.

Coupled with the Kings’ ability to perform offensively, especially against teams with a losing record (winning 8 of their last 9 road games in such scenarios), it leans the prediction towards an Over on the total points.

ATS Prediction: Sacramento Kings -10.5

The Kings’ strong performance against teams with losing records on the road and the Nets’ struggle to cover the spread following a win (not covering in 6 of their last 7 games after a win) highlight Sacramento’s potential to cover the spread in this matchup.

Additionally, the Kings’ consistent ability to cover the spread in their away games further solidifies their position as the favorites to beat the spread.

Best Pick: Over 215.0 Total Points


UTAH @ GOLDEN STATE

Over/Under Prediction: Over 225.0 Total Points

The Utah Jazz’s trends towards hitting the Over, especially in the 1H Game Total (31 of their last 50 games) and the 3Q Game Total Over (34 of their last 56 games), suggest a game leaning towards higher total points.

Moreover, with the Golden State Warriors also having a significant trend towards hitting the 4Q Game Total Over (42 of their last 70 games), it aligns with a scenario where the total points could exceed the line set at 226.0.

ATS Prediction: Golden State Warriors -11.5

The Warriors’ strong performance against the spread in recent games (covered in 36 of their last 60 games) and their specific trend of covering the 4Q Spread in recent home games (6 of their last 7), they have shown competency in securing wins by substantial margins.

The Jazz’s difficulty in winning road games against Western teams with a winning record (losing their last 23) further supports the expectation that Golden State could cover this relatively large spread.

Best Pick: Over 225.0 Total Points


MINNESOTA @ LA LAKERS

Over/Under Prediction: Over 218.0 Total Points

Considering the LA Lakers’ recent trend in back-to-back games, where 10 out of their last 11 such games went OVER the total points, coupled with the Minnesota Timberwolves’ propensity to engage in higher-scoring games as indicated by their success in hitting the 2Q and 3Q Game Total Under in numerous matches, suggests a potentially high-scoring encounter.

The Lakers’ offense and patterns in back-to-back games support the likelihood of going OVER the total points line.

ATS Prediction: LA Lakers -1.5

The Lakers have shown a strong ability to cover the spread in recent matchups against the Timberwolves, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters.

Additionally, their performance in back-to-back games, winning their last 6, indicates a resilience and capability to perform under tight schedules, which could be crucial in covering the -1.5 spread in this matchup.

Best Pick: Over 218.0 Total Points


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