Tonight’s NBA Computer Picks – Fri, 22nd March

nba ai generated picks

We take hundreds of lines of statistics and trends from the top sites that offer NBA matchups statistical analysis, and tun these stats through AI, at which point the AI will predict the most likely outcome of the games given the huge number of statistics fed through the AI betting computer.

If you’re interested to see how these NBA computer picks go, we’ll be updating daily a Win/Loss table – so that we can all see just how good AI generated NBA picks are.


*These computer betting picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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AI COMPUTER PICKS RECORD

ATS RECORD TOTAL PTS PROPS
W L W L
23 25 23 24
  • BEST BETS: 18-17

Best ROI Picks Tonight

1. The Boston Celtics covering the 1H Spread in 52 of their last 72 games (+29.60 Units / 35% ROI):

This trend suggests a strong performance by the Celtics in the first half of their games, making it one of the most reliable bets based on their recent history.

2. The Indiana Pacers hitting the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 23 away games (+14.60 Units / 58% ROI):

The high ROI and the Pacers’ consistent performance in keeping the game total low in away games make this a compelling bet.

3. The Philadelphia 76ers hitting the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 away games (+19.15 Units / 27% ROI):

This trend indicates the 76ers’ strong ability to win games on the road, providing a good potential return on investment.


BOSTON @ DETROIT

Over/Under Prediction: Under 224.5 Total Points

The Pistons’ recent trend towards low-scoring outcomes, with their last 6 games going Under, combined with their strong Under performance in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI), suggests a continuation of this pattern. The Celtics’ ability to hold teams to lower scores, as indicated by hitting the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 62 games (+20.35 Units / 28% ROI), supports the likelihood of a low-scoring affair.

ATS Prediction: Boston -13.5

Boston’s consistent performance against teams below .500, covering their last 6 such games, and their dominance in the first half, covering the 1H Spread in 52 of their last 72 games (+29.60 Units / 35% ROI), indicates they are likely to cover the spread. The Pistons’ struggle against Eastern opponents above .500, losing their last 28 home games, further reinforces Boston’s potential to cover.

Best Pick: Boston -13.5

Given the Celtics’ strong record against teams below .500 and their ability to cover the 1H Spread with a significant ROI, betting on Boston to cover the spread appears to be the most compelling option.

Best ROI Bet: Boston Covering the 1H Spread

With a 35% ROI on covering the 1H Spread in their last 72 games, Boston shows a strong trend of early-game dominance. This trend, combined with Detroit’s challenges in maintaining competitive first halves against strong teams, presents a high-value opportunity for bettors.


OKLAHOMA CITY @ TORONTO

Over/Under Prediction: Over 227.5 Total Points

Considering the Thunder’s last 6 games as favorites against the Raptors have all gone Overs, combined with the Raptors’ recent performance of hitting the Game Total Under in home games less frequently, this matchup leans towards an Over outcome.

ATS Prediction: Oklahoma City -15.5

Given the Thunder’s strong performance against teams above .500, and the Raptors’ difficulty in covering the spread in their recent home games, Oklahoma City is positioned to cover the -15.5 spread. The Thunder’s record of covering the Spread in 42 of their last 72 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI) suggests they are capable of outperforming expectations against a struggling Raptors team.

Best Pick: Oklahoma City -15.5

The combination of the Thunder’s successful ATS history and the Raptors’ struggles against Western teams above .500 makes betting on Oklahoma City to cover the most compelling pick. The Thunder’s overall performance, along with their ability to cover the 3Q and 4Q Spreads in recent games, further solidifies this choice.

Best ROI Bet: Over 227.5 Total Points

The trend of Overs in recent matchups between the Thunder and Raptors, particularly with Oklahoma City’s last 6 games as favorites against Toronto going Over, presents a high-value betting opportunity.


NEW ORLEANS @ MIAMI

Over/Under Prediction: Under 208.5 Total Points

The Heat’s recent trend, with 52 of their last 78 games going Under, suggests a continuation of low-scoring games, especially considering their strong defensive performances and success in controlling the pace. The specific trend of their last 8 games as favorites against teams on the second leg of a back-to-back going Under further supports this prediction.

ATS Prediction: Miami -3.5

Given the Heat’s dominance over the Pelicans in their last 7 encounters and their consistent ability to win the first quarter in matchups against New Orleans, Miami appears well-positioned to cover the spread. Additionally, the Pelicans’ struggle to cover in 6 of their last 7 games as underdogs against Eastern opponents hints at Miami’s potential to exceed expectations once more.

Best Pick: Under 208.5 Total Points

Considering the strong Under trend in Miami’s games and their defensive prowess, the Under bet is the most compelling. The statistical evidence, combined with the Heat’s track record in similar game scenarios, makes the Under 205.5 total points the safest and most convincing choice.

Best ROI Bet: Game Total Under in 52 of the last 78 Heat games (+23.40 Units / 27% ROI)

The consistent trend of games involving the Miami Heat going Under, coupled with a significant return on investment, stands out as the most likely to win. This pattern indicates a strategic approach by the Heat that leads to lower-scoring games, making the Under bet an attractive option with substantial potential ROI.


CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA

Over/Under Prediction: Under 207.0 Total Points

Given the Cavs’ recent trend of their last 4 games as road underdogs going Under, combined with both teams’ strong performances in keeping the game totals low, the Under is the more likely outcome. The Cavs have consistently hit the 4Q Game Total Under, and the Timberwolves have seen the 2Q Game Total Under in many of their games, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring affair.

ATS Prediction: Cleveland +6.5

The Cavs’ resilience after losses, covering their last 6 games following a defeat, and their knack for winning the first half in recent road games against the Timberwolves, suggests they could cover the spread as underdogs. Their overall strong away performance adds to this prediction.

Best Pick: Under 207.0 Total Points

The Under bet appears to be the strongest, considering the trends of both teams towards lower-scoring games in recent matchups and specific trends like the Cavs’ performance in 4Q Game Totals and the Timberwolves’ 2Q Game Totals.

Best ROI Bet: Cleveland Cavaliers hitting the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 79 games (+19.95 Units / 22% ROI)

This trend stands out as the most promising for ROI, showcasing a solid pattern of the Cavaliers’ games leaning towards lower scores in the 4th quarter, making the Under 208.5 total points a viable and attractive bet.


MEMPHIS @ SAN ANTONIO

Over/Under Prediction: Under 217.5 Total Points

Considering the Spurs’ recent trend of their last 6 games against Southwest opponents going Under and both teams’ historical performances in 4Q Game Totals, the Under appears more likely. The Spurs and Grizzlies both have a significant number of games hitting the Game Total Under, suggesting a defensive matchup.

ATS Prediction: Memphis +6.0

The Grizzlies’ strong record against the Spurs, winning their last 13 encounters, and their ability to win the first half in most of their recent games as underdogs against the Spurs, suggest they could cover the spread or even win outright.

Best Pick: Under 217.5 Total Points

The consistent Under trends for both teams, especially in divisional matchups for the Spurs and the Grizzlies’ ability to keep the 4Q scores low, make the Under bet the most compelling. Both teams have shown a propensity for lower-scoring games, reinforcing the Under as the strongest pick.

Best ROI Bet: Memphis Grizzlies hitting the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 78 games (+22.45 Units / 25% ROI)

This trend is the most promising for an ROI, indicating a solid pattern of the Grizzlies’ games leaning towards lower scores in the 4th quarter. The combination of both teams’ trends supports the Under 218.5 total points as a viable and attractive bet.


INDIANA @ GOLDEN STATE

Over/Under Prediction: Over 238.5 Total Points

The Warriors’ trend towards high-scoring games at home, with the last 4 going Overs, combined with the Pacers’ penchant for hitting the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games, suggests a game that’s likely to surpass the total points line. Despite the Pacers’ strong Under trends in away games, the Warriors’ offensive capabilities at home should contribute to a high-scoring affair.

ATS Prediction: Golden State -4.5

Golden State’s historical difficulty in covering spreads following a win is countered by their overall home performance and the underdogs’ recent success in matchups between these two teams. However, considering the Warriors’ ability to cover the Spread in 31 of their last 51 games, there’s a good indication they can overcome recent trends and cover against the Pacers.

Best Pick: Over 238.5 Total Points

Given the Warriors’ scoring trends in recent home games and the Pacers’ overall high-scoring matchups, the Over bet appears to have a strong foundation. The historical matchup data pointing towards Overs in Warriors’ recent home games further solidifies this choice.

Best ROI Bet: Indiana Pacers 4Q Game Total Under

The Pacers hitting the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 44 games stands out with a significant 40% ROI, suggesting it as the best bet for a positive return. Despite the overall game prediction leaning towards an Over, this specific trend offers a compelling investment opportunity based on the Pacers’ fourth-quarter performances.


LA CLIPPERS @ PORTLAND

Over/Under Prediction: Over 217.5 Total Points

The trend of the Blazers’ home games against Western opponents going Overs, specifically in their last 6 matchups, indicates a high-scoring game is likely. This trend, combined with the Clippers’ ability to hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 away games, suggests that despite the Clippers’ overall trend towards Unders in recent games, this matchup favors Overs.

ATS Prediction: LA Clippers -13.5

The Clippers’ recent dominance over the Blazers, winning their last 8 encounters, and the Blazers’ struggle to cover against teams above .500 at home, positions the Clippers favorably to cover the spread. The Clippers’ strong Moneyline performance in away games, winning 21 of their last 29, supports their capability to secure a win.

Best Pick: Over 217.5 Total Points

Given the specific matchup trends and both teams’ scoring capabilities, especially in context with the Blazers’ home game trends against Western opponents, the Over bet emerges as the more solid choice. This prediction is further backed by the Blazers’ tendency towards high-scoring home games against the West.

Best ROI Bet: LA Clippers 1Q Game Total Under

The Clippers hitting the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games, with a 14% ROI, appears to be the most promising bet for a positive return.


PHILADELPHIA @ LA LAKERS

Over/Under Prediction: Under 225.5 Total Points

Given the 76ers’ trend of the last 9 games as underdogs going Under, coupled with their ability to hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI), it suggests a continuation of low-scoring games when they are underdogs. The Lakers have seen the Game Total go Over in their last 4 home games, but facing the defensively strong 76ers might challenge that trend.

ATS Prediction: Philadelphia +7.5

The 76ers have won the first quarter in 12 of their last 13 games at Crypto.com Arena, showcasing their strong starts in games. Although the Lakers have been on a winning streak against Eastern opponents, Philadelphia’s ability to hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 away games (+19.15 Units / 27% ROI) indicates their competitiveness, suggesting they could cover the spread.

Best Pick: Under 225.5 Total Points

The strongest bet appears to be on the total going Under 224.5, considering the 76ers’ strong defensive play in recent games against the spread and their consistent Under outcomes when playing as underdogs. The Lakers’ recent Over trend in home games provides some counterbalance, but Philadelphia’s defensive capability likely tips the scale towards a lower-scoring game.

Best ROI Bet: Philadelphia 1Q Moneyline

The Philadelphia 76ers hitting the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+10.80 Units / 81% ROI) stands out as the bet with the best potential ROI. Their strong starts in games, especially when playing away, coupled with their success in the first quarter against the Lakers, make this a good choice.


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