When it comes to betting on MLB, punters often turn to well-known proven betting systems to improve their chances of a cash-out on their MLB tips.
Betting systems provide a structured approach, using statistical patterns and historical data to guide decision-making.
5 Best MLB Baseball Betting Systems
Here are the top five proven MLB betting systems among MLB bettors.
1. Martingale Betting System
The Martingale Betting System is one of the oldest and simplest betting strategies.
The core principle of this system is to double your bet after each loss, ensuring that a single win will recover all previous losses and yield a profit equal to the original stake.
How it Works:
- Start with a base bet (e.g., $10).
- If you lose, double the bet for the next game (e.g., $20).
- Continue doubling the bet after each loss (e.g., $40, $80, $160).
- After a win, return to the base bet.
Example:
- Game 1: Bet $10 on the Yankees. Yankees lose. Total loss: $10.
- Game 2: Bet $20 on the Red Sox. Red Sox lose. Total loss: $30 ($10 + $20).
- Game 3: Bet $40 on the Dodgers. Dodgers win. Total win: $40.
- Return to the base bet of $10 for the next game.
Advantages:
- Simple to understand and implement.
- Guarantees a profit if you eventually win.
Disadvantages:
- Requires a substantial bankroll to withstand losing streaks.
- Betting limits imposed by sportsbooks can hinder the ability to double bets indefinitely.
The Martingale System can be risky due to the potential for big losses during extended losing streaks.
However, for those with a high-risk tolerance and sufficient capital, it can be an effective strategy.
2. Fibonacci Betting System
The Fibonacci Betting System is a betting strategy based on the famous Fibonacci sequence (1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, …).
Unlike the Martingale system, the Fibonacci system is less aggressive, increasing the bet amount more gradually after losses.
How it Works:
- Start with a base bet (e.g., $10).
- If you lose, move to the next number in the Fibonacci sequence (e.g., $10, $10, $20, $30, $50).
- After a win, move two steps back in the sequence.
Example:
- Game 1: Bet $10 on the Mets. Mets lose. Total loss: $10.
- Game 2: Bet $10 on the Braves. Braves lose. Total loss: $20 ($10 + $10).
- Game 3: Bet $20 on the Cubs. Cubs lose. Total loss: $40 ($20 + $20).
- Game 4: Bet $30 on the Cardinals. Cardinals win. Total win: $30.
- Move two steps back and bet $10 for the next game.
Advantages:
- Less aggressive than the Martingale system, reducing the risk of large losses.
- Suitable for bettors with moderate bankrolls.
Disadvantages:
- Longer losing streaks can still lead to significant losses.
- The gradual increase in bets can make it harder to recover losses quickly.
The Fibonacci Betting System offers a more conservative approach compared to the Martingale, making it a popular choice for bettors looking for a balance between risk and reward.
3. Kelly Criterion
The Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula used to determine the optimal size of a bet based on the edge (advantage) and the odds.
This system is widely regarded as one of the most efficient betting strategies for maximizing long-term growth of a bettor’s bankroll.
How it Works:
- Calculate the edge (E) using the formula: E = (P * B) – Q, where P is the probability of winning, B is the odds, and Q is the probability of losing.
- Determine the bet size using the formula: Bet Size = Bankroll * (E / B).
Example:
- Assume you have a $1,000 bankroll.
- The probability of the Dodgers winning is 60% (0.6), and the odds are 2.0.
- Calculate the edge: E = (0.6 * 2.0) – 0.4 = 0.8.
- Bet size = $1,000 * (0.8 / 2.0) = $400.
- Bet $400 on the Dodgers.
Advantages:
- Optimizes bet size to maximize long-term growth.
- Reduces the risk of ruin by avoiding overly aggressive bets.
Disadvantages:
- Requires accurate probability estimates, which can be challenging to determine.
- More complex than simple progressive betting systems.
The Kelly Criterion is favored by professional bettors and investors due to its sound mathematical foundation and focus on long-term profitability.
4. D’Alembert Betting System
The D’Alembert Betting System is a more conservative betting strategy that involves increasing the bet size by one unit after a loss and decreasing it by one unit after a win.
This system is based on the principle of equilibrium, assuming that wins and losses will eventually balance out.
How it Works:
- Start with a base bet (e.g., $10).
- Increase the bet by one unit after each loss (e.g., $10, $20, $30).
- Decrease the bet by one unit after each win (e.g., $30, $20, $10).
Example:
- Game 1: Bet $10 on the Yankees. Yankees lose. Total loss: $10.
- Game 2: Bet $20 on the Red Sox. Red Sox win. Total win: $20.
- Game 3: Bet $10 on the Cubs (decrease by one unit). Cubs lose. Total loss: $10.
- Game 4: Bet $20 on the Dodgers (increase by one unit). Dodgers win. Total win: $20.
Example:
- Bet $10 on each game.
- Game 1: Bet $10 on the Yankees. Yankees lose. Total loss: $10.
- Game 2: Bet $10 on the Red Sox. Red Sox win. Total win: $10.
- Game 3: Bet $10 on the Dodgers. Dodgers win. Total win: $10.
- Game 4: Bet $10 on the Cubs. Cubs lose. Total loss: $10.
- Continue betting $10 on each subsequent game.
Advantages:
- Less aggressive than other progressive betting systems.
- Easier to manage bankroll and less prone to large fluctuations.
Disadvantages:
- Slower recovery from losses compared to more aggressive systems.
- Prolonged losing streaks can still lead to significant losses.
The D’Alembert Betting System is suitable for bettors looking for a methodical and less risky approach to managing their bets.
5. Flat Betting System
The Flat Betting System is one of the simplest and safest betting strategies, involving placing the same amount on each bet, regardless of previous outcomes. This system focuses on consistency and disciplined bankroll management.
How it Works:
- Determine a fixed bet amount (e.g., $10).
- Place the same bet amount on every game.
Advantages:
- Easy to understand and implement.
- Limits the risk of significant losses.
- Encourages disciplined betting behavior.
Disadvantages:
- Does not capitalize on winning streaks.
- May result in slower profit accumulation compared to progressive systems.
The Flat Betting System is ideal for beginners and conservative bettors who prioritize bankroll preservation over rapid gains.
MLB Betting Systems For The Serious Punter
Each of these MLB betting systems offers unique advantages and disadvantages, catering to different risk tolerances and betting styles.
The Martingale and Fibonacci systems provide structured approaches for managing losing streaks, albeit with varying levels of risk.
The Kelly Criterion offers a mathematically optimized strategy for maximizing long-term growth, while the D’Alembert and Flat Betting systems focus on conservative and disciplined betting practices.
When choosing a betting system, it’s essential to consider your bankroll, risk tolerance, and betting goals.
No system guarantees success, but understanding and applying these strategies can enhance your overall betting experience and potentially improve your chances of making a profit.
Always bet responsibly and within your means.
