NHL Playoff Picks Tonight – Sat, 11th May

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*These NHL Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.


NEW YORK RANGERS @ CAROLINA HURRICANES

QUARTER FINALS – GAME 4

NEW YORK LEAD 3-0

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NYR 55 23 30-11-0 25-12-4
CAR 52 23 27-10-4 25-13-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM GF GA DIFF GLS AV
NYR 3.4 2.8 +0.6 6.2
CAR 3.4 2.6 +0.8 6.0

SEASON MATCHUPS

NEW YORK RANGERS 3-1

GAME 3 CAR NYR 2:3 (2:2)
GAME 2 NYR CAR 4:3 (3:3)
GAME 1 NYR CAR 4:3
13.03.24 CAR NYR 0:1
03.01.24 NYR CAR 1:6
03.11.23 NYR CAR 2:1

PICKS ATS

SPREAD TOTAL RESULT
NYR OVER CAR
+1.5 5.5 4:3

THE RUB

In their Eastern second-round series, the Hurricanes are facing a dire situation, trailing the Rangers 3-0. Thus far, all three games have been close, with Carolina suffering one-goal losses, including a recent 3-2 overtime defeat in Game 3.

Carolina’s special teams have been a struggle this postseason, with their power play converting only 5 goals on 30 opportunities and remaining scoreless in 15 attempts against the Rangers. On the penalty kill, they’ve allowed seven goals on 24 opposition opportunities.

Meanwhile, New York is on the cusp of another series sweep, largely due to Artemi Panarin’s overtime heroics in Game 3. Panarin’s performance included his fourth game-winner of the postseason, showcasing the Rangers’ resilience in critical moments.

New York’s special teams have been formidable, boasting a 34.5% efficiency rate on the power play and a 93.8% success rate on the penalty kill. Goalie Igor Shesterkin has been stellar, boasting a 2.01 goals-against average and a .935 save percentage through seven games, providing a boost to the Rangers’ defensive efforts.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Mika Zibanejad has 1+ assists in each of the Rangers’ last 13 games.
  • Brady Skjei has 1+ assists in each of the Hurricanes’ last 7 home games.
  • Chris Kreider has scored a goal in 6 of the Rangers’ last 7 road games.
  • Jake Guentzel has scored 1+ goals in 8 of his last 10 playoff games vs the Rangers.
  • Vincent Trocheck has scored a goal in 5 of the Rangers’ last 6 games.

PICK – NEW YORK RANGERS +1.5


DALLAS STARS @ COLORADO AVALANCH

QUARTER FINALS – GAME 3

SERIES TIED 1-1

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
COL 50 25 31-9-1 19-16-6
DAL 52 21 26-11-4 26-10-5

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM GF GA DIFF GLS AV
COL 3.7 3.1 +0.6 6.8
DAL 3.6 2.9 +0.8 6.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

COLORADO 3-1

GAME 2 DAL COL 5:3
GAME 1 DAL COL 3:4 (3:3)
08.04.24 COL DAL 4:7
28.02.24 COL DAL 5:1
05.01.24 DAL COL 4:5 (4:4)
19.11.23 DAL COL 3:6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD TOTAL RESULT
DAL OVER DAL
+1.5 6.5 4:1

THE RUB

In their Western Semis matchup, the Stars and Avalanche have been engaged in a fierce battle, with each team claiming a win in the first two games. The series is now shifting to Denver for Game 3, presenting a challenge for the Stars, given the Avalanche’s dominance on home ice.

Colorado boasts the best home record in the NHL, having won 31 games during the regular season. They have continued their success in Denver during the playoffs, holding a perfect 2-0 record at home so far. The Stars, however, have proven resilient on the road, having overcome adversity in their first-round series against the Vegas Golden Knights.

Despite missing an opportunity to take a 2-0 series lead, the Stars remain confident, understanding the importance of being tied 1-1 heading into Game 3. Forward Miro Heiskanen talke up the importance of the win in Game 2 and expressed the team’s determination to improving.

The Avalanche, meanwhile, have showcased their depth, particularly with Valeri Nichushkin’s outstanding performance. Nichushkin’s remarkable goal-scoring streak has been a highlight of Colorado’s playoff run, matching a postseason record set by Pat LaFontaine in 1992.

As the series intensifies in Denver, both teams are prepared for a battle, with the Avalanche hoping to capitalize on their home-ice advantage and the Stars aiming to maintain their road resilience.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Valeri Nichushkin has scored 1+ goals in each of the Avalanche’s last 8 games.
  • Casey Mittelstadt has 1+ assists in 4 of the Avalanche’s last 5 games.
  • Joe Pavelski has 1+ assists in 4 of the Stars’ last 5 games as underdogs.
  • Tyler Seguin has scored 1+ goals in 5 of his last 6 games vs the Avalanche.
  • Nathan MacKinnon has scored 1+ goals in 4 of the Avalanche’s last 5 home games vs the Stars.

PICK – OVER 6.5 TOTAL GOALS