*These NHL Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.
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NEW YORK RANGERS @ CAROLINA HURRICANES
QUARTER FINALS – GAME 3
NEW YORK LEAD 2-0
ATS Prediction: Carolina Hurricanes -1.5
The Hurricanes have covered the puck line in 42 out of their last 95 games at home, resulting in a -9% ROI. Meanwhile, the New York Rangers have covered the puck line in 29 out of their last 84 games overall, resulting in a +13% ROI. However, focusing specifically on home games, the Hurricanes have displayed a stronger trend in covering the puck line, despite the negative ROI, suggesting their ability to perform well at home.
Additionally, looking at their recent performances, the Hurricanes have hit the 2P Moneyline in 38 out of their last 95 games, with a +5% ROI, while the Rangers have hit the 2P Moneyline in 29 out of their last 48 games, with a +21% ROI.
However, considering that this game is not solely reliant on the 2P performance, the Hurricanes’ consistent performance in covering the puck line at home provides a stronger indication of their potential to cover the spread.
Total Points Prediction: Under 5.5 Total Goals
Both teams have shown a tendency towards lower-scoring games recently. The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the game total under in 53 out of their last 95 games, resulting in a +10% ROI. On the other hand, the New York Rangers have only hit the game total over in 44 out of their last 78 games, resulting in a -22% ROI.
When focusing on specific periods, the Hurricanes have hit the 3P game total under in 23 out of their last 47 home games, with a +17% ROI, while the Rangers have hit the 1P game total over in 40 out of their last 83 games, resulting in a -14% ROI.
Considering these statistics and ROI trends, it suggests that both teams have been more inclined towards lower-scoring games, especially the Hurricanes at home.
BEST PICK CAROLINA HURRICANES -1.5
COLORADO AVALANCHE @ DALLAS STARS
QUARTER FINALS – GAME 2
COLORADO LEAD 1-0
ATS Prediction: Colorado Avalanche -1.5
Analyzing the ATS trend, the Colorado Avalanche have displayed a stronger performance in covering the puck line, covering 47 out of their last 88 games, resulting in a +13% ROI. Meanwhile, the Dallas Stars have struggled to cover the puck line at home, covering it in only 15 out of their last 51 home games, resulting in a -30% ROI.
Despite the Avalanche’s slightly lower ROI, their stronger trend in covering the puck line suggests their ability to perform better in this aspect compared to the Stars.
Total Points Prediction: Over 6.0 Goals
Both teams have leaned toward higher-scoring games, especially in the first period. The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P game total over in 45 out of their last 62 games, resulting in a +29% ROI. Similarly, the Dallas Stars have hit the 1P game total over in 32 out of their last 51 home games, resulting in a +10% ROI.
Additionally, the Avalanche have hit the game total over in 49 out of their last 79 games, while the Stars have hit the game total over in 29 out of their last 51 home games.
Considering these trends and the offensive capabilities of both teams, the over 6 total goals seems like a reasonable prediction for this game.
