*These NBA computer picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.
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EDMONTON @ FLORIDA
NHL FINALS – GAME 5
FLORIDA LEAD 3-1
Over/Under Pick: Under 5.5 Total Goals
Analyzing the strong under trends from both teams, an under bet appears to be well-supported:
- Edmonton Oilers: They have consistently managed to keep the score low in away games, hitting the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 away games, achieving a substantial 31% ROI. Their performance in the third period (3P Game Total Under in 14 of the last 27 games with a 31% ROI) suggests a strong tendency to reduce scoring opportunities as the game progresses.
- Florida Panthers: Florida has shown a consistent ability to keep overall game scores low, with the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 88 games (24% ROI). They are particularly strong in early and late game scenarios, with significant unders in both the first period and the third period game totals.
Given these under trends combined with both teams’ current form and historical performances, a total set at 5.5 provides a favorable condition for betting under.
ATS Pick: Florida Panthers -1.5
Florida’s strong home performance and ability to dominate late in games make them likely to cover the -1.5 goal spread:
- Florida Panthers Home Strength: They have won their last four home games and have a solid record of covering the puck line late in games, reflected in their performance covering the 3P Puck Line in 57 of their last 103 games (12% ROI).
- Edmonton’s Struggles: The Oilers have struggled to cover handicaps following a home win, failing to do so in seven of their last eight attempts. This trend, combined with their weaker road performance, supports the likelihood of Florida covering the spread.
Best Pick: Under 5.5 Total Goals
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