NHL Semi-Finals – Dallas @ Edmonton – Game 3

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*These NHL Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.


EDMONTON OILERS @ DALLAS STARS

SEMI FINALS – GAME 3

SERIES TIED 1-1

MATCHUP STATS

  • The Stars have won their last 5 games as underdogs.
  • 5 of the Oilers’ last 6 games have gone Unders.
  • The Stars have covered 11 of their last 12 as underdogs vs. Western opponents.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
COL 50 25 31-9-1 19-16-6
DAL 52 21 26-11-4 26-10-5

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM GF GA DIFF GLS AV
COL 3.7 3.1 +0.6 6.8
DAL 3.6 2.9 +0.8 6.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

COLORADO 3-1

GAME 2 DAL EDM 3:1
GAME 1 DAL EDM 2:3 (2:2)
04.04.24 DAL EDM 5:0
18.02.24 DAL EDM 3:4 (3:3)
03.11.23 EDM DAL 3:4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD TOTAL RESULT
DAL UNDER DAL
+1.5 5.5 5:3

THE RUB

The Edmonton Oilers took home-ice advantage from the Dallas Stars in the Western Conference finals and aim to keep it when they host Game 3 on Monday. The series is tied 1-1.

“We’re back in our barn. It’s going to be exciting,” said defenseman Mattias Ekholm. “We … got our split and we feel good about that, but now it’s time to raise our level.”

Edmonton won the series opener 3-2 in double overtime, but Dallas evened it with a 3-1 win on Saturday. The Oilers dominated the first period, outshooting Dallas 16-4 but couldn’t gain a lead. Mason Marchment broke the 1-1 tie in the third period, and Edmonton managed only four shots on net afterward.

“They just got one more bounce than us,” forward Connor Brown said. Edmonton has killed 20 consecutive penalties and boasts a 4-2 home record.

Dallas has a strong 5-1 road record. Goaltender Jake Oettinger highlighted the team’s defensive efforts against Edmonton’s stars, Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, who were held scoreless in the last game.

Coach Peter DeBoer expects top-line center Roope Hintz to play in at least one of the next two games. The Oilers anticipate forward Adam Henrique’s return soon.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Leon Draisaitl has 1+ assists in each of the Oilers’ last 7 games as favorites.
  • Miro Heiskanen has an assist in 5 of the Stars’ last 6 games vs. Oilers.
  • Roope Hintz has 1+ assists in 4 of his last 5 road games vs. Oilers.
  • Matt Duchene has scored in 4 of his last 5 appearances at Rogers Place.
  • Evan Bouchard has scored in each of the Oilers’ last 3 home games.

PICK – UNDER 5.5 TOTAL GOALS