Sunday – NFL Free Picks – Week 6

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*These free NFL picks and NFL player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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WEEK 6 NFL PARLAY

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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS @ CHICAGO BEARS

Sunday, October 13th – Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

TEAM TRENDS

• The Jaguars’ last 6 games at neutral venues have gone under the total match points line.
• The Bears’ last 5 games, their opponents have scored first.
• The Jaguars have won the first half in their last 7 games in October.
• The Bears have covered 4 of their last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Jacksonville 3Q Spread – Covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
2. Jacksonville 3Q Moneyline – Hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 34% ROI)
3. Chicago Moneyline (Home Games) – Hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 home games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Jaguars and Bears are set to clash at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday, marking their first meeting since Week 16, 2020.

The Bears enter are riding high after a big 36-10 win over the Panthers, their largest winning margin since 2020. Wide receiver D.J. Moore ignited Chicago’s offense with 105 yards and two touchdowns on five catches, while rookie quarterback Caleb Williams had his most polished performance to date, throwing for 304 yards and two touchdowns with no turnovers. This win extends the Bears’ home winning streak to eight games, the longest run since their 1985-86 dominance.

The Jaguars notched their first win of the season, edging the Colts 37-34. Trevor Lawrence had a standout performance, completing 28 of 34 passes for 371 yards and two touchdowns. Rookie receiver Brian Thomas Jr. shined with 122 receiving yards and a touchdown, helping Jacksonville break free from their winless start.

Both teams will be looking to build on their recent form as they take the international stage in London.

PICK – CHICAGO -1.0

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ARIZONA CARDINALS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS

Sunday, October 13th – Lambeau Field, Green Bay

TEAM TRENDS

• The Packers have scored first in 6 of their last 7 games.
• The Cardinals have lost the 1st half in 13 of their last 16 games.
• The Cardinals have covered in 5 of their last 6 road games.
• The last 4 games between the Cardinals and Packers have gone Under.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Cardinals 2H Moneyline – Hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
2. Packers 1Q Moneyline – Hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
3. Packers 4Q Game Total Under – Hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Cardinals and Packers will clash at Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon for the first time since Week 8 of 2021.

The Packers are coming off a 24-19 win against the Rams at SoFi Stadium, where Jordan Love and tight end Tucker Kraft connected four times for two TDs, marking a career-high 88-yard receiving game for Kraft. The Packers’ offense has found some rhythm and will look to build on their success at home.

The Cardinals are fresh off a nail-biting 24-23 win over the 49ers, where they shut out San Francisco in the second half to overturn a 13-point deficit.

Arizona is aiming for its first winning streak since 2021 but faces a tough challenge in stopping Green Bay’s formidable rushing attack. The Packers are averaging 164.8 rushing yards per game and 5.2 yards per carry, both ranking in the NFL’s top five. Arizona’s defense will need to step up, as it currently ranks 28th in the league for opponent rushing yards per game, allowing 147.8 yards on the ground.

PICK – OVER 47.5 TOTAL POINTS

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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ TENNESSEE TITANS

Sunday, October 13th – Nissan Stadium, Nashville

TEAM TRENDS

• The Titans have scored first in 7 of their last 8 games vs the Colts.
• The Colts have covered in 4 of their last 5 games.
• 7 of the Colts’ last 8 games against AFC opponents have gone Over.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Indianapolis 1Q Game Total Over – Hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.90 Units / 29% ROI)
2. Tennessee 1H Moneyline – Hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
3. Tennessee 4Q Game Total Under – Hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.85 Units / 33% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Division rivals the Colts and Titans take the field at Nissan Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Titans are coming off a bye week, which may have halted some momentum after securing their first win of the season. Tennessee has struggled within the division, posting a 1-8 record in its last nine divisional games, and will be looking to turn that trend around.

The Colts come in after a tough 37-34 loss to the Jaguars, though Joe Flacco shone in Anthony Richardson’s absence, throwing for 359 yards and three TDs.

Both Richardson and Titans QB Will Levis are expected to play despite injuries, though the Colts’ receivers will be without Michael Pittman and potentially Josh Downs. Levis will need to clean up his play after nine turnovers in four games, and the Colts’ defense ranks tied for 6th in takeaways, setting up a tough matchup for the young QB.

PICK – INDIANAPOLIS +2.5

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HOUSTON TEXANS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Sunday, October 13th – Gillette Stadium, Foxborough

TEAM TRENDS

• The Patriots have lost their last 6 games at Gillette Stadium.
• 4 of the Texans’ last 4 games have gone Under.
• The Patriots have scored first in 7 of their last 8 games vs the Texans.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Houston 2Q Moneyline – Hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)
2. Houston Team Total Under – Hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
3. New England 4Q Game Total Under – Hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

In the midst of a four-game losing streak, the Patriots will unveil their prized first-round pick when they host the Houston Texans at Gillette Stadium.

It may be earlier than Jerod Mayo was initially hoping to let third overall pick Drake Maye start at QB, but after last week’s unwatchable 15-10 home loss to the struggling Dolphins, his hand was forced.

The two teams went a combined 6-24 on third down, while the Patriots committed 12 penalties for 105 yards.

The Texans’ Week 5 ended in a 23-20 win over the Bills at NRG Stadium. C.J. Stroud was good against Buffalo, throwing 28-38 for 331 yards and a touchdown. Stroud ranks third in the NFL for passing yards (1,385) this season.

However, favourite target Nico Collins is set to miss at least four weeks with a hamstring injury. The Texans sit at 4-1 this season, marking their best record through five games since 2012.

PICK – UNDER 37.5 TOTAL POINTS

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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Sunday, October 13th – Caesars Superdome, New Orleans

TEAM TRENDS

• The Saints have scored first in 4 of their last 5 games vs the Buccaneers.
• The road team has covered in 7 of the last 8 games between the Buccaneers and Saints.
• The Buccaneers have won their last 4 games following a loss.
• 5 of the last 5 games between the Buccaneers and Saints have gone Under.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Tampa Bay 2Q Moneyline – Hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+8.35 Units / 75% ROI)
2. Tampa Bay 2Q Spread – Covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 66% ROI)
3. New Orleans 1H Game Total Over – Hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 44% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Saints will be desperate to snap a 3-game losing streak when they host division rivals, the Buccaneers, at Caesars Superdome.

The Saints’ latest loss came in a 26-13 outing against the Chiefs, made worse by an oblique strain to starting QB Derek Carr, sidelining him for multiple weeks. In his place, rookie Spencer Rattler will make his NFL debut, adding intrigue to an already crucial matchup for New Orleans. Their offense will need to step up, particularly without Carr, as they look to climb out of their slump and protect their home turf.

The Buccaneers come into this game off a heartbreaking 36-30 overtime loss to the Falcons, which knocked them out of first place in the NFC South.

Tampa Bay’s passing defense struggled bigtime, allowing 509 yards and four TDs to Kirk Cousins. Despite the defensive issues, Mike Evans continues to shine, leading the NFL in receiving touchdowns. The Buccaneers will look to rebound and regain their divisional footing against a Saints team adjusting to their rookie QB.

PICK – OVER 41.5 TOTAL POINTS

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CLEVELAND BROWNS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Sunday, October 13th – Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

TEAM TRENDS

• The Eagles’ opponents have scored first in their last 7 games.
• The Browns’ D/ST has a TD in 3 of their last 4 games vs the Eagles.
• The Eagles haven’t covered the line in their last 10 games vs teams below .500.
• 11 of the Browns’ last 13 road games have gone Over.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Cleveland 1H Game Total Over – Hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 37% ROI)
2. Philadelphia 3Q Game Total Over – Hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
3. Cleveland 3Q Game Total Over – Hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.35 Units / 44% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Riding a three-game losing streak, the Browns will face the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field.

The Eagles, coming off a Week 5 bye, last played in a 33-16 loss to the Buccaneers, during which they struggled big time, recording their fewest total offensive yards since 2021.

However, Philadelphia should get a boost with the return of key receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, which could help reignite their offense. At 3-2, the Eagles will be looking to bounce back after a poor outing.

The slumping Browns dropped to 1-4 following a 34-13 loss to the Commanders. Cleveland’s offense has been the main issue, as QB Deshaun Watson continues to find life hard on the field, failing to go over 200 passing yards in any game while being sacked a league-high 26 times. With their worst start since the winless 2017 season, Cleveland’s offense will need a drastic turnaround to compete against a talented Eagles squad.

PICK – OVER 42.5 TOTAL POINTS

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WASHINGTON COMMANDERS @ BALTIMORE RAVENS

Sunday, October 13th – M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore

TEAM TRENDS

• The Commanders have covered in their last 4 games.
• The Ravens have won their last 10 games against NFC opponents.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Washington 3Q Spread – Covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 45% ROI)
2. Baltimore 2H Moneyline – Hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
3. Baltimore 4Q Game Total Over – Hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 32% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Riding a four-game winning streak, the Commanders will travel to M&T Bank Stadium to face the Ravens in a highly anticipated quarterback duel.

The Commanders are coming off a 34-13 win over the Browns, with rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels continuing his strong start to the season. Daniels led Washington in rushing with 82 yards and overcame a red-zone interception to finish with 238 passing yards and a touchdown. The Commanders are now 4-1, their best start through five games since 1991, putting them in a great position in the NFC.

The Ravens, fresh off a thrilling 41-38 overtime win against the Bengals, will look to maintain their offensive momentum. Lamar Jackson was electric, throwing for 348 yards and four touchdowns, while Derrick Henry added 92 rushing yards and a touchdown. Baltimore’s offense has been on fire, leading the league with 2,238 total yards, the best start in franchise history.

This matchup between two in-form teams promises to be one of the most exciting clashes of Week 6.

PICK – OVER 51.0 TOTAL POINTS

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LOS ANGELES CHARGERS @ DENVER BRONCOS

Sunday, October 13th – Empower Field at Mile High, Denver

TEAM TRENDS

• The Chargers have scored first in their last 4 games.
• The Broncos have covered in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The Chargers’ last 6 games have gone under the total match points line.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Chargers 3Q Game Total Under – Hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 56% ROI)
2. Broncos 1H Moneyline – Hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+10.85 Units / 40% ROI)
3. Broncos 1Q Spread – Covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 39% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Riding a three-game winning streak, the Broncos host division rivals the Chargers at Empower Field.

Denver is fresh off a 34-18 win over the Raiders, marking their highest score since Week 14 of the 2021 season. Pat Surtain II showcased his elite cornerback skills by intercepting two passes, including a pivotal 100-yard pick-six that shifted the game’s direction.

Quarterback Bo Nix also had a career-best performance, completing 19 of 27 passes for 201 yards, two TDs, and no interceptions, while adding a rushing score to cap off a strong outing.

The Chargers are coming off a bye week following a 17-10 loss to the Chiefs. Denver has had the upper hand in recent matchups, winning both games against the Chargers last season, including a 24-7 win in Week 14 and a 16-9 win in Week 17.

The Broncos have also won five straight at home against the Chargers. With both teams boasting top-tier defenses—ranked in the top three for points allowed—this game could come down to which side can generate more offensive.

PICK – DENVER +2.5

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PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

Sunday, October 13th – Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas

TEAM TRENDS

• The Raiders have scored first in their last 6 games vs. the Steelers.
• The Steelers have lost the first half in 5 of their last 6 games.
• The Raiders have won 4 of their last 5 home games vs. the Steelers.
• 4 of the Steelers’ last 5 games have gone under the total match points line.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Steelers 4Q Moneyline – Hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.75 Units / 35% ROI)
2. Steelers 2H Moneyline – Hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
3. Raiders 1H Spread – Covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.05 Units / 26% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Both coming off losses last week, the Steelers and Raiders will face off at Allegiant Stadium.

The Raiders suffered a 34-18 defeat to the Denver Broncos, despite an early lead and prime field position on Denver’s five-yard line. Gardner Minshew II threw a costly interception that was returned 100 yards for a touchdown, sparking a 34-0 Denver run. Minshew threw another pick, followed by one from backup Aidan O’Connell, who has since been named the starter for this week.

The Raiders will be looking to clean up their offense as trade rumors swirl around star receiver Davante Adams, who missed last week’s game due to a hamstring injury.

Meanwhile, the Steelers are reeling from back-to-back three-point losses, the most recent being a 20-17 defeat to the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. Pittsburgh held a late lead in the fourth quarter before Dak Prescott found Jalen Tolbert for a game-winning touchdown with just 20 seconds left.

The Steelers’ defense will need to step up as they look to prevent a third straight loss and take advantage of Las Vegas’ offensive struggles.

PICK – PITTSBURGH -2.5

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DETROIT LIONS @ DALLAS COWBOYS

Sunday, October 13th – AT&T Stadium, Arlington

TEAM TRENDS

• The Cowboys have covered 8 of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
• The Cowboys have won their last 6 games vs. the Lions.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Detroit 3Q Game Total Over – Hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
2. Detroit Spread – Covered the Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
3. Detroit 1Q Game Total Over – Hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.90 Units / 59% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Both sitting at 3-1, the Lions and Cowboys will clash at AT&T Stadium.

The Cowboys are coming off a thrilling 20-17 win over the Steelers in Week 5, where Dak Prescott led a clutch 15-play, 70-yard drive that ended with a game-winning TD to Jalen Tolbert with just 20 seconds left on the clock.

Prescott finished with 241 passing yards and a touchdown, while Tolbert caught seven passes for 87 yards. Dallas’ defense also stood tall, keeping Pittsburgh’s offense in check throughout the game.

The Lions were on a bye in Week 5, but in their previous game, they smashed the Seahawks with a 42-29 win. Jared Goff had a huge game, completing all 18 of his pass attempts for 292 yards and two TDs, setting a new NFL record for most passes without an incompletion.

While Detroit’s offense has been firing on all cylinders, their secondary has struggled, allowing the 27th-most passing yards per game. That weakness could be an issue against a Cowboys offense that ranks second in the league in passing yards per game, setting up an interesting battle between Goff’s precision and Prescott’s aerial attack.

PICK – DETROIT -3.5

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ATLANTA FALCONS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS

Sunday, October 13th – Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte

TEAM TRENDS

• The Falcons have scored first in their last 6 games.
• The Panthers have lost the first half in their last 8 home games.
• The Falcons have failed to cover in their last 8 games after coming off OT.
• The Panthers’ last 7 home games vs. NFC South teams have gone UNDER.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Atlanta 1H Game Total Over – Hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
2. Carolina 3Q Spread – Covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+8.75 Units / 36% ROI)
3. Carolina 3Q Game Total Under – Hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

NFC South rivals, the Falcons and Panthers, will square off at Bank of America Stadium.

The Falcons are riding high after a 36-30 OT win against the Buccaneers in Week 5. Kirk Cousins led the Falcons’ aerial assault, throwing for 477 yards—Atlanta’s highest passing total since 2016—along with four TDs, two of which went to Darnell Mooney.

The Falcons’ passing game seems to be clicking at the right time, and they’ll look to build on that momentum as they aim to improve their 3-2 record.

The Panthers are coming off a rough 36-10 loss to the Bears, where their offense struggled to find a rhythm. Despite the loss, Chuba Hubbard was a bright spot, rushing for 97 yards and a touchdown, pushing him to fifth in the NFL for rushing yards this season. Carolina has shown glimpses but will need more from their passing game to compete with Atlanta.

The Panthers managed to split last year’s series with the Falcons, winning 9-7 in Week 15, which was tied for the lowest winning score in franchise history.

PICK – ATLANTA -6.5

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CINCINNATI BENGALS @ NEW YORK GIANTS

Sunday, October 13th – MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

TEAM TRENDS

• The Bengals have covered in 6 of their last 7 games vs. teams below .500.
• The Bengals have won 10 of their last 11 games vs. NFC opponents.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Cincinnati 1H Game Total Over – Hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
2. Cincinnati 2Q Game Total Over – Hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 64% ROI)
3. Giants 2Q Moneyline – Hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Meeting for the first time since Week 12, 2020, the Bengals and Giants line up at MetLife Stadium.

The Bengals are reeling from a 41-38 OT loss to the Ravens, marking their highest-scoring defeat since 2007. Ja’Marr Chase was a standout, racking up 193 yards and two TDS on 10 receptions. Chase has been a force, ranking second in the NFL for receiving yards and tied for first in receiving Tds. Cincinnati will look to bounce back, but their defense will need to step up after giving up 41 points at home.

The Giants pulled off a nice 29-20 upset over the Seahawks in Week 5. Despite being without Devin Singletary and Malik Nabers, the Giants found a way to win behind strong performances from Tyrone Tracy, who rushed for 129 yards, and Darius Slayton, who added 122 receiving yards and a TD.

The game’s defining moment came late in the fourth quarter when the Giants’ special teams blocked a game-tying field goal attempt and returned it 60 yards for a touchdown, sealing the win.

PICK – NY GIANTS +3.5