NFL – Sunday Free NFL Picks – Week 9

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These free NFL picks and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

5 HOTTEST ROI BETS THIS WEEK

  1. Indianapolis Colts – have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  2. Tennessee Titans – have scored first in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  3. Baltimore Ravens – have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  4. New York Giants – have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 75% ROI)
  5. Las Vegas Raiders – have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)

DALLAS COWBOYS @ ATLANTA FALCONS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Cowboys failed to cover in last 5 games vs. NFC teams.
  • Falcons won 4 of last 5 games.
  • 4 of Falcons’ last 5 games went over 51.5 points.
  • Cowboys scored first in 5 of last 6 games vs. Falcons.
  • Cowboys won the first half in each of last 5 road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 3 4 0-3 3-1
ATL 5 3 2-3 3-0

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DAL 21.4 25.0 -3.6 46.4
ATL 24.3 23.7 +0.6 48.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
ATL UNDER ATL
-3.0 52.5 27-21
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Dak Prescott scored the first TD in last 2 road games vs. Falcons.
  • CeeDee Lamb scored a TD in 10 of Cowboys’ last 11 regular season games vs. NFC teams.
  • Dak Prescott scored a TD in each of last 4 games vs. Falcons.
  • Bijan Robinson scored a TD in each of Falcons’ last 3 games.
  • Drake London scored a TD in 3 of Falcons’ last 4 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

Meeting for the first time since Week 10, 2021, the Dallas Cowboys and Atlanta Falcons face off Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The Falcons are riding high after a 31-26 win over the Buccaneers, where Kirk Cousins shredded Tampa Bay’s defense, completing 23 of 29 passes for 276 yards and four TDs. Atlanta has now won four straight in division play, firmly leading the NFC South.

The Cowboys lost 30-24 to the 49ers on Sunday Night Football. Dak Prescott connected with CeeDee Lamb for two late touchdowns, but Dallas fell short, dropping to 3-4 and sitting three wins behind the division-leading Commanders.

PICK – ATLANTA -3.0

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MIAMI DOLPHINS @ BUFFALO BILLS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Dolphins failed to cover in 9 of their last 10 games.
  • Bills won 12 of last 13 games vs. Dolphins.
  • Last 6 Bills home games went over 48.5 points.
  • Bills first to 15 points in each of last 16 games vs. Dolphins.
  • Bills D/ST scored a touchdown in each of last 2 games vs. Dolphins.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 2 5 1-3 1-2
BUF 6 2 3-0 3-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIA 12.0 24.6 -12.6 36.6
BUF 28.8 18.5 +10.3 47.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BUF UNDER BUF
-5.5 49.5 30-27
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • James Cook scored a TD in 5 of his last 6 games.
  • Khalil Shakir scored a TD in 4 of last 5 Bills home games.
  • De’Von Achane scored a TD in each of Dolphins’ last 3 games vs. Bills.
  • Amari Cooper scored a TD in 3 of his last 4 home games.
  • Josh Allen scored a TD in 5 of last 7 Bills home games.

MATCH PREVIEW

Meeting for the second time in 2024, the Dolphins and Bills face off at Highmark Stadium. Buffalo is on a three-game winning streak, recently smashing the Seahawks 31-10 and allowing just 32 rushing yards—their fewest since Week 11, 2019, against Miami. With a comfortable four-game lead in the AFC East, the Bills remain firmly in control.

The Dolphins suffered a narrow 28-27 home loss to the Cardinals, with Tua Tagovailoa throwing 234 yards and a TD in his return, only to lose on a last-second field goal. Buffalo took their first matchup 31-10 and has won 12 of the last 13 against Miami.

PICK – BUFFALO -5.5

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LAS VEGAS RAIDERS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Bengals’ last 6 of 7 home games went over.
  • Bengals won last 4 games; Raiders lost last 4.
  • Bengals’ first score has been a touchdown in 5 of last 6 games.
  • Bengals won the first half in 7 of last 8 vs. Raiders.
  • Bengals failed to cover in last 4 home games;

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LV 2 6 1-3-0 1-3-0
CIN 3 5 0-4-0 3-1-0

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LV 17.4 29.5 -12.1 46.9
CIN 23.2 25.8 -2.6 49.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
CIN OVER CIN
-7.0 45.5 41-27
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Ja’Marr Chase scored the first TD in Bengals’ last 2 as home favorites.
  • Ja’Marr Chase scored a TD in 5 of Bengals’ last 6 games.
  • Chase Brown scored a TD in 4 of Bengals’ last 5 games.
  • Zack Moss scored a TD in his last 3 as a home favorite vs. AFC teams.
  • Jakobi Meyers scored a TD in 5 of his last 8 games after a loss.

MATCH PREVIEW

Matching up for the first time since the 2021 Wild Card Round, the Raiders and Bengals face off Sunday at Paycor Stadium.

The Bengals are reeling from a 37-17 home loss to the Eagles, where they allowed 20 unanswered second-half points, struggling to contain Philadelphia’s rushing attack. Cincinnati remains winless at home this season (0-4).

The Raiders fell 27-20 to the Chiefs, hindered by a weak ground game that produced just 33 yards on 21 carries. Despite the close score, Las Vegas’ defense couldn’t make key stops, allowing Kansas City to convert 12 of 16 third downs.

PICK – OVER 45.5 TOTAL POINTS

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LOS ANGELES CHARGERS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • 9 of Chargers’ last 11 road games went under.
  • Browns won last 4 home games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • Chargers won the first half in 5 of last 6 games.
  • Browns covered in 6 of last 7 home games vs. teams with a winning record

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 4 3 2-1 2-2
CLE 2 6 1-3 1-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAC 19.0 24.6 -5.6 43.6
CLE 18.0 23.0 -5.0 41.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
CLE UNDER LAC
+1.5 42.5 27-10
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • David Njoku scored a touchdown in 3 of Browns’ last 4 games vs. Chargers.
  • J.K. Dobbins scored a touchdown in 6 of his last 9 games.
  • Nick Chubb scored a touchdown in Browns’ last 2 games vs. Chargers.

MATCH PREVIEW

Both coming off wins, the Chargers and Browns meet at Huntington Bank Field.

The Browns ended a five-game skid by upsetting the Ravens 29-24, with Jameis Winston stepping up in his first start since Deshaun Watson’s injury, throwing for 334 yards and three touchdowns.

The Chargers leaned on their league-leading defense to stifle the Saints in a 26-8 win. Rookie receiver Ladd McConkey shined, recording six catches for 111 yards and two touchdowns.

The Chargers have won four straight against Cleveland, including a narrow 30-28 win at Huntington Bank Field in Week 5, 2022.

PICK – UNDER 42.5 TOTAL POINTS

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NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ TENNESSEE TITANS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Titans lost 6 of last 7 games as favorites.
  • 4 of Patriots’ last 5 games went over 38.5 points.
  • Titans scored first TD in 4 of last 5 games vs. AFC teams.
  • Titans failed to cover in 6 of last 7 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NE 2 6 1-3 1-3
TEN 1 6 0-3 1-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NE 17.0 27.4 -10.4 44.4
TEN 18.0 25.7 -7.7 43.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
TEN OVER TEN
-3.0 38.5 20-17 (OT)
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Calvin Ridley scored a touchdown in each of last 3 November games vs. AFC teams.

MATCH PREVIEW

Both enduring challenging seasons, the Patriots and Titans face off Sunday at Nissan Stadium.

The Titans are reeling from a 52-14 blowout loss to the Lions, their largest margin of defeat since 2017. Despite being tied 14-14 early in the second quarter, Tennessee committed four turnovers, handing Detroit prime scoring opportunities.

The Patriots pulled off a 25-22 upset over the Jets, with Rhamondre Stevenson’s one-yard TD clinching the win with 22 seconds left, finishing a two-TD performance. Rookie QB Drake Maye suffered a concussion, so Jacoby Brissett may start if Maye is sidelined.

PICK – TENNESSEE -3.0

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WASHINGTON COMMANDERS @ NEW YORK GIANTS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Commanders covered the line in last 6 games vs. teams with a losing record.
  • Commanders won last 4; Giants lost last 4 home games.
  • Last 7 of 8 Commanders’ road games went over.
  • Commanders conceded the first TD in 13 of last 15 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
WSH 6 2 4-0 2-2
NYG 2 6 0-4 2-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
WSH 29.5 20.2 +9.3 49.7
NYG 13.4 24.4 -11.0 37.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
WAS UNDER WAS
-3.5 44.5 27-22
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Brian Robinson scored a TD in 9 of last 10 road games.
  • Terry McLaurin scored a TD in last 3 Commanders’ road games.
  • Jayden Daniels scored a TD in 3 of last 4 Commanders’ road games.
  • Darius Slayton scored a TD in 3 of Giants’ last 4 games after a road loss.

MATCH PREVIEW

Slumping in a three-game losing streak, the Giants host their division rivals Commanders at MetLife Stadium.

The Giants are coming off a 26-18 loss to the Steelers, where a 73-yard punt return TD by Calvin Austin shifted momentum. Rookie RB Tyrone Tracy had a breakout game with 145 rushing yards and a TD but is now in concussion protocols.

The Commanders pulled off an 18-15 comeback win over the Bears, capped by Jayden Daniels’ 52-yard Hail Mary to Noah Brown in the final seconds. Daniels posted a career-high 326 passing yards, lifting Washington to a 6-2 record.

PICK – UNDER 44.5 TOTAL POINTS

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NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Panthers failed to cover in 9 of last 10 games.
  • Panthers lost 15 of last 16 vs. NFC opponents; Saints won last 4.
  • Last 7 of 8 games between Saints and Panthers went under.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NO 2 6 1-3 1-3
CAR 1 7 0-3 1-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NO 18.8 22.5 -3.7 41.3
CAR 12.5 25.1 -12.6 37.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NO OVER CAR
-7.0 43.5 23-22
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Chris Olave scored a TD in 3 of last 4 as Saints favorite.
  • Alvin Kamara scored a TD in last 2 vs. Panthers.
  • Chuba Hubbard scored a TD in 4 of last 6 Panthers games.
  • Xavier Legette scored a TD in last 2 Panthers home games.

MATCH PREVIEW

In a clash of losing streaks, the Saints and Panthers meet at Bank of America Stadium.

The Panthers extended their slide to five games with a 28-14 loss to the Broncos. Bryce Young, stepping in after Andy Dalton’s injury and without his top receivers, threw his first TDs of the season but was forced into two interceptions. Young will remain the starter in Week 9.

The Saints lost 26-8 to the Chargers, marking their sixth straight defeat, matching their longest winless stretch since 1999. New Orleans, averaging only 15.7 points during this streak, hopes for Derek Carr’s return to revitalize their offense.

The Saints routed Carolina 47-10 in their Week 1 meeting.

PICK – NEW ORLEANS -7.0

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DENVER BRONCOS @ BALTIMORE RAVENS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Ravens’ last 7 of 8 games went over.
  • Ravens won 7 of last 8 home games vs. Broncos.
  • Broncos scored first in last 4 games vs. Ravens.
  • Broncos covered in 5 of last 6 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 5 3 2-2 3-1
BAL 5 3 2-1 3-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 19.2 20.9 -1.7 40.1
BAL 30.2 23.5 +6.7 53.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN UNDER BAL
+9.5 46.5 41-10
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Derrick Henry scored a TD in each of his last 9 games.
  • Diontae Johnson scored a TD in 4 of last 5 vs. AFC teams.
  • Courtland Sutton scored a TD in 6 of last 7 Broncos’ road games vs. AFC teams.
  • Mark Andrews scored a TD in each of Ravens’ last 3 games.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin scored a TD in 3 of last 6 Broncos’ games.

MATCH PREVIEW

With matching 5-3 records and jostling for AFC playoff positioning, the Broncos and Ravens face off at M&T Bank Stadium.

The Ravens are coming off a 29-24 loss to the Browns, which snapped their five-game winning streak as Cleveland racked up 401 yards of offense, pushing Baltimore one game behind the Steelers in the AFC North.

The Broncos beat the Panthers 28-14 at home, with Bo Nix throwing for a career-high 284 yards and three touchdowns, plus a rushing score. Denver’s defense continued to shine, grabbing two interceptions, and the Broncos have now won five of their last six games.

PICK – DENVER +9.5

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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Underdogs covered in 10 of Eagles’ last 12 games.
  • Eagles won 13 of last 15 vs. AFC teams.
  • Jaguars’ last 4 games went over.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
JAX 2 6 2-2 0-4
PHI 5 2 3-1 2-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
JAX 18.3 24.4 -6.1 42.7
PHI 26.0 22.1 +3.9 48.1

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
PHI OVER PHI
-7.5 45.5 28-23
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jalen Hurts scored a touchdown in 5 of Eagles’ last 6 games vs. AFC teams.
  • A.J. Brown scored a touchdown in each of last 3 games as favs with Eagles.
  • Brian Thomas scored a touchdown in 4 of Jaguars’ last 5 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

Riding a three-game win streak, the Eagles host the Jaguars at Lincoln Financial Field.

The Eagles are fresh off a 37-17 victory over the Bengals, highlighted by Jalen Hurts’ three rushing touchdowns, bringing him to seven on the season (T-4th in NFL).

Philadelphia boasts a strong 10-3 record in its last 13 home games.

The Jaguars suffered a narrow 30-27 loss to the Packers, with Brandon McManus sealing it for Green Bay in the final seconds. Sitting at 2-6, Jacksonville faces an urgent need to improve if they hope to turn their season around.

PICK – OVER 45.5 TOTAL POINTS

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CHICAGO BEARS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Bears lost 8 of last 9 road games.
  • 9 of Cardinals’ last 11 Sunday home games went over.
  • Opponents scored first in Bears’ last 7 games.
  • Cardinals covered in 3 of last 4 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHI 4 3 4-0 0-3
ARI 4 4 2-2 2-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CHI 23.4 19.8 +3.6 43.2
ARI 18.6 24.2 -5.6 42.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
ARI OVER ARI
-1.5 44.5 29-9
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • D’Andre Swift scored a TD in each of Bears’ last 4 games.
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. scored a TD in each of Cardinals’ last 3 Sunday home games.
  • James Conner scored a TD in 9 of Cardinals’ last 13 games.
  • Keenan Allen scored a TD in each of last 2 games vs. Cardinals.

MATCH PREVIEW

With matching 4-4 records, the Bears and Cardinals face off Sunday at State Farm Stadium.

The Cardinals are riding high after back-to-back walk-off wins, with Chad Ryland securing both with game-winning field goals, most recently a 27-26 victory over the Dolphins. Kyler Murray excelled, completing 26 of 36 passes for 307 yards and two TDs, pushing Arizona to the top of the NFC West.

The Bears suffered a heartbreaking 18-15 loss to the Commanders, as a last-second 52-yard Hail Mary from Jayden Daniels to Noah Brown ended Chicago’s three-game win streak.

The Bears, seeking to break a five-game road skid, hope to rebound Sunday.

PICK – ARIZONA -1.5

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DETROIT LIONS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Lions won last 12 games vs. opponents on a winning streak.
  • 6 of Lions’ last 7 games vs. NFC North opponents went over.
  • Packers reached 15 points first in last 8 games as underdogs.
  • Lions covered in 8 of last 9 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DET 6 1 3-1 3-0
GB 6 2 3-1 3-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DET 28.1 21.0 +7.1 49.1
GB 24.5 19.3 +5.2 43.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DET OVER DET
-2.5 47.5 24-14
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • David Montgomery scored the first TD in each of Lions’ last 4 games as favs.
  • David Montgomery scored a TD in each of Lions’ last 8 regular season games as favs.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown scored a TD in each of Lions’ last 5 games.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs scored a TD in each of Lions’ last 4 games vs. NFC North teams.
  • Tucker Kraft scored a TD in 4 of Packers’ last 5 games.
  • Josh Jacobs scored a TD in 3 of Packers’ last 4 games.
  • Kalif Raymond scored a TD in each of Lions’ last 2 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

A pivotal NFC North showdown awaits as the Lions visit the Packers at Lambeau Field on Sunday.

The Lions are coming off a big 52-14 win over the Titans, marking their largest winning margin since 2011. Detroit’s defense forced four turnovers, giving the offense prime field positions.

The Packers edged the Jaguars 30-27, with Malik Willis stepping in after Jordan Love’s injury to set up Brandon McManus’ second consecutive game-winning field goal. Love remains day-to-day. Last season, Detroit and Green Bay split their matchups, with David Montgomery scoring four total TDs.

Both teams enter with six wins; Sunday’s victor will seize the division lead.

PICK – DETROIT -2.5

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LOS ANGELES RAMS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Rams covered in 6 of last 7 games vs. Seahawks.
  • Seahawks lost 4 of last 5 games.
  • 4 of Rams’ last 5 games vs. NFC opponents went over.
  • Opponents scored first in 7 of Rams’ last 8 games vs. NFC West opponents.
  • Rams lost the first half in last 5 road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAR 3 4 3-1 0-3
SEA 4 4 2-2 2-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAR 20.3 23.6 -3.3 43.9
SEA 24.2 24.1 +0.1 48.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
SEA OVER LAR
+2.0 47.5 26-20 (OT)
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyren Williams scored a TD in each of his last 10 regular season games.
  • Cooper Kupp scored a TD in 6 of his last 8 regular season games.
  • D.K. Metcalf scored a TD in 3 of Seahawks’ last 4 games vs. Rams.
  • Kenneth Walker III scored a TD in 3 of Seahawks’ last 4 games vs. NFC teams.

MATCH PREVIEW

The Seahawks are reeling from a 31-10 loss to the Bills, where despite forcing Josh Allen’s first interception of the season, they were outclassed. Seattle has now dropped four of its last five games in a season marked by inconsistency.

The Rams secured a 30-20 win over the Vikings, with Matthew Stafford shining, completing 25 of 34 passes for 279 yards and four touchdowns. With Cooper Kupp and Puca Nacua both back, the Rams’ offense clicked, as the duo totaled 157 yards and a TD.

In a tightly contested NFC West, this game could prove big down the stretch..

PICK – SEATTLE +2.0

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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Sunday, November 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • Colts covered in last 6 games.
  • Colts lost 5 of last 6 road games.
  • 6 of Vikings’ last 7 games vs. AFC opponents went under.
  • Colts won the first half in last 4 games vs. Vikings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 4 4 3-1 1-3
MIN 5 2 2-1 3-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
IND 24.1 21.9 +2.2 46.0
MIN 26.5 22.7 +3.8 49.2

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIN OVER MIN
-5.5 46.5 21-13
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jonathan Taylor scored a TD in 10 of his last 11 games.
  • Justin Jefferson scored a TD in 4 of Vikings’ last 5 games at U.S. Bank Stadium.
  • T.J. Hockenson scored a TD in each of Vikings’ last 3 November home games.
  • Josh Downs scored a TD in 3 of Colts’ last 4 games as underdogs.

MATCH PREVIEW

The Vikings are coming off a 30-20 loss to the Rams, with Sam Darnold and Justin Jefferson connecting for 115 yards, though Minnesota’s run game struggled with a season-low 64 rushing yards. Defensively, they’ve faltered since the bye, allowing 388.5 yards and 30.5 points per game.

The Colts recently lost 23-20 to the Texans, hampered by poor offensive execution. QB Anthony Richardson completed just 10 of 32 passes, dropping to a league-low 44.4% completion rate. As a result, Indianapolis has turned to veteran Joe Flacco for this matchup.

PICK – MINNESOTA -5.5

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