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These free NFL picks and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.
HOTTEST ROI TRENDS
- New York Giants – have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- Pittsburgh Steelers – have scored first in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- New Orleans Saints – have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Baltimore Ravens – have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- Atlanta Falcons – have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
NEW YORK GIANTS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS
Allianz Arena, Munich
TEAM TRENDS
- Giants’ opponents have scored first in their last 5 games.
- Panthers have lost 15 of their last 17 vs. NFC teams.
- 6 of Panthers’ last 7 games have gone Over.
- Panthers’ opponents have been first to 20 points in their last 6 games.
- Giants have covered their last 4 vs. Panthers.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NYG | 2 | 7 | 0-5 | 2-2 |
| CAR | 2 | 7 | 1-3 | 1-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| NYG | 14.9 | 24.5 | -9.6 | 39.4 |
| CAR | 17.3 | 30.1 | -12.8 | 47.4 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| NYG | UNDER | CAR |
| -6.5 | 40.5 | 20-17 (OT) |
MATCH PREVIEW
Both holding 2-7 records and vying for the #1 overall pick, the Giants and Panthers will clash at Allianz Arena in Germany on Sunday.
The Panthers snapped a five-game losing streak with a narrow 23-22 home win over the Saints, despite being outgained by 181 yards. Chuba Hubbard shined, scoring two touchdowns, including the game-winner just before the two-minute warning.
The Giants fell 27-22 to the Commanders at home. Despite the loss, Daniel Jones threw a touchdown at MetLife Stadium for the first time since Week 17 of 2022.
The Giants have now dropped four straight and 11 of their last 13 games with Jones starting.
PICK – UNDER 40.4 TOTAL POINTS
BET NOWNEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ CHICAGO BEARS
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
TEAM TRENDS
- Bears’ opponents have scored first in their last 8 games.
- Bears have won their last 8 at Soldier Field.
- 12 of Bears’ last 18 games have gone Under.
- Patriots’ opponents have been first to 15 points in their last 8 games.
- Patriots have lost the first half in 7 of their last 8 games.
- Bears have covered their last 5 as favs.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NE | 2 | 7 | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| CHI | 4 | 4 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| NE | 17.7 | 27.9 | -10.2 | 45.6 |
| CHI | 21.1 | 23.7 | -2.6 | 44.8 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| CHI | OVER | NE |
| -6.5 | 38.5 | 19-3 |
MATCH PREVIEW
Their first clash since Week 7, 2022, New England and Chicago face off at Soldier Field.
The Bears are coming off a rough 29-9 loss to the Cardinals, where their offense sputtered, failing to reach double digits for the first time this season. Caleb Williams was sacked six times, and the Bears converted only 3 of 14 third downs, remaining winless on the road. However, they return to a home venue where they have won eight straight.
The Patriots fell 20-17 to the Titans in overtime, despite Drake Maye’s thrilling game-tying touchdown as regulation ended, followed by a costly interception in overtime.
PICK – OVER 38.5 TOTAL POINTS
BET NOWBUFFALO BILLS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
TEAM TRENDS
- Colts have covered their last 6 vs. AFC teams.
- Colts have lost their last 10 as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0).
- 7 of Bills’ last 8 as favs have gone Over.
- Colts have won the 1st quarter in 4 of their last 5 as underdogs vs. AFC teams.
- Colts have scored first in their last 3 vs. Bills.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BUF | 7 | 2 | 4-0 | 3-2 |
| IND | 4 | 5 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| BUF | 28.9 | 19.2 | +9.7 | 48.1 |
| IND | 21.2 | 24.3 | -3.1 | 45.5 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| BUF | OVER | BUF |
| -3.5 | 47.5 | 30-20 |
MATCH PREVIEW
Riding a four-game win streak, the Bills visit the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium.
The Colts are coming off a 21-13 loss to the Vikings, which dropped them below .500. Despite forcing three turnovers, Indianapolis struggled offensively, failing to score a touchdown and managing a season-low 227 yards.
The Bills edged the Dolphins 30-27 in a thrilling AFC East matchup, sealed by Tyler Bass’s 61-yard game-winning field goal. Buffalo is now 3-0 against division rivals and leads the AFC East. Receiver Amari Cooper missed the Dolphins game with a wrist injury and remains day-to-day.
PICK – BUFFALO -3.5
BET NOWDENVER BRONCOS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
TEAM TRENDS
- Broncos’ last 5 games have gone Over.
- Chiefs have won their last 14 games.
- Broncos have scored last in 5 of their last 6 vs. Chiefs.
- Broncos have covered in 4 of their last 5 vs. Chiefs.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DEN | 5 | 4 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| KC | 8 | 0 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| DEN | 20.3 | 21.2 | -0.9 | 41.5 |
| KC | 25.4 | 15.2 | +10.2 | 40.6 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| KC | OVER | KC |
| -8.5 | 41.5 | 16-14 |
MATCH PREVIEW
Riding the longest win streak in franchise history, the Chiefs host the Broncos at GEHA Field.
The Chiefs earned their 14th straight victory with a 30-24 overtime win against the Buccaneers, highlighted by Travis Kelce’s 14 receptions and DeAndre Hopkins’ two touchdown catches. With 7-2 Buffalo on deck, Kansas City is in prime position to solidify their AFC standing.
The Broncos suffered a 41-10 blowout loss to the Ravens, with their defense allowing season-highs in points and yards as Lamar Jackson posted a perfect passer rating. Denver’s defense faces a tough test against Patrick Mahomes and the high-powered Chiefs offense.
PICK – OVER 41.5 TOTAL POINTS
BET NOWATLANTA FALCONS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
TEAM TRENDS
- Last 7 games between NFC South teams have gone Over.
- Saints have lost their last 7 games.
- Taysom Hill has a TD in 5 of his last 7 as an underdog vs. NFC teams.
- Saints have failed to cover in their last 5 games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ATL | 6 | 3 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| NO | 2 | 7 | 1-3 | 1-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| ATL | 21.6 | 22.3 | -0.7 | 43.9 |
| NO | 23.0 | 27.3 | -4.3 | 50.3 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| ATL | OVER | NO |
| -3.5 | 46.5 | 20-17 |
MATCH PREVIEW
The Saints are coming off a tough 23-22 loss to the Panthers, despite outgaining Carolina 427 to 246 yards. Chris Olave suffered another concussion, making him doubtful for this week. The defeat marked New Orleans’ seventh straight loss, equaling their longest winless streak since 1980 and leading to the dismissal of head coach Dennis Allen.
The Falcons secured a 27-21 win over the Cowboys, with Kirk Cousins throwing TDs to three different receivers. Atlanta, holding the NFC South lead, won the first matchup this season 26-24 in Week 4.
PICK – OVER 46.5 TOTAL POINTS
BET NOWSAN FRANCISCO 49ERS @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
TEAM TRENDS
- 49ers’ first score has been a field goal in 4 of their last 5 games.
- 49ers have won their last 9 games with a rest advantage.
- Buccaneers’ last 6 games have gone Over.
- 49ers have won the 1st quarter in each of their last 6 games.
- 49ers have failed to cover in their last 7 games following a win.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SFO | 4 | 4 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| TAM | 4 | 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| SFO | 25.5 | 22.4 | +3.1 | 47.9 |
| TAM | 28.8 | 29.5 | -0.7 | 58.3 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| TAM | OVER | SFO |
| +6.5 | 50.5 | 23-20 |
MATCH PREVIEW
In a three-game losing streak, the Buccaneers host the 49ers at Raymond James Stadium.
The Buccaneers are coming off a 30-24 OT loss to the Chiefs, where Baker Mayfield’s late-game heroics weren’t enough as Tampa Bay’s defense struggled to contain Patrick Mahomes in the extra period. Mayfield, who had previously recorded three straight games with over 325 passing yards, managed only 200 yards.
The 49ers return from their Week 9 bye, having beaten the Cowboys 30-24 in their last outing. The break was well-timed for San Francisco, as Christian McCaffrey has been activated from IR and is set to make his season debut, while Jauan Jennings is expected back after missing two games.
PICK – TAMPA BAY +6.5
BET NOWPITTSBURGH STEELERS @ WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
TEAM TRENDS
- Steelers have won the first half in their last 7 vs. Commanders.
- Commanders have won 7 of their last 8 games.
- Steelers’ last 3 games have gone Over.
- Commanders have scored first in their last 5 games.
- Commanders have covered their last 5 as favs.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PIT | 6 | 2 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| WSH | 7 | 2 | 4-0 | 3-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| PIT | 23.4 | 15.6 | +7.8 | 39.0 |
| WSH | 28.1 | 21.0 | +7.1 | 49.1 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| PIT | UNDER | PIT |
| +2.5 | 45.5 | 28-27 |
MATCH PREVIEW
Winning streaks are on the line as the Steelers and Commanders face off at Northwest Stadium.
The Commanders extended their run to three games with a 27-22 victory over the Giants, led by Jayden Daniels’ two first-half TD passes to Terry McLaurin. Washington, now 7-2 for the first time since 1996, is looking strong.
The Steelers, coming off their Week 9 bye, previously defeated the Giants 26-18, also extending their streak to three wins. At 6-2, Pittsburgh holds a narrow lead in the division.
This matchup pits Pittsburgh’s second-ranked scoring defense against a high-flying Washington offense that ranks third in points and yards per game.
PICK – UNDER 45.5 TOTAL POINTS
BET NOWMINNESOTA VIKINGS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
TEAM TRENDS
- Jaguars’ first score allowed has been an opponent TD in 4 of their last 5 games.
- Jaguars have lost their last 8 as underdogs.
- Jaguars’ last 5 games have gone Over.
- Vikings have won the 1st quarter in 7 of their last 8 games.
- Jaguars have failed to cover their last 4 as home underdogs.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIN | 5 | 3 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| JAX | 2 | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| MIN | 24.1 | 22.5 | +1.6 | 46.6 |
| JAX | 18.5 | 27.9 | -9.4 | 46.4 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| MIN | OVER | MIN |
| -7.5 | 44.5 | 12-7 |
MATCH PREVIEW
Meeting for the first time since Week 13, 2020, the Vikings and Jaguars face off at EverBank Stadium.
The Jaguars’ rough season continued with a 28-23 loss to the Eagles, where Trevor Lawrence struggled, throwing for 169 yards and two interceptions, marking his worst passer rating since his rookie year. Lawrence is in doubt for this game due to a shoulder injury, potentially leaving Mac Jones to start.
The Vikings earned a 21-13 win over the Colts, with Justin Jefferson catching seven passes for 137 yards. Jefferson leads the NFL with 783 receiving yards. At 6-2, Minnesota begins a critical three-game road stretch, having not lost to the Jaguars since 2001.
PICK – OVER 44.5 TOTAL POINTS
BET NOWTENNESSEE TITANS @ LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
TEAM TRENDS
- Chargers’ last 9 games have gone Under.
- Chargers have won their last 7 home games vs. teams with a losing record.
- Chargers have scored first in 7 of their last 8 games.
- Titans have failed to cover in 7 of their last 8 games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| TEN | 2 | 7 | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| LAC | 5 | 4 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| TEN | 18.6 | 25.3 | -6.7 | 43.9 |
| LAC | 24.2 | 21.6 | +2.6 | 45.8 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| LAC | OVER | LAC |
| -7.5 | 38.5 | 27-17 |
MATCH PREVIEW
Winners of three of their last four games, the Chargers host the Titans at SoFi Stadium.
The Chargers improved to 5-3 after a 27-10 win over the Browns, where their defense was great with three interceptions and six sacks on Jameis Winston. Quentin Johnston shined offensively, racking up 118 receiving yards and a touchdown.
The Titans snapped a three-game losing streak with a 20-17 overtime win over the Patriots. Tennessee’s defense stepped up, forcing three turnovers and recording four sacks. Will Levis may return from a shoulder injury that’s kept him out of the last three games.
PICK – OVER 38.5 TOTAL POINTS
BET NOWPHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ DALLAS COWBOYS
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
TEAM TRENDS
- Cowboys have covered their last 6 home games vs. Eagles.
- Eagles have won their last 4 games.
- Cowboys’ last 4 home games have gone Over.
- Eagles’ D/ST has scored a TD in each of their last 3 road games vs. Cowboys.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHI | 6 | 2 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| DAL | 3 | 5 | 0-3 | 3-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| PHI | 24.9 | 20.1 | +4.8 | 45.0 |
| DAL | 21.4 | 29.1 | -7.7 | 50.5 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| DAL | OVER | PHI |
| +7.5 | 42.5 | 34-6 |
MATCH PREVIEW
Winners meet losers as the Eagles and Cowboys clash at AT&T Stadium.
The Cowboys, reeling from a 27-21 loss to the Falcons, have now dropped three straight. To make matters worse, Dak Prescott suffered a partial hamstring tear and is expected to land on injured reserve, leaving Cooper Rush to lead the offense.
The Eagles secured a 28-23 home win over the Jaguars, marking their fourth straight win. Saquon Barkley was unstoppable, racking up 199 scrimmage yards and scoring twice. Last season, these division rivals split their meetings, with Dallas winning 33-13 at home, and the Cowboys have beaten Philadelphia six straight times at AT&T Stadium.
PICK – OVER 42.5 TOTAL POINTS
BET NOWNEW YORK JETS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS
State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
TEAM TRENDS
- Jets have lost their last 4 road games vs. teams on a winning streak.
- 9 of Cardinals’ last 13 home games have gone Over.
- Jets’ opponents have scored last in each of their last 6 games.
- Cardinals have covered their last 3 games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NYJ | 3 | 6 | 2-2-0 | 1-4-0 |
| ARI | 5 | 4 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-0 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| NYJ | 19.0 | 22.2 | -3.2 | 41.2 |
| ARI | 23.1 | 24.6 | -1.5 | 47.7 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| ARI | UNDER | ARI |
| +1.5 | 46.5 | 31-6 |
MATCH PREVIEW
Riding a three-game streak, Arizona host the Jets at State Farm Stadium.
The Cardinals are coming off a big 29-9 win over the Bears, with a stifling defensive effort that kept Chicago to just 241 total yards and only one red-zone visit, solidifying Arizona’s place atop the NFC West.
The Jets ended a five-game skid with a 21-13 win over the Texans. New York’s defense racked up a season-high eight sacks, but Garrett Wilson stole the spotlight, making an incredible catch among his nine receptions for 90 yards and two touchdowns, providing a needed boost for the second half of the season.
PICK – ARIZONA +1.5
BET NOWDETROIT LIONS @ HOUSTON TEXANS
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
TEAM TRENDS
- Lions have been first to 15 points in their last 12 games.
- Lions have won their last 6 games.
- 7 of Texans’ last 8 games have gone Under.
- Texans have covered their last 7 as underdogs after a loss.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DET | 7 | 1 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| HOU | 6 | 3 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| DET | 32.3 | 18.7 | +13.6 | 51.0 |
| HOU | 22.4 | 21.6 | +0.8 | 44.0 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| DET | UNDER | DET |
| -3.5 | 48.5 | 26-23 |
MATCH PREVIEW
The Lions, riding a six-game winning streak, will visit the Texans at NRG Stadium.
The Texans are coming off a 21-13 loss to the Jets at MetLife Stadium, where QB C.J. Stroud was sacked a career-high eight times and failed to throw a touchdown pass for the second time in three games. However, Houston’s offense may receive a boost as leading receiver Nico Collins is expected to return from injury this week.
The Lions’ latest outing ended in a 24-14 victory over the Packers at Lambeau Field, with Detroit jumping out to a 17-3 halftime lead thanks to a pick-six. Despite their winning streak, the Lions are only one game ahead of the second-placed Vikings in the NFC North, placing pressure on them to maintain their winning ways.
PICK – DETROIT -3.5
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