NFL Picks – Saturday Football Picks – Week 17

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These free NFL expert picks and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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LOS ANGELES CHARGERS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Chargers have covered the line in their last 4 games vs. teams with a losing record.
  • The Patriots have lost 9 of their last 10 games at Gillette Stadium.
  • The Chargers’ last 4 road games have gone unders.
  • The Chargers have scored first in their last 10 games as road favorites.
  • The Chargers’ opponents have scored last in their last 6 road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 9 6 5-3 4-3
NE 3 12 1-5 2-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAC 21.9 18.3 +3.6 40.2
NE 19.9 27.8 -7.9 47.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
LAC OVER
-4.5 43.5
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Quentin Johnston has a TD in his last 4 games vs. teams with a losing record.
  • Hunter Henry has a TD in 4 of his last 5 games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • Gus Edwards has a TD in the Chargers’ last 3 games vs. AFC teams.

MATCH PREVIEW

The Patriots, aiming to salvage pride in a tough season, host the Chargers at Gillette Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

New England’s woes continued with a 24-21 loss to the Bills after squandering a 14-point second-quarter lead, extending their losing streak to five games. Despite the defeat, rookie quarterback Drake Maye impressed, throwing for 261 yards and two TDs against MVP candidate Josh Allen.

The Chargers moved closer to playoff qualification with a thrilling 34-27 comeback win over the Broncos on Thursday Night Football. Ladd McConkey was pivotal, recording 87 yards on six catches, extending his streak of 50+ receiving yards to eight games—the league’s joint-longest active run.

When these teams last met in Week 13, 2023, the Chargers edged a 6-0 victory in frigid conditions, the lowest winning score in franchise history.

PICK – LA CHARGERS -4.5

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DENVER BRONCOS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS

Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH

TEAM TRENDS

  • The favorites have won the Broncos’ last 11 games.
  • The Broncos’ last 4 games have gone overs.
  • The Broncos have scored last in their last 5 games.
  • The Bengals have covered the line in their last 3 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 9 6 5-2-0 4-4-0
CIN 7 8 2-5-0 5-3-0

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 24.2 18.7 +5.5 42.9
CIN 28.2 26.2 +2.0 54.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN OVER
+3.5 49.5
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Tee Higgins has a TD in his last 6 games vs. AFC teams.
  • Chase Brown has a TD in 4 of the Bengals’ last 5 home games.
  • Javonte Williams has a TD in 3 of the Broncos’ last 4 road games vs. teams with a losing record.
  • Courtland Sutton has a TD in 8 of the Broncos’ last 11 road games vs. AFC teams.
  • Ja’Marr Chase has scored 2+ TDs in 3 of the Bengals’ last 6 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

It’s do-or-die for the Bengals as they host the Broncos at Paycor Stadium.

The Bengals must win out and hope the Broncos lose their final two games to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. Cincinnati has some good form going into this, riding a three-game winning streak, including a 24-6 victory over the Browns, their equal-lowest score allowed since 2015.

The Broncos let a double-digit lead slip late in the third quarter against the Chargers, falling behind in the AFC wild card race. Still, Denver controls its destiny, needing just one more win to end the NFL’s second-longest active playoff drought. Interestingly, the Broncos’ last playoff-clinching victory came against Cincinnati in 2015—a potential good omen as they look to secure a postseason berth.

PICK – DENVER +3.5

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ARIZONA CARDINALS @ LOS ANGELES RAMS

SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Rams have covered the line in their last 4 games.
  • The Cardinals have lost their last 8 games after coming off overtime.
  • 5 of the Rams’ last 6 games as favorites have gone unders.
  • The Rams have been the first to 10 points in 14 of their last 16 games vs. the Cardinals.
  • The Rams have scored last in their last 8 games vs. NFC teams.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ARI 7 8 5-3 2-5
LAR 9 6 4-3 5-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
ARI 22.9 22.8 +0.1 45.7
LAR 21.9 23.1 -1.2 45.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
LAR OVER
-6.5 47.5
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyren Williams has scored the first touchdown in 3 of the Rams’ last 5 games.
  • Kyren Williams has a TD in his last 7 home games vs. NFC teams.
  • Demarcus Robinson has a TD in 5 of the Rams’ last 6 games vs. NFC teams.
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has a TD in the Cardinals’ last 3 games as underdogs.
  • Tyler Higbee has a TD in his last 3 December games vs. the Cardinals.
  • Cooper Kupp has a TD in 3 of the Rams’ last 4 home games.

MATCH PREVIEW

Riding their longest winning streak since 2021, the Los Angeles Rams host division rivals the Arizona Cardinals at SoFi Stadium with the NFC West crown within reach.

The Rams’ 19-9 win over the Jets marked their fourth straight victory and saw them hold their opponents to fewer than 10 points. Tight end Tyler Higbee provided a feel-good moment, catching the game-winning touchdown in his season debut after recovering from a devastating knee injury in last year’s playoffs.

The Cardinals suffered a 36-30 overtime loss to the Panthers, their fourth defeat in five games, officially eliminating them from postseason contention.

While Arizona dominated the Rams 41-10 in their Week 2 meeting, recent form suggests a much different contest awaits.

PICK – OVER 47.5 TOTAL POINTS

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