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*These free NFL picks and NFL player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.
BUFFALO BILLS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS
Thursday, September 12th
TEAM TRENDS
- 5 of the Bills’ last 6 games have gone Overs.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover their last 4 games.
- The Bills have been the first to 15 points in their last 15 games vs the Dolphins.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
BUF | 1 | 0 | 1-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
MIA | 1 | 0 | 1-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
BUF | 34.0 | 28.0 | +6.0 | 62.0 |
MIA | 20.0 | 17.0 | +3.0 | 37.0 |
PICKS ATS
SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
BUF | UNDER | BUF |
+2.5 | 48.5 | 31-10 |
ROI BETS OF THE NIGHT
- Miami – 3Q Spread: Covering the 3Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 home games gives a 90% win rate.
- Miami – 2Q Game Total Over: Hitting the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games gives a 76% win rate.
- Buffalo – 3Q Moneyline: Winning the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games results in a 55% win rate, still solid but not as impressive as our top 2.
MATCHUP PREVIEW
Both the Bills and Dolphins head into their Week 2 Thursday Night Football clash at Hard Rock Stadium with some swagger after wins in their season openers.
The Dolphins pulled off a gutsy 20-17 win over the Jaguars, erasing a 14-point second-quarter deficit, with Jason Sanders nailing a 52-yard game-winning field goal as time expired.
WR Tyreek Hill, despite some pre-game issues, finished with 130 receiving yards and an 80-yard touchdown.
The Bills overcame a similar 14-point second-quarter deficit to overcome the Cardinals 34-28 at Highmark Stadium. Josh Allen notched himself four touchdowns—two through the air and two on the ground.
Buffalo won both matchups against Miami last season, including a dominant 48-20 home win and a 21-14 win in Miami. Allen was great in those games, pulling out 679 passing yards and six touchdowns. Buffalo has now won four straight against the Dolphins.
PICK – BUFFALO BILLS +2.5