NFL – Thursday Night Picks – Week 1

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*These free NFL picks and NFL player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ BALTIMORE RAVENS

Thursday, September 5th

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Chiefs have won 8 of their last 9 season openers.
  • 5 of the Ravens’ last 6 Thursday games have gone over the total points line.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
KAN 11 6 5-4-0 6-2-0
BAL 13 4 6-3-0 7-1-0

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
KAN 21.8 17.3 +4.5 39.1
BAL 28.4 16.5 +11.9 44.9

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BAL UNDER KAN
+3.0 46.5 27-20
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Derrick Henry has scored in his last 4 road games against the Chiefs.
  • Isaiah Likely has scored in 4 of the Ravens’ last 5 regular season games.
  • Travis Kelce has scored in each of his last 3 Week 1 games.
  • Nelson Agholor has scored in his last 3 games vs the Chiefs.
  • Isiah Pacheco has scored in 7 of his last 8 games.
  • Mecole Hardman has scored in 2 of the Chiefs’ last 3 games vs the Ravens.
  • Patrick Mahomes has 343+ passing yards in 4 of his last 5 games vs the Ravens.
  • Nelson Agholor has 39+ receiving yards in his last 3 games vs the Chiefs.
  • Travis Kelce has 73+ receiving yards in his last 6 games vs the Ravens.
  • Isaiah Likely has 40+ receiving yards in his last 3 road games.
  • Lamar Jackson has 54+ rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games vs the Chiefs.
  • Derrick Henry has 86+ rushing yards in his last 3 games vs the Chiefs.
  • Isiah Pacheco has 68+ rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games.
  • Lamar Jackson hasn’t thrown an interception in his last 13 games as a road underdog.
  • Patrick Mahomes hasn’t thrown an interception in 5 of his last 6 Week 1 games.

In the highly anticipated rematch of the 2023 AFC Championship game, the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs will kick off the 2024 NFL season at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday Night Football.

The Chiefs, fresh off their third Super Bowl title in five years, are led by Patrick Mahomes, who earned his third Super Bowl MVP in that victory. Mahomes will once again go head-to-head with Lamar Jackson, the reigning regular season MVP. While Jackson has thrived in the regular season, playoff success has eluded him.

To support Jackson, Baltimore added star running back Derrick Henry to their offense. However, the loss of key offensive linemen could put their ground game, which has ranked in the top three for rushing yards over the past six seasons, at risk.

For Kansas City, they strengthened their wide receiver corps by signing Marquise Brown and drafting Xavier Worthy in the first round. With eyes on a historic third consecutive Super Bowl, the Chiefs are ready to make another title run

PICK – UNDER 46.5 TOTAL PTS

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