NFL – Sunday Free Picks – Week 7

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*These free NFL picks and NFL player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Sunday, October 20th – Wembley Stadium, London

TEAM TRENDS

• The Patriots have lost 7 of their last 8 games.
• The Patriots’ opponents have been 1st to 15 points in 7 of their last 8 games.
• The Patriots have failed to cover their last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. New England 4Q Game Total Under – Hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.90 Units / 28% ROI)
2. Jacksonville 3Q Moneyline – Hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI)
3. Jacksonville 3Q Game Total Over – Hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Each with a lowly 1-5 record, the Patriots and Jaguars travel to Wembley Stadium on Sunday, both desperate to break out of their slumps.

The Patriots are coming off a 41-21 loss to the Texans at Gillette Stadium, where rookie QB Drake Maye showed some promise in his debut, throwing for 243 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. This performance was an improvement over Jacoby Brissett’s five-start stretch, where he averaged just 139.2 passing yards and 0.4 touchdowns per game.

The Jaguars are reeling from a 35-16 defeat at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium against the Bears, where first overall pick Caleb Williams torched them for four touchdown passes. Jacksonville now aims to snap a dismal stretch in conference play, having lost eight of their last nine such games.

PICK – JACKSONVILLE -5.5

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SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ ATLANTA FALCONS

Sunday, October 20th – Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

TEAM TRENDS

• The Falcons have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• 5 of the Seahawks’ last 6 games have gone over.
• The Falcons have scored 1st in 6 of their last 7 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Seahawks 3Q Spread – Covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.80 Units / 18% ROI)
2. Falcons 1H Game Total Over – Hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.25 Units / 31% ROI)
3. Falcons 2Q Game Total Over – Hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 34% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Winning streak meets losing streak when the Atlanta Falcons host the Seattle Seahawks at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday.

The Falcons are riding high after defeating the Panthers 38-20 in Week 6, powered by Bijan Robinson’s 95 rushing yards and two touchdowns. It marked Atlanta’s third straight win, all coming against division rivals.

The Seahawks dropped their third straight game in a 36-24 loss to the 49ers, squandering their early-season momentum. Seattle’s defense has faltered badly, surrendering 35.7 points and 430.7 yards per game over the losing streak.

This could be a dangerous matchup for them, as Atlanta’s offense is firing on all cylinders, averaging 33.3 points and 429.3 yards during its three-game surge.

PICK – UNDER 52.5 TOTAL PTS

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TENNESSEE TITANS @ BUFFALO BILLS

Sunday, October 20th – Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

TEAM TRENDS

• The Titans have lost 11 of their last 13 road games.
• 7 of the Bills’ last 8 games as favs have gone over.
• The Titans have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Titans 1H Moneyline – Hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
2. Bills 2Q Game Total Over – Hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 44% ROI)
3. Bills 3Q Moneyline – Hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 21% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

The AFC-East-leading Bills host the Titans at Highmark Stadium.

The Bills are riding high after a 23-20 win over the Jets on Monday Night Football, with rookie Ray Davis stepping up in James Cook’s absence, amassing 97 rushing yards and 55 receiving yards. Buffalo also bolstered its offense by acquiring wide receiver Amari Cooper during the week.

The Titans’ 20-17 loss to the Colts highlighted ongoing struggles, as they committed 11 penalties for 113 yards and saw their 31st-ranked passing attack stumble further. Will Levis managed just 95 passing yards and threw his 10th interception of the season, setting up a tough matchup against a Bills defense that has forced nine takeaways over its last five games.

PICK – OVER 41.0 TOTAL PTS

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CINCINNATI BENGALS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS

Sunday, October 20th – Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH

TEAM TRENDS

• The Browns have lost 7 of their last 8 games.
• 4 of the Bengals’ last 5 games have gone over.
• The home team has won the 1st half in 10 of the last 11 games between the Bengals and Browns.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Cincinnati 1H Game Total Over – Hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
2. Cincinnati 3Q Game Total Over – Hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.70 Units / 21% ROI)
3. Cleveland Score Last – Scored last in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.15 Units / 50% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

In a four-game skid, the Browns meet the Bengals at Huntington Bank Field.

Cleveland’s offensive struggles continued in a 20-16 loss to the Eagles in Week 6, managing just 244 total yards and remaining the only team yet to score 20 points in a game this season.

The Bengals enter on a high note after a 17-7 win over the Giants, but they still need to address a poor 1-6 record in division play and snap a six-game losing streak in Cleveland.

The Browns could receive a major boost with the potential season debut of Nick Chubb following last year’s knee injury, especially with lead receiver Amari Cooper traded to Buffalo earlier this week.

PICK – CINCINNATI -5.5

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DETROIT LIONS @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Sunday, October 20th – U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

TEAM TRENDS

• The last 5 games between the Lions and Vikings have gone over.
• The Vikings have scored 1st in their last 4 games.
• The Lions have covered in their last 7 games vs. the Vikings.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Detroit 3Q Game Total Over – Hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.75 Units / 56% ROI)
2. Detroit Spread – Covered the Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
3. Minnesota Moneyline – Hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 53% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

PICK – DETROIT +1.5

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MIAMI DOLPHINS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Sunday, October 20th – Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

TEAM TRENDS

• 6 of the Dolphins’ last 7 games have gone under.
• The Dolphins have scored 1st in 5 of their last 6 games vs. the Colts.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover in 7 of their last 8 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Miami 3Q Spread – Covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)
2. Miami 2Q Game Total Over – Hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
3. Indianapolis 1Q Game Total Over – Hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.00 Units / 30% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Meeting for the first time since Week 4, 2021, the Miami and Indianapolis will square off at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Colts ended a three-game divisional losing streak with a 20-17 win over the Titans in Week 6, as Joe Flacco once again filled in for Anthony Richardson, who is expected to return. The Colts also hope to have star running back Jonathan Taylor back in action after missing two games.

The Dolphins edged out the Patriots 15-10 before entering their bye week. Despite sitting at 2-3, Miami remains optimistic about its playoff hopes, especially with Tua Tagovailoa expected to return soon. However, ball security has been a persistent issue, with six giveaways in their last four outings.

Facing an opportunistic Colts defense that has forced nine turnovers in its previous five games, Miami will need to tighten up to avoid further setbacks.

PICK – INDIANAPOLIS -3.0

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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ NEW YORK GIANTS

Sunday, October 20th – MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

TEAM TRENDS

• The Eagles have lost 5 of their last 7 games as favourites.
• 6 of the Giants’ last 7 games have gone under.
• The Eagles have scored 1st in 4 of their last 5 games vs. the Giants.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Eagles 2Q Game Total Over – Hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 37% ROI)
2. Eagles 4Q Game Total Under – Hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)
3. Giants 2Q Moneyline – Hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Division rivals the Eagles and York Giants will face off at MetLife Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Giants are coming off a 17-7 loss to the Bengals, despite moving the chains effectively with 24 first downs for the second straight game. However, they found it hard to convert chances into points, continuing a troubling trend for their offense. The loss also came with a significant blow, as star left tackle Andrew Thomas underwent surgery for a season-ending Lisfranc injury.

The Giants, holding a 4-13-1 record in their last 18 division games, now aim to reverse their fortunes.

The Eagles secured a 20-16 win over the Browns at home, with A.J. Brown’s return much needed—he hauled in six receptions for 116 yards and a touchdown.

As the Giants await the return of key contributors Malik Nabers and Devin Singletary, who missed their last two games, they’ll need to regroup quickly to avoid falling further behind in the NFC East race.

PICK – UNDER 42.5 TOTAL PTS

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HOUSTON TEXANS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS

Sunday, October 20th – Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

TEAM TRENDS

• 4 of the Texans’ last 5 games have gone under.
• The Packers have scored 1st in 7 of their last 8 games.
• The Packers have covered in 8 of their last 10 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Packers 1Q Moneyline – Hit in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.60 Units / 29% ROI)
2. Packers 4Q Game Total Under – Hit in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
3. Texans 2Q Moneyline – Hit in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Sliding on a three-game winning streak, the Texans will visit the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon.

The Texans’ latest outing ended in a 41-21 win over the Patriots at Gillette Stadium. Despite only recording 192 passing yards, C.J. Stroud made it count, throwing three touchdown passes as Houston moved to 5-1 on the season. Stroud was ably supported by the returning Joe Mixon, who rushed for 102 yards and scored two total touchdowns in his first game since Week 2.

The Packers beat the Cardinals 34-13 at Lambeau Field during Week 6. Jordan Love found nine different receivers in the win, finishing with four touchdown passes, while the team tallied 437 yards of total offence. Green Bay now holds a 4-2 record in the NFL’s strongest division.

This game could see large offensive outputs as the Texans average 375.2 yards per game while the Packers are averaging 400.8.

PICK – OVER 47.5 TOTAL PTS

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LAS VEGAS RAIDERS @ LOS ANGELES RAMS

Sunday, October 20th – SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

TEAM TRENDS

• The Raiders have lost their last 5 games at SoFi Stadium.
• The Rams’ opponents have been 1st to 15 points in their last 7 games.
• The Rams have covered their last 6 games vs. the Raiders.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Raiders 1Q Moneyline – Hit in 11 of their last 21 games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
2. Rams Moneyline (Home Games) – Hit in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
3. Rams 3Q Game Total Over – Hit in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Two teams seeking any kind of lift meet at SoFi Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Rams are coming off a bye following a 24-19 loss to the Packers at home, dropping to a disappointing 1-4. While Puka Nacua’s return remains uncertain, Cooper Kupp has resumed practice and could potentially feature in this game, offering a much-needed boost to the Rams’ offense.

The Raiders’ struggles continued with a 32-13 loss to the Steelers, marking their second straight game with three giveaways. Offensive woes persist for Las Vegas, compounded by the departure of Davante Adams, who was traded to the Jets after weeks of speculation. Adams’ trade reunites him with Aaron Rodgers, ending an underwhelming stint with the Raiders and leaving Las Vegas searching for clues on offense.

PICK – LAS VEGAS +7.0

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CAROLINA PANTHERS @ WASHINGTON COMMANDERS

Sunday, October 20th – Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD

TEAM TRENDS

• The Panthers have lost 14 of their last 15 games vs. NFC opponents.
• The Commanders’ last 4 games has gone over.
• The Panthers have scored 1st in 5 of their last 6 games vs. the Commanders.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Carolina 3Q Game Total Under: Hit in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
2. Carolina 3Q Spread: Covered in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
3. Washington 3Q Spread: Covered in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 37% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Slumping on a three-game losing streak, the Panthers will visit the Commanders at Northwest Stadium. The Commanders are coming off a 30-23 loss to the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium, which ended a four-game winning streak.

Quarterback Jayden Daniels continued to shine, connecting with Terry McLaurin for two touchdowns, but Washington’s ground game was stifled, averaging less than three yards per carry.

Carolina’s struggles persisted in a 38-20 loss to the Falcons, dropping the Panthers to 1-5 and leaving them with fading hopes for the season. Washington’s rushing attack, one of the league’s best with 157.3 yards per game and 5.1 per carry, will be a major concern for Carolina, whose defense ranks 30th for opponent rushing yards, allowing 153.5 per game.

PICK – OVER 51.5 TOTAL PTS

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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Sunday, October 20th – Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD

TEAM TRENDS

• The 49ers’ last 4 games vs. AFC opponents have gone over.
• The 49ers have won the 1st half in their last 4 games.
• The 49ers’ D/ST has a TD in their last 2 home games.
• The Chiefs have covered their last 4 games vs. the 49ers.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Kansas City 4Q Game Total Under – Hit in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.70 Units / 56% ROI)
2. San Francisco 3Q Game Total Over – Hit in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 35% ROI)
3. Kansas City 1H Game Total Over – Hit in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

In a rematch of last year’s Super Bowl, the Chiefs will visit the 49ers at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Chiefs, riding an 11-game winning streak, come into the game off a bye and remain the only undefeated team in the AFC at 5-0, looking to continue their march toward history.

The 49ers are coming off a 36-24 win over the Seahawks at Lumen Field. San Francisco’s offense found its rhythm, with Brock Purdy connecting with George Kittle for two touchdowns. Deebo Samuel also shined, racking up 102 receiving yards and a touchdown on just three catches, while the run game exploded for 228 yards.

After enduring three losses in their previous four games, the 49ers rebounded with a much-needed win, though a challenging schedule awaits them in the coming weeks.

PICK – KANSAS CITY +1.5

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NEW YORK JETS @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS

Sunday, October 20th – Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA

TEAM TRENDS

• 5 of the last 6 games between the Jets and Steelers have gone under.
• The Jets have scored 1st in their last 5 games vs. the Steelers.
• The Jets have failed to cover in their last 4 games vs. teams above .500.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI PICKS

1. Jets 3Q Game Total Under – Hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)
2. Steelers 4Q Moneyline – Hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
3. Steelers Scored Last – Scored last in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)

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MATCH PREVIEW

Ind the middle of a three-game losing streak, the New York Jets will visit the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday Night Football.

Pittsburgh is coming off a 32-13 road win over the Raiders, powered by an impressive ground game. Najee Harris rushed for 106 yards and a TD, while Justin Fields added two rushing TDs.

However, there are rumblings that Fields could be replaced by Russell Wilson under center this week, adding intrigue to the Steelers’ quarterback situation.

Te Jets suffered a 23-20 home loss to the Bills, with Aaron Rodgers visibly frustrated following a late interception that cost New York a chance to tie or take the lead. In a major move to boost their offense, the Jets traded for All-Pro receiver Davante Adams from the Raiders, reuniting him with Rodgers and aiming to relieve some of the pressure on Garrett Wilson.

PICK – PITTSBURGH +2.0

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