NFL – Sunday NFL Football Picks – Week 16

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These free NFL expert picks and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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NEW YORK GIANTS @ ATLANTA FALCONS

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

TEAM TRENDS

• The last 6 games between the Giants and Falcons have gone unders.
• The Giants have lost their last 9 games.
• In 5 of the Giants’ last 6 games, the first score was an opponent’s TD.
• The Falcons have failed to cover their last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Giants visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday to face the Atlanta Falcons in a matchup of teams with differing fortunes.

The Giants lost their ninth straight game, falling 35-14 to the Ravens, tying the franchise’s longest losing streak. Rookies Malik Nabers and Tyrone Tracy have been bright spots amid the struggles, with Nabers ranking T4th in the NFL in receptions (90) and Tracy accumulating 915 scrimmage yards, second among rookie running backs.

Atlanta snapped a four-game skid with a 15-9 win over the Raiders, driven by Bijan Robinson’s sixth career 100-yard rushing performance. At 7-7, Atlanta is just one game behind the Buccaneers for the NFC South lead. With rookie Michael Penix Jr. taking over at quarterback for the benched Kirk Cousins, the Falcons are likely to rely heavily on Robinson against a Giants defense allowing 143.7 rushing yards per game, the second-most in the league.

PICK – OVER 43.5 TOTAL POINTS

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DETROIT LIONS @ CHICAGO BEARS

Soldier Field, Chicago, IL

TEAM TRENDS

• In 13 of the Bears’ last 14 games, their opponents scored first.
• The Lions have won their last 10 games following a loss.
• 6 of the Bears’ last 7 games against NFC North opponents have gone unders.
• The Lions have won the first half in their last 7 games against NFC opponents.
• The Bears have covered their last 5 games as underdogs against the Lions.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Lions aim to keep their grip on the NFC’s top seed as they visit division rivals, the Chicago Bears, on Sunday. Detroit’s 11-game winning streak ended with a 48-42 loss to the Bills, their highest points allowed since 2021. Defensive injuries and the loss of lead running back David Montgomery (MCL) further challenge the Lions as they battle to stay ahead of the Eagles and Vikings in the conference.

The Bears dropped their eighth straight game with a 30-12 loss to the Vikings on Monday Night Football. Earlier this season, Chicago’s last-minute time management error handed Detroit a 23-20 Thanksgiving win. With the NFC race tightening, the Lions must rebound to cement their playoff positioning.

PICK – OVER 47.0 TOTAL POINTS

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CLEVELAND BROWNS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS

Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH

TEAM TRENDS

• 8 of the Bengals’ last 9 home games have gone over the total match points line.
• The Browns have lost their last 6 road games.
• The Bengals have scored first in the Browns’ last 6 games.
• The Bengals have covered their last 7 games against teams with losing records.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

AFC North rivals meet as the Browns visit the Bengals at Paycor Stadium.

The Bengals kept their playoff hopes alive with a 37-27 win over the Titans, fueled by Joe Burrow’s 271 passing yards and three TDs, which maintain his league lead in both categories. Despite their offensive firepower, Cincinnati has struggled at home, holding just a 1-5 record at Paycor Stadium this season.

The Browns are desperate to end a six-game road losing streak, their longest since 2019-20. Cleveland’s 21-7 loss to the Chiefs last week highlighted their turnover woes, with six giveaways bringing their season total to 25. The team has benched Jameis Winston in favor of Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who will face a Bengals defense ranked 31st in points allowed.

PICK – OVER 46.5 TOTAL POINTS

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TENNESSEE TITANS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

TEAM TRENDS

• The underdogs have covered the line in the last 9 games between AFC South teams.
• The Titans have lost 15 of their last 18 road games.
• Each of the Titans’ last 6 road games have gone overs.
• The Colts’ opponents have been first to 20 points in their last 7 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Titans and Colts renew their rivalry Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium in a pivotal AFC South matchup.

The Colts’ playoff hopes suffered a major setback with a 31-13 loss to the Broncos, their fifth defeat in seven games. Costly errors, including a dropped ball by Jonathan Taylor at the goal line and a botched trick play returned 50 yards for a TD, defined the loss.

The Titans fell 37-27 to the Bengals, marking their third straight defeat. Turnovers have plagued Tennessee all season, with 29 giveaways, setting up a tough challenge against a Colts defense boasting 21 takeaways. Will Levis has been benched, adding further uncertainty for the Titans.

Indianapolis won the first meeting 20-17 in Week 6, their third straight win over Tennessee, all by one score.

PICK – INDIANAPOLIS -3.5

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LOS ANGELES RAMS @ NEW YORK JETS

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

TEAM TRENDS

• The Jets have failed to cover the line in their last 7 games against NFC opponents.
• The Rams have won their last 4 road games.
• The Jets’ last 4 games have gone overs.
• The Jets’ opponents have scored last in 10 of their last 11 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Rams, now leading the NFC West, visit the Jets at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, aiming to maintain their position with three games left.

The Rams are riding a three-game win streak, most recently grinding out a 12-6 victory over the 49ers on Thursday Night Football. That defensive effort marked their lowest points allowed since 2020 and extended their road winning streak to four. With two home games to close the season, the Rams are focused on securing this crucial road victory.

The Jets bounced back with a 32-25 win over the Jaguars. Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams stole the show, connecting for 198 yards and two touchdowns. Adams has now posted back-to-back 100-yard games for the first time since 2022, providing a much-needed spark for the Jets’ offense.

PICK – LOS ANGELES -3.5

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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ WASHINGTON COMMANDERS

FedEx Field, Landover, MD

TEAM TRENDS

• The Eagles have won their last 10 games.
• 5 of the Eagles’ last 6 games have gone unders.
• The Commanders have won the first quarter in 7 of their last 8 games.
• The Eagles have been the first to 20 points in their last 10 games.
• The Commanders have scored first in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The Eagles have covered the line in their last 5 road games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Eagles, riding a franchise-record 10-game winning streak, visit division rivals the Commanders at Northwest Stadium.

Philly improved to 12-2 with a 27-13 victory over the Steelers, sitting just behind the conference-leading Lions via tiebreaker. The Eagles boast the league’s best rushing attack, led by MVP candidate Saquon Barkley and the dual-threat capabilities of Jalen Hurts, ranking first in rushing yards and second in rushing TDs.

The Commanders, now 9-5, edged the Saints 20-19 last week to maintain a one-game lead for the NFC’s final wild card spot. Washington also excels on the ground, ranking third in rushing yards and tied for third in rushing touchdowns, driven by Jayden Daniels and Brian Robinson Jr.

The Eagles won the first meeting this season 26-18 and have claimed victory in six of their last seven matchups with Washington.

PICK – PHILADELPHIA -3.5

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ARIZONA CARDINALS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC

TEAM TRENDS

• The underdogs have won the last 4 games between the Cardinals and Panthers.
• The Panthers’ last 6 games at Bank of America Stadium have gone overs.
• The Cardinals have scored first in their last 6 games.
• The Panthers’ Defensive/Special Teams have scored in 3 of their last 4 home games against the Cardinals.
• The underdogs have covered the line in the Panthers’ last 6 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Panthers look to snap a four-game losing streak as they host the Cardinals at Bank of America Stadium.

Carolina’s struggles continued with a 30-14 loss to the Cowboys, marking their third straight home defeat. A porous run defense remains a glaring issue, allowing 211 rushing yards to Dallas and a league-worst 173.0 per game this season.

The Cardinals are riding high from a 30-17 win over the Patriots. James Conner powered Arizona’s top-10 rushing attack with his fifth 100-yard game of the season, adding two touchdowns. The Cardinals, averaging 141.5 rushing yards per game, snapped a three-game skid with that victory and remain just one game back in the NFC West race.

PICK – 0VER 46.5 TOTAL POINTS

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MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Lumen Field, Seattle, WA

TEAM TRENDS

• The road team has covered the line in 9 of the Seahawks’ last 10 games.
• The Vikings have won their last 7 games.
• The Seahawks’ last 4 home games have gone unders.
• The Vikings have been the first to 10 points in their last 6 road games.
• The first scoring play in the Seahawks’ last 3 games has been an opponent TD.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Vikings, riding a seven-game winning streak, travel to Lumen Field to face the Seattle Seahawks in a key NFC clash.

The Vikings cruised past the Bears 30-12 on Monday night, with Justin Jefferson catching his eighth touchdown of the season and Aaron Jones and Cam Akers adding second-half scores. Tied with Detroit atop the NFC, Minnesota must snap a five-game road losing streak against Seattle to maintain their position.

The Seahawks fell 30-13 to the Packers on Sunday Night Football, ending their four-game win streak and dropping out of first place in the NFC West. Geno Smith exited the game with a knee injury but remains optimistic to play in this pivotal matchup as Seattle looks to rebound in the crowded NFC playoff race.

PICK – MINNESOTA -2.5

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NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ BUFFALO BILLS

Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

TEAM TRENDS

• 8 of the Bills’ last 9 home games have gone overs.
• The Bills have won their last 10 home games against AFC East opponents.
• The Bills have scored last in their last 6 home games.
• The Bills’ D/ST has scored a TD in their last 2 home games against the Patriots.
• The Patriots have covered 8 of their last 11 road games against the Bills.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Bills are riding high after a thrilling 48-42 win over the Lions, their equal-highest scoring output since 2020. With their fifth straight division crown secured, Buffalo remains focused on catching the Chiefs for the AFC’s top seed. Josh Allen continued his MVP-caliber season with four total touchdowns, while James Cook added two scores, bringing his season total to 14.

The Patriots dropped their fourth straight game, falling to the Cardinals last week. Facing the Bills twice in the final three weeks, New England will be underdogs but has shown it can compete, having stunned Buffalo last season and stayed within a score in their most recent visit to this venue.

PICK – OVER 46.5 TOTAL POINTS

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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS @ LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV

TEAM TRENDS

• The Raiders have lost their last 10 games.
• 6 of the Raiders’ last 7 games against AFC opponents have gone overs.
• The Raiders have lost the 1st quarter in their last 5 games.
• In the Raiders’ last 10 games, their opponents have been the first to 15 points.
• The Jaguars have covered 5 of their last 6 games following a loss.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

Enduring a 10-game losing streak, the Las Vegas Raiders host the Jaguars at Allegiant Stadium.

The Raiders’ struggles continued with a 15-9 loss to the Falcons on Monday night, marking their longest winless run since 2013-14 and placing them squarely in contention for a top-two draft pick. Third-string quarterback Desmond Ridder struggled in his first start, but the team is hopeful Aidan O’Connell can return under center.

The Jaguars fell 32-25 to the Jets in their latest outing. Backup quarterback Mac Jones impressed, connecting with rookie standout Brian Thomas 10 times for 105 yards and two touchdowns. Thomas, who ranks ninth in the NFL for receiving yards and leads all rookies with eight TDs, remains a bright spot in Jacksonville’s otherwise disappointing season.

PICK – JACKSONVILLE +2.5

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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

TEAM TRENDS

• The Dolphins’ last 5 home games have gone overs.
• The home team has won 4 of the last 5 matchups between the 49ers and Dolphins.
• The 49ers have won the 1st quarter in 10 of their last 12 games.
• The 49ers have scored first in each of their last 7 games against AFC opponents.
• The 49ers have failed to cover the line in 5 of their last 6 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

The 49ers and Miami Dolphins, both sitting at 6-8, face off at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday with slim playoff hopes on the line.

San Francisco’s season has been derailed by injuries, evident in their 12-6 loss to the Rams on Thursday Night Football, marking their lowest scoring output since 2017. Struggling offensively, the 49ers sit two games behind the NFC West leaders and face an uphill battle to remain in contention.

The Dolphins also face long odds, needing to win out and rely on favorable results to secure an AFC wild card spot. Miami fell 20-12 to Houston last week, with Tua Tagovailoa enduring a career-worst outing with four turnovers. Adding to their woes, Jaylen Waddle exited with a knee injury, leaving his status uncertain for this critical matchup.

PICK – UNDER 44.5 TOTAL POINTS

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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS @ DALLAS COWBOYS

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

TEAM TRENDS

• 7 of the last 8 games between the Buccaneers and Cowboys have gone unders.
• The Cowboys have lost 7 of their last 8 home games.
• In each of the Buccaneers’ last 4 games, the first score has been a Buccaneers TD.
• The favourites have won the first half in each of the last 12 games between the Buccaneers and Cowboys.
• The Buccaneers have covered the line in 5 of their last 6 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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MATCH PREVIEW

The Buccaneers and Cowboys clash at AT&T Stadium on Sunday Night Football, their first meeting since the Cowboys’ 31-14 Wild Card win in 2022.

Dallas enters with momentum after a 30-14 victory over the Panthers, marking their third win in four games. The Cowboys have leaned on a balanced attack, but their pass defense remains vulnerable, ranking 25th in opponent completion percentage (67.8%).

The Buccaneers extended their winning streak to four with a stunning 40-17 upset of the Chargers. Baker Mayfield was clinical, completing 22 of 27 passes for 288 yards and four touchdowns. Tampa Bay’s passing game is among the NFL’s best, ranking top five in yards (244.0), completion rate (70.9%), and touchdowns (32). That aerial superiority could pose a significant challenge for Dallas in this primetime showdown.

PICK – TAMPA BAY -3.5

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