NFL – Monday Night Football Picks – Week 11

nfl monday night picks

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These free NFL expert picks and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

HOUSTON TEXANS @ DALLAS COWBOYS

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

TEAM TRENDS

  • Cowboys have covered in each of their last 4 Monday games.
  • Cowboys have lost each of their last 5 home games.
  • 5 of Texans’ last 6 games as favs have gone under.
  • Texans have scored first in each of their last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 6 4 4-1 2-3
DAL 3 6 0-4 3-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
HOU 22.4 22.6 -0.2 45.0
DAL 19.7 28.8 -9.1 48.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DAL OVER
+7.5 41.5

HOTTEST ROI TRENDS

ROI BETTING TRENDS - HERE
  1. Dallas: 1H Game Total Over in 7 of last 9 home games (44% ROI)
  2. Houston: 1H Spread in 7 of last 10 away games (35% ROI)
  3. Houston: 1H Moneyline in 6 of last 10 away games (32% ROI)
  4. Dallas: 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of last 9 home games (28% ROI)
  5. Dallas: Game Total Over in 6 of last 9 home games (27% ROI)
  6. Houston: 2Q Moneyline in 12 of last 20 games (27% ROI)

PLAYER TRENDS

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Joe Mixon has scored the first TD in each of Texans’ last 2 games.
  • Joe Mixon has a TD in 8 of his last 9 games.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has a TD in each of Cowboys’ last 4 games vs. AFC South teams.
  • Tank Dell has a TD in 4 of Texans’ last 5 November games.
  • Nico Collins has a TD in 3 of his last 4 games.
  • CeeDee Lamb has a TD in 8 of Cowboys’ last 11 home games.

MATCH PREVIEW

Doing it tough through a four-game losing streak, the Cowboys host the Texans at AT&T Stadium under the bright lights of Monday Night Football.

The Cowboys were dismantled 34-6 by the Eagles in Week 10, with an offense in disarray following Dak Prescott’s season-ending injury. Dallas managed just 49 passing yards, their fewest in a game since 2001, and committed five turnovers, matching their longest single-season losing streak since 2015.

The Texans are coming off a heartbreaking 26-23 loss to the Lions, where they blew a 16-point third-quarter lead. Despite forcing Jared Goff into five interceptions, Houston went scoreless in the second half and lost on a 52-yard field goal.

The Texans still hold a two-game lead atop the AFC South but have dropped three of their last four.

PICK – OVER 41.5 TOTAL POINTS

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