*These free NFL picks and NFL player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS @ BUFFALO BILLS
Monday, September 23rd
TEAM TRENDS
- The Bills have won their last 10 home games vs teams on a losing streak.
- The Bills’ last 4 home games have gone overs.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
JAX | 0 | 2 | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 |
BUF | 2 | 0 | 1-0-0 | 1-0-0 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
JAX | 15.0 | 19.0 | -4.0 | 34.0 |
BUF | 32.5 | 19.0 | 13.5 | 51.5 |
PICKS ATS
SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
BUF | UNDER | BUF |
-5.0 | 45.5 | 47-10 |
BEST ROI BETS
- Jacksonville 3Q Spread – Covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Buffalo 3Q Moneyline – Hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jacksonville 3Q Game Total Over – Hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
MATCHUP PREVIEW
The Bills host the winless Jags at Highmark Stadium on Monday night, with both teams trending in opposite directions.
The Bills are riding high after a 31-10 win over the Dolphins in Week 2, where James Cook found the end zone three times, and the defense stepped up with three interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown.
On the other hand, the Jaguars limped to an 18-13 loss to the Cleveland Browns, with Trevor Lawrence taking four sacks and completing just 14 of 30 passes.
The Bills’ strong passing attack, averaging 237.6 passing yards per game since last season with a 67.0% completion rate, could pose issues for the Jaguars, who rank near the bottom in passing defense, allowing 240.4 yards per game.
Jacksonville’s recent form, losing seven of their last eight games, sets them up for a tough matchup against the undefeated Bills.
PICK – BUFFALO -5.0
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS
Monday, September 23rd
TEAM TRENDS
- The Bengals have won their last 9 games vs NFC teams.
- 6 of the Bengals’ last 8 games have gone overs.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
WAS | 1 | 1 | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
CIN | 0 | 2 | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
WAS | 20.5 | 27.5 | -7.0 | 48.0 |
CIN | 17.5 | 21.0 | -3.5 | 38.5 |
PICKS ATS
SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
WAS | OVER | WAS |
+7.5 | 47.0 | 38-33 |
BEST ROI BETS
- Washington 3Q Spread – Covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cincinnati to Score First (Home Games) – Scored first in 5 of their last 6 home games (+3.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Washington 2H Moneyline (Away Games) – Hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
MATCHUP PREVIEW
The Commanders and Bengals meet for the first time since Week 11, 2020, when they face off at Paycor Stadium on Monday night.
The Bengals are still after their first win of the season after a crushing 26-25 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 2, where a defensive pass interference call on 4th and 16 extended the Chiefs’ game-winning drive.
The Commanders made history in their 21-18 win over the Giants, becoming the first team to win a game in regulation while scoring no touchdowns and allowing three.
They leaned heavily on their ground game, racking up 215 rushing yards, their best performance on the ground since Week 18, 2021.
The Bengals will look to rebound and hope to regain star receiver Tee Higgins, who has yet to play this season due to a hamstring injury.
PICK – OVER 47.0 TOTAL POINTS