NFL – Monday Night Picks – Week 5

nfl monday night picks

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*These free NFL picks and NFL player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Monday, October 7th

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Saints have scored first in the Chiefs’ last 5 games.
  • The Chiefs have lost the first half in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The Saints have covered 7 of their last 8 games as road underdogs.
  • The Chiefs have won heir last 10 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NO 2 2 1-1-0 1-1-0
KC 4 0 2-0-0 2-0-0

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NO 31.7 17.5 +14.2 49.2
KC 23.0 18.0 +5.0 41.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NO UNDER
+5.5 43.5
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Travis Kelce has a TD in 5 of his last 6 regular season home games against NFC opponents.
  • Alvin Kamara has a TD in 3 of the Saints’ last 4 games.

BEST ROI PICKS

  1. Saints 2H Moneyline – Hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  2. Saints 1H Game Total Over – Hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  3. Chiefs 4Q Game Total Under – Hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 20 games (+15.75 Units / 67% ROI)

MATCH PREVIEW

Meeting for the first time since Week 15 of 2020, the Saints and Chiefs will do battle at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday Night Football.

The Chiefs firmed their grip on the AFC West with a 17-10 win over the Chargers at SoFi Stadium in Week 4, though they may have lost wide receiver Rashee Rice to a potential ACL injury. Despite the win, Kansas’ offense has been very up and eown, with Patrick Mahomes throwing at least one interception in every game so far this season.

The Saints’ latest outing ended in a 26-24 loss to the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, dropping them to 2-2. Critical mistakes, including a muffed punt and a costly interception, led to two Atlanta touchdowns.

New Orleans will look to their opportunistic defense, which has already recorded six interceptions this season, to capitalize on Mahomes’ turnover struggles, especially with the Chiefs’ top receiver possibly on the sidelines.

PICK – NEW ORLEANS +5.5

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