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These free NFL betting tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.
KANSAS CITY @ PHILADELPHIA
Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
TEAM TRENDS
- The Eagles have been the first to 20 points in each of their last 16 games.
- The Eagles have won 15 of their last 16 games.
- The last 7 Sunday games between the Chiefs and Eagles have gone OVERS.
- The Chiefs have failed to cover the line in 9 of their last 13 games.
- The first score has been an Eagles’ touchdown in 5 of their last 6 games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM |
W |
L |
HOME |
ROAD |
| KC |
15 |
2 |
8-0 |
7-2 |
| PHI |
14 |
3 |
8-1 |
6-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM |
PPG |
OPPG |
DIFF |
TOT.AV. |
| KC |
22.6 |
19.2 |
+3.5 |
41.8 |
| PHI |
27.2 |
17.8 |
+9.4 |
45.1 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD |
POINTS |
RESULT |
| PHI |
UNDER |
|
| +1.5 |
49.5 |
|
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
PLAYER TRENDS
- Jalen Hurts has scored the last TD in each of the Eagles’ last 2 games against the Chiefs.
- A.J. Brown has scored a TD in 4 of his last 6 games .
- DeAndre Hopkins has scored at least 1 TD in each of his last 3 games against NFC opponents.
- Kareem Hunt has scored at least 1 TD in each of his 6 previous postseason games.
- Xavier Worthy has scored a TD in 4 of the Chiefs’ last 6 games.
- Travis Kelce has scored at least 1 TD in 12 of the Chiefs’ last 16 postseason games.
- Patrick Mahomes has thrown 2+ TDs in each of the Chiefs’ last 3 games against the Eagles.
- Saquon Barkley has scored 2+ TDs in each of the Eagles’ last 2 games.
- Saquon Barkley has scored a first-quarter TD in each of the Eagles’ last 2 games.
- DeAndre Hopkins has 5+ receptions in each of his last 3 games against NFC opponents.
- DeVonta Smith has 6+ receptions in each of the Eagles’ last 3 games against the Chiefs.
- Saquon Barkley has 118+ rushing yards in each of his last 5 games.
- Patrick Mahomes has 29+ rushing yards in each of the Chiefs’ last 4 Super Bowls.
- Isiah Pacheco has 43+ rushing yards in 11 of his 12 previous games against NFC opponents.
- Jalen Hurts has 29+ rushing yards in 11 of his last 12 games.
- Dallas Goedert has 47+ receiving yards in each of the Eagles’ last 4 games.
- Travis Kelce has 71+ receiving yards in 14 of the Chiefs’ last 15 postseason games.
- DeVonta Smith has 99+ receiving yards in each of the Eagles’ last 3 games against the Chiefs.
- Xavier Worthy has 41+ receiving yards in 9 of the Chiefs’ last 10 games.
- Jalen Hurts has 230+ passing yards in 4 of the Eagles’ last 5 games against AFC opponents.
- Dallas Goedert has a longest reception of 24+ yards in each of his last 3 games.
- Isiah Pacheco has 8+ rush attempts in each of his 12 previous games against NFC opponents.
- Patrick Mahomes has not thrown an interception in his last 8 games.
- Jalen Hurts has not thrown an interception in his last 9 games.
- Jake Elliott has made 2+ field goals in 6 of the Eagles’ last 7 games.
BEST ROI BETTING TRENDS - HERE
BEST ROI BETTING PICKS
- Kansas City have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 74% ROI)
- Kansas City have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Philadelphia have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kansas City have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kansas City have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Philadelphia have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Philadelphia have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kansas City have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Philadelphia have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kansas City have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
MATCH PREVIEW
The Chiefs and Eagles square off for the second time in three seasons with the Vince Lombardi Trophy on the line, this time at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
The Eagles punched their ticket in historic fashion, dismantling Washington 55-23 in the NFC Championship—the highest-scoring conference title game ever. Saquon Barkley set the tone early with two rushing touchdowns in the first quarter before adding a third in the final stanza, while Jalen Hurts ran for three TDs of his own, capitalizing on the Eagles’ signature ‘brotherly shove’ play. Philadelphia’s defense also came up big, forcing four turnovers, each of which led to a touchdown.
The Chiefs are on the verge of making history, aiming to become the first team ever to win three straight Super Bowls. They secured their fifth Super Bowl appearance in six seasons with a thrilling 32-29 victory over Buffalo in the AFC Championship. Patrick Mahomes once again proved clutch, not only with his arm but also his legs, leading Kansas City to its 17th straight one-possession win. Now, the reigning champions look to cement their dynasty against an Eagles team hungry for revenge.
PICK – PHILADELPHIA +1.5
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