NBA – Tonight’s NBA Predictions – Sun, 9th March

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*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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DENVER @ OKLAHOMA CITY

Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

TEAM TRENDS

  • OKC – The Thunder have won 20 of their last 22 games at Paycom Center.
  • UNDER – 6 of the last 7 games between the Nuggets and Thunder have gone under.
  • OKC – The Nuggets have won the 1st quarter in each of their last 5 road games vs. the Thunder.
  • DEN – The Nuggets have covered the line in 11 of their last 12 games as underdogs vs. the Thunder.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 41 22 22-9 19-13
OKC 52 11 27-4 24-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 121.5 116.3 +5.2 237.8
OKC 119.4 106.6 +12.8 226.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
OKC UNDER
-7.0 240.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • OKC – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 3+ threes in each of his last 4 games.
  • OKC – Jalen Williams has scored 20+ points in each of his last 6 games.
  • OKC – Chet Holmgren has recorded a double-double in each of the Thunder’s last 3 games vs. the Nuggets.
  • DEN – Nikola Jokic has recorded 14+ rebounds in each of the Nuggets’ last 5 games.
  • DEN – Nikola Jokic has recorded a triple-double in each of the Nuggets’ last 2 games vs. the Thunder.
  • DEN – Michael Porter Jr. has made 3+ threes in 8 of his last 9 games vs. the Thunder.
  • DEN – Michael Porter Jr. has recorded 6+ rebounds in each of his last 9 games vs. the Thunder.

MATCH PREVIEW

Denver and Oklahoma meet at Paycom Center.

They split their first two matchups at Ball Arena.

Oklahoma City beat Portland 107-89, led by Aaron Wiggins’ 30 points and Jaylin Williams’ 10-11-11-3, playing without their regular starters (all available).

Denver outlasted Phoenix 149-141 in OT, powered by Nikola Jokic’s 31-21-22 (career-high) with three steals, Christian Braun’s 25 points, and Aaron Gordon’s 27 with seven triples (equal-career-high).

The Nuggets have won 16 straight when Jokic records 15+ assists, as he posted the first 30-20-20 game in NBA history.

PICK – OKLAHOMA CITY -7.0

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PHOENIX @ DALLAS

American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

TEAM TRENDS

  • PHX – The Mavericks have lost each of their last 4 games.
  • UNDER – Each of the last 6 games between the Suns and Mavericks have gone under.
  • PHX – The Mavericks have failed to cover the line in 12 of their last 14 games as underdogs without Kyrie Irving.
  • DAL – The Mavericks have won the 1st half in each of their last 8 games as underdogs vs. the Suns.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHX 29 34 18-13 11-21
DAL 32 32 19-14 13-18

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHX 114.3 116.5 -2.2 230.8
DAL 114.5 114.1 +0.4 228.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
PHX UNDER
-7.0 229.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • PHX – Devin Booker has scored 29+ points in 10 of the Suns’ last 11 games as road favourites.
  • PHX – Devin Booker has made 3+ threes in each of the Suns’ last 4 games as favourites.
  • PHX – Devin Booker has recorded 8+ assists in each of the Suns’ last 6 games as favourites.
  • PHX – Kevin Durant has scored 26+ points in each of the Suns’ last 3 games vs. the Mavericks.
  • PHX – Kevin Durant has recorded 7+ rebounds in each of the Suns’ last 3 games.
  • DAL – Naji Marshall has recorded 9+ rebounds in each of the Mavericks’ last 3 games vs. teams that held a losing record.

MATCH PREVIEW

Separated by 2.5 games in the battle for the final West play-in spot, the Suns and Mavericks meet at American Airlines Center.

Phoenix leads the season series 2-1 but lost the last matchup 98-89.

Dallas fell 122-111 to Memphis despite Naji Marshall’s 29-17 (both career-highs) and Brandon Williams’ 31 points (career-high), missing P.J. Washington (out). The Mavericks have lost three straight without Washington.

Phoenix lost 149-141 in OT to Denver despite Devin Booker’s 34-6-7 with five triples and Kevin Durant’s 29-9. The Suns have dropped seven straight road games in conference play.

PICK – UNDER 229.5 TOTAL POINTS

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MEMPHIS @ NEW ORLEANS

Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA

TEAM TRENDS

  • MEM – The Grizzlies have won 22 of their last 25 games vs. teams that held a losing record.
  • MEM – The Grizzlies have won the 1st quarter in 13 of their last 14 games vs. the Pelicans.
  • UNDER – Each of the Grizzlies’ last 4 games as road favourites have gone under.
  • FADE MEM – The Grizzlies have failed to cover the line in 9 of their last 10 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MEM 39 24 22-10 17-14
NO 17 47 11-20 6-27

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MEM 122.9 116.9 +6.0 239.8
NO 110.9 119.3 -8.4 230.2

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MEM OVER
-8.5 238.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • MEM – Desmond Bane has recorded a double-double in each of his last 4 games vs. Southwest opponents.
  • MEM – Desmond Bane has recorded 8+ assists in each of the Grizzlies’ last 2 games vs. the Pelicans.
  • MEM – Desmond Bane has scored 20+ points in each of the Grizzlies’ last 11 road games vs. Western opponents.
  • MEM – Ja Morant has scored 25+ points in each of his last 5 games vs. the Pelicans.
  • MEM – Zach Edey has recorded 8+ rebounds in each of the Grizzlies’ last 5 games as favourites vs. Western opponents.

MATCH PREVIEW

Playing the second leg of a back-to-back, the Pelicans host the Grizzlies at Smoothie King Center.

Memphis leads the season series 3-0, with Zion Williamson yet to play in the matchup.

The Pelicans were blown out 146-117 by Houston, dropping to 11-31 in conference play.

Memphis beat Dallas 122-111 behind Desmond Bane’s 27-16 (career-high) with three steals, snapping a four-game skid while missing Jaren Jackson Jr. (out).

PICK – OVER 238.5 TOTAL POINTS

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UTAH @ PHILADELPHIA

Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA

TEAM TRENDS

  • PHI – The 76ers have won each of their last 11 games vs. the Jazz.
  • PHI – The 76ers have won the 1st half in each of their last 9 games.
  • UTA – The Jazz have lost each of their last 11 road games.
  • OVER – 12 of the Jazz’s last 15 games have gone over.
  • FADE PHI – The 76ers have failed to cover the line in 15 of their last 16 games as home favourites.
  • FADE PHI – The 76ers have lost the 1st quarter in each of their last 6 games as favourites.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 15 48 8-24 7-24
PHI 21 41 11-21 10-20

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
UTA 112.4 119.7 -7.3 232.1
PHI 109.0 114.0 -5.0 223.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
PHI UNDER
-6.5 224.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • PHI – Andre Drummond has recorded 14+ rebounds in each of the 76ers’ last 2 home games.
  • PHI – Kelly Oubre Jr. has scored 20+ points in each of his last 4 games.
  • UTA – Kyle Filipowski has scored 17+ points in each of the Jazz’s last 3 games.
  • UTA – Keyonte George has made 3+ three-pointers in 6 of his last 8 games.
  • UTA – Keyonte George has recorded 4+ rebounds in each of his last 7 road games vs. teams that held a losing record.
  • UTA – Quentin Grimes has recorded 6+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 games at Wells Fargo Center.

MATCH PREVIEW

Meeting for the second time this season, the Jazz and 76ers face off at Wells Fargo Center.

Philadelphia won their first matchup 114-111 on December 28 behind Joel Embiid’s 32 points and four steals.

The 76ers lost 123-105 to Boston despite Kelly Oubre Jr.’s 27-6 (season-high) with three steals, missing Paul George and Tyrese Maxey (both out). Philadelphia has lost eight straight without Maxey.

Utah fell 118-109 to Toronto despite Walker Kessler’s 18-25-8 (all career-highs), again missing John Collins (out). Kessler is also out. The Jazz have lost 11 straight on the road.

PICK – UNDER 224.5 TOTAL POINTS

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CLEVELAND @ MILWAUKEE

Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI

TEAM TRENDS

  • CLE – The Cavaliers have won each of their last 13 games.
  • CLE – The Cavaliers have covered the line in each of their last 6 road games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • MIL – The Bucks have won the 1st half in each of the last 9 games vs. the Cavaliers.
  • MIL – Each of the Bucks’ last 4 games have gone over.
  • UNDER – 6 of the last 7 games between the Cavaliers and Bucks have gone under.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 53 10 29-4 24-6
MIL 36 26 21-10 14-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CLE 123.1 111.7 +11.4 234.8
MIL 114.8 112.5 +2.3 227.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
CLE UNDER
-8.5 238.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • CLE – Max Strus has made 3+ three-pointers in 5 of the Cavaliers’ last 6 games as favourites.
  • CLE – Jarrett Allen has recorded a double-double in each of the Cavaliers’ last 7 games vs. the Bucks.
  • CLE – Donovan Mitchell has recorded 6+ assists in 6 of his last 8 games vs. the Bucks.
  • CLE – Jarrett Allen has scored 15+ points in each of the Cavaliers’ last 3 road games vs. the Bucks.
  • CLE – Donovan Mitchell has scored 26+ points in 7 of his last 8 games as a favourite vs. the Bucks.
  • MIL – Giannis Antetokounmpo has scored 26+ points in each of the Bucks’ last 6 games.
  • MIL – Giannis Antetokounmpo has recorded 12+ rebounds in 6 of his last 8 games vs. the Cavaliers.
  • MIL – Giannis Antetokounmpo has recorded 9+ assists in each of the Bucks’ last 3 home games vs. the Cavaliers.
  • MIL – Brook Lopez has recorded 6+ rebounds in each of the Bucks’ last 5 games vs. the Cavaliers.
  • MIL – Damian Lillard has scored 36+ points in each of his last 2 games vs. the Cavaliers.

MATCH PREVIEW

Playing the second leg of a back-to-back, the Bucks host the Cavaliers at Fiserv Forum.

Cleveland leads the season series 3-0.

Milwaukee was upset 111-109 by Orlando despite Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 37-11 and Damian Lillard’s 26-7, snapping a four-game win streak and dropping to 36-26.

Cleveland edged Charlotte 118-117 behind Evan Mobley’s 19-10. The Cavaliers are 20-1 in their last 21 games when Mobley grabs 10+ rebounds and hold a 53-10 overall record in 2024-25.

PICK – UNDER 238.5 TOTAL POINTS

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SAN ANTONIO @ MINNESOTA

Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

TEAM TRENDS

  • MIN – The Timberwolves have won 7 of their last 8 home games vs. the Spurs.
  • MIN – The Timberwolves have covered the line in 6 of their last 7 home games.
  • SAS – Each of the Spurs’ last 4 games have gone over.
  • OVER – Each of the Spurs’ last 4 games have gone over.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SA 26 35 15-14 10-20
MIN 36 29 17-14 19-15

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SA 113.2 115.4 -2.2 228.6
MIN 112.4 109.0 +3.4 221.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
SAS UNDER
+10.5 232.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • MIN – Jaden McDaniels has recorded a double-double in each of the Timberwolves’ last 2 games vs. the Spurs.
  • MIN – Mike Conley has recorded 4+ assists in each of his last 8 home games.
  • MIN – Mike Conley has made 2+ three-pointers in each of his last 4 home games.
  • MIN – Rudy Gobert has recorded 10+ rebounds in each of his last 10 home games.
  • MIN – Jaden McDaniels has recorded 8+ rebounds in 8 of the Timberwolves’ last 11 home games.
  • MIN – Anthony Edwards has scored 28+ points in 8 of his last 11 games vs. teams that held a losing record.
  • MIN – Mike Conley has scored 15+ points in 8 of his last 9 home games vs. the Spurs.
  • SAS – Chris Paul has made 2+ three-pointers in each of the Spurs’ last 4 games.
  • SAS – Devin Vassell has scored 21+ points in each of his last 4 road games vs. the Timberwolves.
  • SAS – Stephon Castle has scored 20+ points in 8 of the Spurs’ last 9 games vs. teams that held a winning record.
  • SAS – De’Aaron Fox has scored 25+ points in 12 of his last 13 games vs. the Timberwolves.
  • SAS – De’Aaron Fox has recorded 6+ assists in each of his last 7 games vs. the Timberwolves.
  • SAS – Chris Paul has recorded 9+ assists in each of the Spurs’ last 3 games vs. the Timberwolves.
  • SAS – Keldon Johnson has recorded 6+ rebounds in each of his last 5 games vs. the Timberwolves.

MATCH PREVIEW

Meeting for the fourth time this season, the Spurs and Timberwolves face off at Target Center.

Minnesota leads the series 2-1, including a 112-110 win on December 29, extending their home streak vs. San Antonio to four.

The Timberwolves beat Miami 106-104, their fourth straight win, with seven players scoring between 12-15 points.

San Antonio lost 127-109 to Sacramento despite Stephon Castle’s 25 points, marking their fourth straight loss when he scores 25+.

PICK – UNDER 232.5 TOTAL POINTS 

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DETROIT @ PORTLAND

Moda Center, Portland, OR

TEAM TRENDS

  • POR – The Trail Blazers have won 7 of their last 8 home games.
  • POR – The Trail Blazers have won the first half in each of their last 11 home games vs. the Pistons.
  • POR – The Trail Blazers have covered the line in 8 of their last 9 games vs. the Pistons.
  • UNDER – 6 of the Pistons’ last 7 road games vs. opponents on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone under.
  • DET – The Pistons have lost each of their last 7 road games vs. the Trail Blazers.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DET 35 29 17-14 18-15
POR 28 36 16-14 12-22

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DET 114.6 113.1 +1.5 227.7
POR 110.4 114.3 -3.9 224.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DET OVER
-2.5 231.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • POR – Anfernee Simons has scored 29+ points in each of his last 3 games vs. the Pistons.
  • POR – Anfernee Simons has recorded 6+ assists in 5 of the Trail Blazers’ last 6 home games.
  • POR – Jerami Grant has scored 24+ points in each of his last 5 games vs. the Pistons.
  • POR – Jerami Grant has made 2+ three-pointers in each of his last 8 games vs. the Pistons.
  • POR – Toumani Camara has recorded 7+ rebounds in each of the Trail Blazers’ last 4 home games.
  • POR – Jerami Grant has recorded 4+ rebounds in each of his last 4 games.
  • DET – Cade Cunningham has scored 29+ points in each of the Pistons’ last 4 road games.
  • DET – Cade Cunningham has recorded 9+ assists in 4 of the Pistons’ last 5 road games.
  • DET – Jalen Duren has recorded 12+ rebounds in each of the Pistons’ last 2 games vs. the Trail Blazers.
  • DET – Tim Hardaway Jr. has made 2+ three-pointers in each of his last 8 games vs. the Trail Blazers.
  • DET – Tim Hardaway Jr. has scored 10+ points in each of his last 17 games vs. the Trail Blazers.

MATCH PREVIEW

Closing a four-game road trip, the Pistons visit Portland at Moda Center.

Detroit won their first matchup 118-115 on January 6 behind Cade Cunningham’s 32 points.

Portland lost 107-89 to Oklahoma City, with Anfernee Simons struggling on 5-16 shooting, missing Deni Avdija (questionable).

The Blazers aim to extend a five-game home streak vs. East teams. Detroit fell 115-110 to Golden State, marking their third loss in four games vs. the West.

PICK – DETROIT -2.5

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SACRAMENTO @ LA CLIPPERS

Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • SAC – The Kings have covered the line in each of their last 6 games.
  • LAC – The Clippers have lost each of their last 5 games vs. Pacific Division opponents.
  • LAC – The Clippers have won the first quarter in 6 of their last 7 games as favourites vs. the Kings.
  • UNDER – Each of the last 5 games between the Kings and Clippers have gone under.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 33 29 16-14 17-15
LAC 34 29 21-10 13-19

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAC 117.0 115.0 +2.0 232.0
LAC 110.8 108.6 +2.2 219.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
LAC UNDER
-5.5 221.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • SAC – Zach LaVine has scored 29+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games vs. the Clippers.
  • SAC – Zach LaVine has made 3+ three-pointers in 5 of the Kings’ last 6 games.
  • SAC – Keegan Murray has recorded 7+ rebounds in each of the Kings’ last 3 road games vs. the Clippers.
  • SAC – Jonas Valanciunas has scored 15+ points in 4 of the Kings’ last 5 games.
  • LAC – Kawhi Leonard has scored 20+ points in each of his last 10 games vs. the Kings.
  • LAC – James Harden has recorded 10+ assists in 9 of the Clippers’ last 12 games as home favourites.
  • LAC – Ivica Zubac has recorded 13+ rebounds in each of the Clippers’ last 4 games as home favourites.

MATCH PREVIEW

Both in West play-in spots, Sacramento and the Clippers meet at Intuit Dome.

The Clippers lead the season series 2-0, winning at home and on the road.

LA beat New York 105-95, led by James Harden’s 27-7 with five triples, aiming to snap a five-game division skid.

Sacramento beat San Antonio 127-109, powered by Zach LaVine’s 36-7 triples on 14-22 shooting, DeMar DeRozan’s 22-9 (season-high)-7, and Jonas Valanciunas’ 15-12-6, again without Domantas Sabonis. The Kings have won five of six.

PICK – LA CLIPPERS -5.5

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