NBA PLAYOFF PICKS – NIGHT 38

nba picks and parlays

TONIGHT’S NBA PLAYOFF PICKS

*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

TORONTO @ MILWAUKEE

EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS – GAME 5

SERIES TIED 2-2

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Milwaukee 60 22 33-8 27-14
Toronto 58 24 32-9 26-15

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Milwaukee 118.1 109.3 +8.8
Toronto 114.4 108.4 +6.0

Playoff Series

GAME 4 Toronto Milwaukee 120 : 102
GAME 3 Toronto Milwaukee 118 : 112
(96 : 96)
GAME 2 Milwaukee Toronto 125 : 103
GAME 1 Milwaukee Toronto 108 : 100

Season Series

01.02.19 Toronto Milwaukee 92 : 105
06.01.19 Milwaukee Toronto 116 : 123
10.12.18 Toronto Milwaukee 99 : 104
30.10.18 Milwaukee  Toronto 124 : 109

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Toronto Over Toronto
+6.5 216.0 105-99

H2H TRENDS

  • Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
  • Underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

THE RUB

  • Toronto have rallied to tie 2-2 entering Game 5 at Milwaukee, averaging 119 ppg in back-to-back wins on homecourt, including a solid 120-102 victory in Game 4.
  • Kawhi had 30+ points in each of the first 3 games of the series but had just 19 in Game 4 while appearing hindered by a left leg injury.
  • Lowry scored 25 points in Game 2 – his second-highest output of the series, while Ibaka played his best game of the series with 17 points and 13 rebounds.
  • Bledsoe has been a liability in the series, averaging just 8.3 ppg on 11-of-45 shots.
  • The Raptors come into this as +6.5 Underdogs and that’s good value for a team that looks to have figured out a system with Gasol and Ibaka to minimize the Giannis factor, however the Bucks at home should be a different beast.
  • Matchups in Milwaukee have brought the points, so like the Overs.
  • The Kawhi injury does bother us leaning towards the Raptors line, but balls to the wall on this one. We’ll take the Raptors at the ML.

GAME PICK  – Over 216.0

FEELING LUCKY  – Toronto ML