NBA PICKS & TRENDS – 31/1/21

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LA CLIPPERS @ NEW YORK

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Clippers are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
  • Clippers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in New York.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 15 5 8-2 7-3
NY 9 11 4-4 5-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAC 113.8 106.3 +7.5 220.1
NY 101.6 102.7 -1.1 204.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAC OVER LAC
-7.5 212.5 129-115

The Clippers welcomed Kawhi and Paul Geore back and outscored Orlando by 14 points during the 2nd quarter of a 116-90 road win, giving them 9 wins in 10 games.

The Knicks are leading the league in scoring defense, giving up just 102.7 ppg, and continued the trend limiting Cleveland to 33 points during the first half of an 102-81 home win.

Clippers rank 3rd in the NBA in offensive efficiency and have too many weapons for the much improved Knicks defense to slow down for the full 48 minutes.

MATCHUP FACT – The Clippers have won 14 of their last 15 games against the Knicks.

PICK – LA CLIPPERS -7.5


UTAH @ DENVER

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Jazz are 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Denver.
  • Jazz are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 22-10 in the last 32 meetings.
  • Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Denver.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 15 4 8-2 7-2
DEN 11 8 4-5 7-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
UTA 113.4 105.1 +8.3 218.5
DEN 116.0 111.4 +4.6 227.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN UNDER DEN
-1.5 220.5 128-117

Utah are on an 11-game streak and lead the Clippers by a 1/2 game for top spot in the West. On Friday, Utah went out to a 25-point lead after the 1st quarter and eased to a 120-101 home win over Dallas.

Denver rank 3rd in the NBA in scoring at 116.0 ppg but had their 5-game win streak end in a 119-109 road loss against San Antonio.

Utah’s record against the Nuggets record isn’t great, and with lineups pretty much established over the last 2-3 years, might favor the Nugs here.

Both rank in the top 5 in offensive efficiency, so Overs is tempting, however the last outing was a 109-105 Utah win on 18th Jan. Very much under the total mark.

MATCHUP FACT – 16 of the last 17 games between the Jazz and Nuggets at Ball Arena have gone Under the total points line.

PICK – DENVER -1.5

PLAYER PROP – NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 22.5 PTS (RESULT – 47 PTS)

Gobert has provided opponents a 5% increase in points over the last month.

Jokic has cleared 22.5 ppg in 7 of his last 9.


PHILADELPHIA @ INDIANA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • 76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • 76ers are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Indiana.
  • Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Indiana.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 14 6 10-1 4-5
IND 11 8 6-5 5-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 113.6 109.7 +3.9 223.3
IND 113.3 110.7 +2.6 224.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND UNDER PHI
-1.5 225.5 119-110

The 76ers have won 2-straight and lead Brooklyn by 1.5 games for top spot in the East. Philly outscored Minnesota by 19 points during the 2nd half to pull away for a 118-94 road win on Friday.

Indiana rank 2nd worst in the league in rebounding at just 42.6 rpg and were unable to make plays in the final minutes of a 108-105 road loss against the Hornets.

Embiid (back) is questionable, not touching this game until further notice.

Danger game for the punters.

MATCHUP FACT – The 76ers have won the 1st quarter in 6 of their last 8 games against the Pacers.

PICK – NO BET


ORLANDO @ TORONTO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Magic are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
  • Magic are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ORL 8 12 4-6 4-6
TOR 7 12 5-5 2-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
ORL 104.8 110.9 -6.1 215.7
TOR 111.1 110.7 +0.4 221.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR UNDER TOR
-5.0 220.5 115-102

The Magic have lost 10 of their last 12 and rank 3rd worst in the NBA in scoring at just 104.8 ppg. On Friday, Orlando had a 114-90 home loss to the Los Angeles Clippers.

On Friday, the Raptors were down by 12 points after the 1st quarter and had their come back effort fall short in a 126-124 home loss to the Kings.

Raptors to get it done.

PICK – TORONTO -5.0


BROOKLYN @ WASHINGTON

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Nets are 4-15 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Washington.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Washington.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 13 8 9-4 4-4
WAS 3 12 1-6 2-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BKN 121 116.2 +4.8 237.2
WAS 114.7 120.1 -5.4 234.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN OVER WAS
-9.5 245.5 149-146

Brooklyn are 13-8 after a 147-125 win over OKC on Friday.  Irving and Harden both scored 25 points in the win for the Nets.

Washington hope to end a 4-game slide after a 116-100 loss to Atlanta on Friday.

The Nets are coming off a 22-point win and have won 8 of their last 10 straight up. They are primed.

Washington are awful and will not contain the Big-3 tonight.

That 245.5 total points line, just….wow.

MATCH FACT – 14 of the Nets’ last 15 games have gone Over the total points line, while Overs is 39-19 in Wizards last 58 games vs teams with a winning % above .600.

PICK – BROOKLYN -9.5 & OVER 245.5 TOTAL POINTS


CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
  • Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 9 10 6-4 3-6
MIN 4 14 3-7 1-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CLE 104.2 108.6 -4.4 212.8
MIN 106.6 117.1 -10.5 223.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CLE UNDER MIN
-3.5 219.0 109-104

Cleveland look to bounce back after dropping to 9-10 afrer a 102-81 loss on Friday to New York.

Minnesota looks to halt a 3-game losing streak after a 118-94 loss to Philadelphia on Friday.

Could be an ugly game, but the Cavs should get it done.

MATCHUP FACT – The Timberwolves have won the 1st half in 5 of their last 6 games against the Cavs.

PICK – CLEVELAND -3.5