NBA – Tonight’s Best NBA Picks – Sun, 23rd March

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*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

NEW ORLEANS PELICANS @ DETROIT PISTONS

Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

TEAM TRENDS

  • DET – The Pistons have failed to cover in their last 9 home games vs. losing Western teams.

  • DET – The Pistons have won 18 of their last 21 games vs. losing teams.

  • NO – The Pelicans have won the 1st quarter in 6 of their last 7 road games vs. Detroit.

  • TOTAL – The last 6 Pelicans games as road dogs have gone over.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NO 19 52 12-23 7-29
DET 39 32 18-16 21-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NO 110.3 119.3 -9.0 229.6
DET 115.1 112.9 +2.2 228.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DET OVER DET
-11.5 230.5 136-130
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • DET – Malik Beasley has made 5 threes in each of the Pistons’ last 2 games.

  • DET – Jalen Duren has a double-double in 5 straight home games vs. losing teams.

  • DET – Cade Cunningham has 8+ assists in 15 of his last 18 home games.

  • DET – Jalen Duren has 15+ points in 4 straight home games vs. losing teams.

  • DET – Cade Cunningham has 25+ points in 8 of his last 9 as a home fav vs. the West.

  • DET – Ausar Thompson has 4+ rebounds in 15 of his last 16 home games.

  • DET – Tobias Harris has 6+ rebounds in 8 of his last 9 games.

  • DET – Tobias Harris has made 2 threes in 6 of Detroit’s last 7 home games.

Set to meet for the second time this season, the Pelicans and Pistons face off at Little Caesars Arena.

Detroit owned the first meeting 127-81 on Monday and now looks to snap a three-game home skid vs. the Pelicans.

The Pistons were edged 123-117 by Dallas despite Cade Cunningham’s 35-point, seven-rebound effort—extending an odd streak of four straight losses when he scores 30+.

The Pelicans were crushed 134-93 by Minnesota without Zion Williamson (questionable), and have now dropped five straight vs. Eastern Conference opponents—clearly not vibing with the East lately.

PICK – OVER 230.5 TOTAL POINTS

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CLEVELAND CAVALIERS @ UTAH JAZZ

Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT

TEAM TRENDS

  • TOTAL – The last 5 meetings between the Cavs and Jazz have gone over.

  • CLE – The Cavs have failed to cover in 4 straight games.

  • UTA – The Jazz have lost 11 of their last 12.

  • CLE – The Cavs have won the 1st quarter in 7 straight Jazz games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 56 14 30-5 26-9
UTA 16 55 9-27 7-28

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CLE 122.3 112.2 +10.1 234.5
UTA 112.3 119.8 -7.5 232.1

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
CLE OVER CLE
-15.5 237.5 120-91
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • CLE – Evan Mobley has scored the first basket in the Cavs’ last 2 games.

  • CLE – Donovan Mitchell has made 4+ threes in each of his last 3 games vs. Utah.

  • UTA – Collin Sexton has made 2+ threes in 3 straight games vs. CLE.

  • CLE – Darius Garland has 8+ assists in 4 of his last 5 vs. the Jazz.

  • CLE – Evan Mobley has 16+ points in 8 straight vs. the West.

  • UTA – Collin Sexton has 22+ points in 3 straight games as an underdog.

  • CLE – Darius Garland has 15+ points in 7 straight road games vs. losing teams.

  • UTA – Walker Kessler has 10+ rebounds in 6 straight games as an underdog.

  • UTA – Isaiah Collier has 4+ rebounds in 4 straight as an underdog.

  • CLE – Donovan Mitchell has 4+ rebounds in 5 straight games.

  • CLE – Darius Garland has 4+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games.

  • CLE – Max Strus has 4+ rebounds in 7 straight games.

At opposite ends of the standings, the Cavaliers and Jazz meet at Delta Center.

Cleveland won the first meeting 124-113 on December 23. Utah was blown out 121-99 by Boston despite Collin Sexton’s efficient 30 points (equal-season-high) on 12-16 shooting, still without Lauri Markkanen (out).

The Jazz have now lost 11 of their last 12—rough stretch would be an understatement.

Cleveland was upset 123-112 by Phoenix, with Donovan Mitchell struggling through a brutal 2-18 shooting night. The Cavs have now lost four straight—their longest skid since November 2022.

PICK – OVER 237.5 TOTAL POINTS

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PHILADELPHIA 76ERS @ ATLANTA HAWKS

State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA

TEAM TRENDS

  • TOTAL – The 76ers’ last 8 road games have gone over.

  • ATL – The 76ers have lost 14 straight vs. East teams.

  • ATL – The Hawks have won the 1st half in 7 straight games.

  • PHI – The 76ers have failed to cover in 6 of their last 7 road games vs. ATL teams with a losing record.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 23 47 12-22 11-25
ATL 34 36 18-17 16-19

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 110.0 115.4 -5.4 225.4
ATL 117.4 119.3 -1.9 236.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
ATL OVER ATL
-10.5 237.5 132-119
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • PHI – Jared Butler has made 2+ threes in 3 straight vs. East teams.

  • ATL – Trae Young has a double-double in 6 straight games vs. PHI.

  • ATL – Trae Young has 12+ assists in 5 of his last 6 games as a fav.

  • PHI – Quentin Grimes has 25+ points in 7 straight games.

  • ATL – Trae Young has 25+ points in 12 of his last 13 home games vs. PHI.

  • PHI – Justin Edwards has 18+ points in 3 straight games.

  • ATL – Trae Young has 4+ rebounds in 4 straight home games.

Playing the second leg of a back-to-back, the Hawks host the 76ers at State Farm Arena.

Atlanta won the first meeting 132-123 on March 10, led by Dyson Daniels’ 25-point performance.

More recently, the Hawks took down Golden State 124-115 behind Onyeka Okongwu’s 22-12-6 on 10-16 shooting and Trae Young’s 25-10. Atlanta has now won four straight home games in conference play.

Philadelphia dropped its 14th straight conference game in a 128-120 loss to San Antonio, despite Quentin Grimes’ 25-point, 10-assist (career-high) effort and Justin Edwards’ 25 points. The 76ers are desperate to stop the bleeding.

PICK – OVER 237.5 TOTAL POINTS

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CHARLOTTE HORNETS @ MIAMI HEAT

Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

TEAM TRENDS

  • MIA – The Heat have lost 10 straight games.

  • TOTAL – 10 of the Hornets’ last 11 vs. East teams have gone under.

  • MIA – The Heat have failed to cover in 3 straight as favs.

  • CHA – The Hornets have lost the 1st quarter in 14 of their last 15 road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 18 52 11-25 7-27
MIA 29 41 15-19 14-22

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CHA 105.8 113.9 -8.1 219.7
MIA 109.0 110.7 -1.7 219.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
CHA UNDER MIA
+6.5 214.5 122-105
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • MIA – Andrew Wiggins has scored the first basket in 2 of his last 3 vs. CHA.

  • CHA – Miles Bridges has made 3+ threes in 3 straight vs. Southeast teams.

  • CHA – Mark Williams has a double-double in 6 straight road games.

  • CHA – LaMelo Ball has a double-double in 5 of his last 6 vs. MIA.

  • CHA – Miles Bridges has 4+ assists in 6 straight vs. Southeast teams.

  • CHA – LaMelo Ball has 8+ assists in 4 of his last 5 games.

  • CHA – LaMelo Ball has 25+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games vs. Southeast teams.

  • CHA – Miles Bridges has 26+ points in 4 of his last 5 vs. East teams.

  • CHA – Mark Williams has 10+ rebounds in 6 straight road games.

  • CHA – LaMelo Ball has 8+ rebounds in 3 of his last 4 vs. MIA.

Miami leads the season series 2-1, though Charlotte won the most recent matchup 105-102.

The Heat dropped their 10th straight—worst skid since February 2008—with a 102-98 loss to Houston, despite Andrew Wiggins’ efficient 30 points (10-13 shooting) and Kel’el Ware’s 16-14 effort.

Charlotte was thrashed 141-106 by OKC, even with LaMelo Ball and Mark Williams (both available), marking their 27th loss in 33 road games. Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro are questionable, because Miami’s injury list is the only thing longer than their losing streak.

PICK – UNDER 214.5 TOTAL POINTS

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SAN ANTONIO SPURS @ TORONTO RAPTORS

Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

TEAM TRENDS

  • TOTAL – 10 of the Spurs’ last 12 games have gone over.

  • TOR – The Raptors have won 6 of their last 7 vs. the Spurs.

  • TOR – The Spurs have failed to cover in 8 of their last 9 road games.

  • TOR – The Spurs have lost both halves in 3 straight road games.

  • TOR – The Raptors have won the 1st quarter in 4 of their last 5.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAS 30 39 19-17 11-22
TOR 24 46 16-20 8-26

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAS 114.4 116.5 -2.1 230.9
TOR 110.7 115.8 -5.1 226.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
SAS OVER SAS
+1.5 233.5 123-89
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • SAS – Harrison Barnes has made 2+ threes in 10 straight vs. losing teams.

  • SAS – Chris Paul has 8+ assists in 8 of his last 9 vs. TOR.

  • TOR – RJ Barrett has 20+ points in 12 of his last 13 after missing the previous game.

  • SAS – Devin Vassell has 20+ points in 6 straight vs. losing teams.

  • SAS – Stephon Castle has 20+ points in 5 straight road games.

  • SAS – Chris Paul has 15+ points in 4 of his last 5 vs. TOR.

  • TOR – Scottie Barnes has 8+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 vs. SAS.

  • TOR – RJ Barrett has 8+ rebounds in 3 straight home games.

Returning from a four-game road trip, the Raptors host the Spurs at Scotiabank Arena.

This marks their first meeting of the 2024-25 season, after splitting last year’s series with both teams winning on the road.

Toronto dropped its third straight in a 117-114 loss to Golden State, despite Scottie Barnes’ 29-10-6 and Immanuel Quickley’s 21-8-3 (Quickley is now out, along with Jakob Poeltl).

San Antonio beat Philly 128-120 behind Stephon Castle’s 17-point, 14-assist (career-high), three-steal (equal-career-high) outing and Devin Vassell’s 20-7 (season-high)-3. The Spurs aim to snap a three-game road skid—because airport food shouldn’t be the highlight of any trip.

PICK – OVER 233.5 TOTAL POINTS

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BOSTON CELTICS @ PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS

Moda Center, Portland, OR

TEAM TRENDS

  • TOTAL – 9 of the last 11 games between BOS and POR have gone over.

  • BOS – The Celtics have won 13 straight vs. teams with losing records.

  • BOS – The Celtics have covered in their last 5 road games vs. the Trail Blazers.

  • BOS – The Celtics have won the 1st half in 7 straight vs. Portland.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 51 19 24-12 27-7
POR 32 39 20-16 12-23

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BOS 116.5 107.9 8.6 224.4
POR 110.9 113.9 -3.0 224.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BOS OVER BOS
-7.5 218.0 129-116
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • BOS – Jrue Holiday has 6+ assists in 8 of his last 9 vs. POR.

  • BOS – Jayson Tatum has 26+ points in 9 straight vs. POR.

  • BOS – Kristaps Porzingis has 24+ points in 3 straight and 8+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 vs. POR.

  • BOS – Jrue Holiday has 16+ points in 18 of his last 20 vs. POR.

  • POR – Deni Avdija has 27+ points in 4 straight games as an underdog and 8+ rebounds in each.

  • POR – Toumani Camara has 15+ points in 3 straight.

  • POR – Shaedon Sharpe has 6+ rebounds in 4 straight games as an underdog.

Set to meet for the second time this season, the Celtics and Blazers face off at Moda Center.

Boston won the first matchup 128-118 on March 5, extending their win streak over Portland to five.

The Trail Blazers are coming off a 128-109 win over Denver, powered by Deni Avdija’s season-high 36 points, eight rebounds, seven assists, and three steals on 12-16 shooting, with Anfernee Simons (questionable) sidelined. Portland has now won four straight.

Boston cruised past Utah 121-99 behind Kristaps Porzingis’ 27-10-6 and Jayson Tatum’s 26-6-3, again without Jaylen Brown (out). The Celtics have won 12 straight when Porzingis scores 25+—so maybe just give him the ball and stay out of the way. Tatum and Porzingis are both questionable.

PICK – BOSTON -7.5

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DENVER NUGGETS @ HOUSTON ROCKETS

Toyota Center, Houston, TX

TEAM TRENDS

  • HOU – The Rockets have won 9 straight.

  • TOTAL – 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games without Jokic have gone over.

  • HOU – The Rockets have covered in 8 straight games as favourites vs. DEN.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 44 27 23-11 21-16
HOU 46 25 26-10 20-15

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 120.8 116.9 3.9 237.7
HOU 113.5 109.0 4.5 222.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
HOU UNDER DEN
-7.0 227.5 116-111
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • DEN – Aaron Gordon has scored the first basket in 3 of his last 4 road games.

  • DEN – Jamal Murray has 3+ threes in 7 of his last 8 vs. HOU and 26+ points in 5 of his last 6 as a road underdog.

  • HOU – Fred VanVleet has 3+ threes in 8 straight vs. DEN and 25+ points in 3 of his last 4 home games vs. DEN.

  • HOU – Jalen Green has 25+ points in 4 straight vs. DEN and 6+ rebounds in 7 of the last 8.

  • HOU – Alperen Sengun has 23+ points in 5 straight vs. winning teams and 10+ rebounds in 5 straight.

  • DEN – Russell Westbrook has:

    • Double-double in 7 straight as road dog vs. HOU

    • 6+ assists in 10 straight road games vs. HOU

    • 21+ points in 12 of last 13 road games vs. HOU

    • 8+ rebounds in 16 of last 17 road games vs. HOU

  • HOU – Amen Thompson has 9+ rebounds in 12 straight.

Separated by 2.0 games in the West, the Nuggets and Rockets face off at Toyota Center.

Houston won the first meeting 128-108 on January 15 and will look to extend a three-game home win streak vs. Denver.

The Rockets beat Miami 102-98 behind Fred VanVleet’s red-hot 37-point, nine-triple (season-high), three-steal effort on 13-17 shooting and Amen Thompson’s 18-9-7 steals (career-high). Houston has now won nine straight—they’re officially cooking.

The Nuggets lost 128-109 to Portland without Nikola Jokic (out), dropping three of their last four without him. Turns out, life without the Joker isn’t much fun.

PICK – UNDER 227.5 TOTAL POINTS

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OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER @ LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • LAC – The Clippers have won 8 straight home games.

  • TOTAL – 7 of the Clippers’ last 9 home games have gone over.

  • LAC – The home team has covered in 16 of the Clippers’ last 19 games.

  • OKC – The Thunder have won the 1st half in 10 straight games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 58 12 31-5 27-7
LAC 40 30 25-10 15-20

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
OKC 120.1 107.0 13.1 227.1
LAC 111.9 108.5 3.4 220.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
OKC OVER OKC
-2.5 227.5 103-101
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • LAC – Ivica Zubac:

    • Double-double in 9 straight home games

    • 16+ points in 10 straight

  • OKC – Isaiah Hartenstein:

    • Double-double in 5 of his last 6 road games

    • 10+ rebounds in 12 of his last 13 road games vs. West teams

    • 4+ assists in 9 of last 11 road games vs. West

  • LAC – Kawhi Leonard:

    • 4+ assists in 7 of last 8 home games vs. OKC

    • 20+ points in 9 of last 10 vs. OKC

    • 6+ rebounds in 9 straight home games vs. OKC

  • LAC – James Harden:

    • 8+ assists in 6 straight vs. West opponents

    • 27+ points in 5 of last 6 home games

    • 6+ rebounds in 8 of last 9 vs. OKC

  • OKC – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander:

    • 8+ assists in 6 straight road games vs. West

    • 31+ points in 6 straight road games

  • OKC – Chet Holmgren has 16+ points in 5 of last 6 road games

  • OKC – Luguentz Dort:

    • 16+ points in 5 of last 6 vs. LAC

    • 4+ rebounds in 7 of last 8

Entering the final game of a four-game homestand, the Clippers host the Thunder at Intuit Dome.

OKC has taken all three meetings in the season series so far, with Kawhi Leonard yet to suit up in any of them.

The Clippers just rolled Memphis 128-108 behind James Harden’s 30-point, nine-assist, five-triple outing and Leonard’s 23-point, 10-rebound effort. LA has now won eight straight at home—they’ve turned the Intuit Dome into a no-fly zone.

OKC crushed Charlotte 141-106 behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 30-6-9 on 13-18 shooting. The Thunder are now 20-1 in their last 21 when SGA shoots 60% or better—efficient Shai is basically automatic.

PICK – OKLAHOMA CITY -2.5

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