NBA PICKS & PROPS- 25/1/21

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*These NBA free picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

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PARLAYS

TONIGHT'S PARLAYS
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MATCH PARLAY 1

  • DENVER @ DALLAS – DENVER WIN
  • PHILADELPHIA @ DETROIT – PHILADELPHIA WIN
  • MIAMI @  BROOKLYN – BROOKLYN WIN

MATCH PARLAY 2

ODDS – 3.10

  • PHILADELPHA @ DETROIT – OVER 215.0 TOTAL PTS
  • LA LAKERS @ CLEVELAND – OVER 213.5 TOTAL PTS

ODDS – 3.65

PLAYER PROP PARLAY

  • CHARLOTTE @ ORLANDO – GORDON HAYWARD OVER 22.5 PTS
  • DENVER @ DALLAS – KRISTAPS PORZINGIS 20+ PTS
  • TORONTO @ INDIANA – MYLES TURNER OVER 14.5 PTS

ODDS – 6.35

*RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES (PARLAYS ARE VERY TOUGH TO GET OVER THE LINE AT THE MOMENT)

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TONIGHT’S BETONLINE PLAYER BET

  • GORDON HAYWARD – AT LEAST 21 PTS (24 PTS)
  • ANDRE DRUMMOND – AT LEAST 12 RBS (17 RBS)
  • MYLES TURNER – AT LEAST 13 PTS (21 PTS)

ODDS – +211

LAST NIGHT – +189 WINNER

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PHILADELPHIA @ DETROIT

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Jerami Grant has 24+ points in 7 of the Pistons’ last 10 games. (21.5)
  • Mason Plumlee has 8+ rebounds in 9 of his last 11 games at Little Caesars Arena. (7.5)
  • Blake Griffin has 5+ assists in 7 of his last 8 games against the 76ers. (3.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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TREND BET

TREND BET
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PHILADELPHIA

  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 10-4 in last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

DETROIT

  • Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • ver is 15-6 in last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

ODDS – 

  • Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • 76ers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.
  • 76ers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 12 5 9-1 3-4
DET 3 13 2-7 1-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 114.3 110.2 +4.1 224.5
DET 108.9 113.6 -4.7 222.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI OVER DET
-6.5 215.0 119-104

The 76ers pulled off a 114-110 win at Detroit on Saturday and they meet again tonight.

The Pistons have gone over the 215.5 total points line in 8 of their 17 games, the 76ers in 13 of their 17 games.

The 76ers have won their last seven games against the Pistons.

Embiid (back) is questionable.

PICK – OVER 215.0 TOTAL POINTS

TORONTO @ INDIANA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Aron Baynes has the first basket in 4 of his last 7 games against the Pacers.
  • Justin Holiday has 12+ points in the Pacers’ last 4 games against the Raptors. (10.5)
  • Malcolm Brogdon has 22+ points in 5 of the Pacers’ last 6 games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. (20.5)
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() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Indiana.
  • Raptors are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Raptors are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Indiana.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 7 9 5-3 2-6
IND 9 7 5-5 4-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
TOR 110.3 108.3 +2.0 218.6
IND 112.6 111.0 +1.6 223.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR OVER IND
+3.0 216.5 129-114

Four of the Raptors’ last five games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back have gone Unders and that trend extends into recent matchups between these two teams.

The Raptors have won 5 of their last 6 and beat the Pacers in the first game of a back to back last night, winning 107-102.

The Pacers have reached the 216.5 total mark in 9 of their 16 games, the Raptors in 8 of their 16 games, but none of their last 4.

PICK – TORONTO +3.0

CHARLOTTE @ ORLANDO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Terry Rozier has 19+ points in the Hornets’ last 7 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. (17.5)
  • Gordon Hayward has 25+ points in 4 of his last 5 games. (22.5)
  • Gordon Hayward has 7+ rebounds in his last 4 games against the Magic. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hornets are 1-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Orlando.
  • Hornets are 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Orlando.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 7 9 3-4 4-5
ORL 7 10 3-4 4-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CHA 107.8 108.8 -1.0 216.6
ORL 104.8 110.2 -5.4 215.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHA OVER ORL
+1.5 213.0 117-108

The Hornets got the W over the Magic last night in a hard fought 107-104 slog. Charlotte looked to have the game locked up, but the Magic rallied late to level scores, before a Hayward layup with just seconds left gave the Hornets a win.

Hayward was the star with 39 points and 9 rebounds. He also has 25+ points in 4 of his last 5 games, with the bookie line set at 22.5, there is some value there if you like the big white man to back it up tonight.

PICK – CHARLOTTE +1.5

PLAYER PROP – GORDON HAYWARD OVER 22.5 PTS (RESULT – 24 PTS)

MIAMI @ BROOKLYN

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Joe Harris has the first basket in 3 of the Nets’ last 4 games as home favorites.
  • Kevin Durant has 30+ points in his last 5 games at Barclays Center. (27.5)
  • Kyrie Irving has 28+ points in his last 5 games. (24.5)
  • James Harden has 11+ assists in the Nets’ last 5 games. (9.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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TREND BET

TREND BET
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MIAMI

  • Over is 6-2 in Heat last 8 overall.
  • Over is 7-3 in Heat last 10 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in Heat last 7 games as a road underdog.

BROOKLYN

  • Over is 11-0 in Nets last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 8-0 in Nets last 8 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 8-0 in Nets last 8 home games.
  • Over is 13-3 in Nets last 16 overall.

ODDS – 

  • Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Heat are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Brooklyn.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 6 9 4-3 2-6
BKN 10 8 8-4 2-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIA 109.3 113.1 -3.8 222.4
BKN 120.3 116.8 +3.5 237.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN UNDER BKN
-7.0 236.5 98-85

Miami fell to 6-9 after a 128-124 loss to Brooklyn on Saturday night. Miami were down 66-56 at the main break and were down by 14 points after the 3rd and could not rally in the fourth quarter to win.

Miami have had persistent injuries and problems with covid-19 and will be without Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Meyers Leonard and Chris Silva tonight.

Miami have reached the 235.5 total in just 4 of their 15 games, the Nets in 8 of their 18 games.

PICK – BROOKLYN -7.0

SACRAMENTO @ MEMPHIS

–> POSTPONED

LA LAKERS @ CLEVELAND

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Andre Drummond has 22+ points in his last 4 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. (15.5)
  • Dennis Schroder has 22+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Cavaliers. (14.5)
  • LeBron James has 31+ points in his last 3 games against the Cavaliers. (25.5)
  • Anthony Davis has 10+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 games against the Cavaliers. (8.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Lakers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
  • Over is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 13 4 4-4 9-0
CLE 8 8 5-3 3-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAL 114.3 104.3 +10.0 218.6
CLE 104.3 108.8 -4.5 213.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAL OVER LAL
-10.5 213.5 115-108

Last night the Cavs were embarrassed by the Celtics, going down in impressive fashion in a 143-101 drubbing. A dissapointing outing after 2-straight wins over the Nets.

The good news out of that is that there will be plenty of fresh legs for the Cavs, with their starters each tallying around 18 minutes last night after being told to hit the hay early.

The Cavs have reached the 214.5 total points mark in 5 of their 16 games (but 3 of their last 3), the Lakers have reached that total in 11 of their 17 games.

The Lakers have won their last 11 road games.

PICK – OVER 213.5 TOTAL POINTS

DENVER @ DALLAS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Nikola Jokic has 27+ points in the Nuggets’ last 4 games. (23.5)
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. has 18+ points in 8 of his last 10 games at American Airlines Center. (15.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Dallas.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 9 7 4-5 5-2
DAL 8 8 2-3 6-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 116.8 112.6 +4.2 229.4
DAL 109.4 109.4 +0.0 218.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN OVER DEN
-1.5 222.5 117-113

The Nuggets have won 3-straight and rank 4th in the NBA in scoring at 116.8 ppg. On Saturday, they held on against the host Suns in double OT by a 120-112 final score.

On Saturday, the Mavs trailed by 11 points after the 1st quarter and never recovered in a 133-108 home loss to Houston.

The Nuggets rank fourth in the league in offensive efficiency and the Mavericks are tied for 16th.

PICK – DENVER -1.5

BOSTON @ CHICAGO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Lauri Markkanen has the first basket in 3 of his last 6 games against Eastern teams.
  • Zach LaVine has 30+ points in the Bulls’ last 3 games against the Celtics. (25.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Celtics are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.
  • Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago.
  • Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 9 6 5-2 4-4
CHI 7 9 2-4 5-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BOS 112.6 110.4 +2.2 223.0
CHI 116.1 118.2 -2.1 234.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BOS UNDER BOS
-3.5 228.5 119-103

The Celtics are on a back-to-back, but their starting crew would be largly rested after hitting the sidelines early in a 143-101 smashing of the Cavaliers.

The Bulls dropped to 7-9 following a 101-90 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday night. The loss snapped a three game winning streak for the Bulls.

The Celtics have reached the 228.5 total mark in 7 of their 15 games (3 of their last 3), the Bulls have reached the total in 9 of their 16.

Kemba Walker will be rested tonight.

WTF FACT – The Bulls have lost 18 of their last 19 games against Atlantic Division opponents.

PICK – BOSTON -3.5

SAN ANTONIO @ NEW ORLEANS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Lonzo Ball has 13+ points in 7 of the Pelicans’ last 8 games at Smoothie King Center. (11.5)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge has 25+ points in 3 of his last 4 games  against the Pelicans. (15.5)
  • Lonzo Ball has 5+ rebounds in 8 of the Pelicans’ last 9 games against Southwest teams. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Spurs are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAS 9 8 3-5 6-3
NOR 5 10 2-3 3-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAS 111.4 110.6 +0.8 222.0
NOR 108.2 111.5 -3.3 219.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR OVER
-2.5 220.5 POSTPONED

The Pelicans have won the first half in five of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back, so we expect them to come out hard tonight against a Spurs outfit that has a few extra miles on the legs, and years on the birth certificates.

Whether they can hold on to win the game is another question…

The Spurs have reached the 220.5 total point mark in 10 of their 17 games, the Pelicans in 6 of their 15 games (3 of their last 4).

PICK –  OVER 220.5 TOTAL POINTS

PROP – 1ST HALF HEAD TO HEAD – NEW ORLEANS

MINNESOTA @ GOLDEN STATE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Stephen Curry has 36+ points in his last 3 games against the Timberwolves. (28.5)
  • Draymond Green has 6+ rebounds in 8 of his last 9 games against the Timberwolves. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Timberwolves are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.
  • Under is 27-10 in the last 37 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 4 11 3-6 1-5
GSW 8 8 5-4 3-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIN 107.1 115.8 -8.7 222.9
GSW 111.5 115.1 -3.6 226.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIN UNDER GSW
+8.5 225.5 130-108

The lowly T-Wolves rank 25th in scoring defense, giving up a huge 115.8 ppg. On Saturday, they outscored New Orleans by 10 points during the 3rd quarter of a 120-110 home win.

The Warriors have lost 2-straight and also rank near the bottom of the NBA in scoring defense at 115.1 ppg. On Saturday, Steph Curry went past Reggie Miller for 2nd all-time on the 3-pointers made list during a 127-108 road loss against Utah.

GSW have reached the 225.5 total point mark in 6 of their 16 games, Minnesota in 7 of their 15 games. So while their defense is leaky, their offense has sucked just enough to make us doubt the Overs.

The Warriors have won each of their last 7 home games against the Timberwolves.

PICK – NO BET

IF YOU MUST – UNDER 225.5 TOTAL POINTS

OKLAHOMA CITY @ PORTLAND

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Robert Covington has 14+ points in his last 4 games against the Thunder. (8.5)
  • Luguentz Dort has 19+ points in 3 of the Thunder’s last 4 games. (12.5)
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 7+ assists in the Thunder’s last 6 road games. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • NIL

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 6 9 1-5 5-4
POR 9 6 5-4 4-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
OKC 105.3 112.8 -7.5 218.1
POR 114.9 115.7 -0.8 230.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR OVER OKC
-5.0 224.5 125-122

Last night the Blazers took care of the Knicks in a close fought 116-113 win, Lillard the hot hand with 39 points.

The Thunder lost last night to the Clippers 108-100.

OKC have reached the 222.0 total points mark in 6 of their 15 games, the Blazers in 10 of their 15.

PICK – PORTLAND -5.0

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