NBA PICKS & PARLAYS – 27/1/21

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  • CHRIS PAUL – AT LEAT 15 PTS
  • ANDRE DRUMMOND – AT LEAST 16 PTS
  • NIKOLA JOKIC – AT LEAST 21 PTS

ODDS – +166

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INDIANA @ CHARLOTTE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Pacers are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Charlotte.
  • Pacers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 10 7 6-5 4-2
CHA 7 10 3-4 4-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
IND 113.6 111.2 +2.4 224.8
CHA 107.8 109.3 -1.5 217.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND OVER IND
+1.5 218.5 116-106

Indiana outscored Toronto by 14 points in the 4th quarter of a 129-114 home win on Monday.

On Monday, Charlotte went out to an 11-point lead after the first before fading in the 2nd half of a 117-108 road loss to the Magic.

The Pacers.

MATCHUP FACT – The Hornets have won the first half in 7 of their last 9 home games against the Pacers.

PICK – INDIANA +1.5


DETROIT @ CLEVELAND

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Pistons are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Pistons are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
  • Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DET 4 13 3-7 1-6
CLE 8 9 5-4 3-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
DET 109.5 113.0 -3.5 222.5
CLE 104.5 109.1 -4.6 213.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CLE OVER CLE
-2.0 215.5 122-107

The Pistons own the worst record in the NBA and are leaking through 113 points ppg to opponents. On Monday, Detroit ended a 4-game losing streak with a 119-104 home win over the 76ers.

The Cavaliers have lost 2-straight and rank 2nd worst in NBA offensively, scoring just  104.5 ppg. On Monday, Cleveland had no answer for LeBron’s 46 points in a 115-108 home loss to the Lakers.

Both rank in the bottom third of the NBA in offensive efficiency, so Unders is tempting.

The Cavs have reached the 215.5 total mark in 6 of their 17 games (4 of their last 4), the Pistons in 9 of their 17 games.

PICK – CLEVELAND -2.0 & OVER 215.5 TOTAL POINTS


SACRAMENTO @ ORLANDO

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Kings are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Orlando.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 6 10 5-6 1-4
ORL 8 10 4-4 4-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
SAC 112.4 121.2 -8.8 233.6
ORL 105.5 110.1 -4.6 215.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
ORL UNDER SAC
-1.0 223.5 121-107

The Kings rank 2nd worst in the league in scoring defense, giving up 121.2 ppg. Last time out, Sac outscored New York by 14 points during the 2nd half of a 103-94 home win.

The Magic have won 4-straight to start the season, but have found it hard to get points, scoring just 105.5 ppg. On Monday, they pulled back an 11-point deficit after the first quarter and pulled away in the 2nd half for a 117-108 home win over Charlotte.

The Kings rank last in the NBA defensively and the Magic are better on the boards.

Orlando a little steadier.

PICK – ORLANDO -1.0


BROOKLYN @ ATLANTA

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nets are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
  • Nets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Under is 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 11 8 9-4 2-4
ATL 9 8 5-3 4-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
BKN 119.1 115.1 +4.0 234.2
ATL 112.2 109.5 +2.7 221.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN UNDER BKN
-6.0 238.5 132-128 – 1OT

The Nets have won 2-straight after outscoring the Heat by 14 points during the 4th quarter of a 98-85 home win.

Last night, Atlanta outscored the Clippers (no Kawhi, George or Beverley) by 11 points during the 3rd quarter of a 108-99 home win as -2.5 favorites.

The Nets rank 3rd in the league in offensively and are getting the Hawks on a back-to-back, so Overs tempting, however…..

The Nets have reached the 235.5 total mark in 8 of their 19 games, the Hawks in just 3 of their 17 games.

PICK – BROOKLYN -6.0 & UNDER 238.5 TOTAL POINTS


DENVER @ MIAMI

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 19-9 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Miami.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 10 7 4-5 6-2
MIA 6 10 4-3 2-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
DEN 116.8 112.6 +4.2 229.4
MIA 107.8 112.2 -4.4 220.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN OVER DEN
-4.5 215.5 109-82

The Nuggets have won their last 4 and improved to 10-7 following their 117-113 win on Monday over Dallas.

Miami fell to 6-10 after a 98-85 loss to the Nets on Monday.

Denver are scoring an average of 116.8 ppg and letting through an average of 112.6ppg.

16 of the Nuggets’ last 20 games have gone Over total points.

The Nuggets have reached the 220.5 total points mark in 9 of their 17 games, the Heat in 6 of their 16 games.

PICK – DENVER -4.5


LA LAKERS @ PHILADELPHIA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Lakers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Lakers are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 14 4 4-4 10-0
PHI 12 6 9-1 3-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
LAL 114.3 104.5 +9.8 218.8
PHI 113.7 110.7 +3.0 224.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAL OVER PHI
-2.5 221.5 107-106

The Lakers are 14-4 after a 115-108 win over Cleveland on Monday. LeBron turned back the clock with 46 points including 23 during the final quarter.

The 76ers fell to 12-6 after a 119-104 loss to the Pistons on Monday.

Lakers have reached the 221.5 total in 10 of their 18 games, the 76ers in 9 of their 18 games (4 of their last 4).

MATCH FACT – The Lakers have won the first half in their last 6 road games.

PICK – LA LAKERS -2.5


MILWAUKEE @ TORONTO

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Bucks are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 10 6 7-2 3-4
TOR 7 10 5-3 2-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
MIL 120.1 111 +9.1 231.1
TOR 110.5 109.5 +1.0 220.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR OVER MIL
+6.5 223.5 115-108

Milwaukee are 10-6 after a 129-115 win over the Hawks on Sunday. Giannis lead scorers for the Bucks with 27 points.

Toronto fell to 7-10 after a 129-114 loss to the Pacers on Monday.

Milwaukee has kept the scorers table busy this season, scoring an average of 120.1 ppg and is letting through an average of  111.0 ppg to opponents.

The Bucks have reached the 223.5 total points mark in 10 of their 16 games, Toronto in 8 of their 17 games.

PICK – OVER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS


CHICAGO @ MEMPHIS

–> POSTPONED


BOSTON @ SAN ANTONIO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Celtics are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 10 6 5-2 5-4
SAS 9 8 3-5 6-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
BOS 113.0 109.9 +3.1 222.9
SAS 111.4 110.6 +0.8 222.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BOS UNDER SAS
-3.5 225.0 110-106

Boston are 10-6 after a 119-103 win over Chicago on Monday. Jaylen Brown lead scorers for Boston with 26 points, while Tatum showed little rust after a couple of weeks off with COVID protocol, scoring 24 points in his return.

The Spurs are 9-8 after a 121-101 win over the Wizards on Sunday.

Could be some COVID concerns in this matchup.

MATCH FACT – The Celtics have won the first half in 9 of their last 10 games.

PICK – BOSTON -3.5


WASHINGTON @ NEW ORLEANS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Wizards are 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
  • Wizards are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
  • Under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in New Orleans.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
WAS 3 10 1-5 2-5
NOR 5 10 2-3 3-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
WAS 116.5 120.2 -3.7 236.7
NOR 108.2 111.5 -3.3 219.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR UNDER NOR
-7.5 228.5 124-106

The Pelicans have won the first half in five of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back, so we expect them to come out hard tonight against a Wizards outfit that went down to the Rockets last night 107-88.

In saying that – the Wizards are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 0 days rest.

New Orleans looks to end a 3-game losing streak after dropping to 5-10 after a 120-110 lost to the Timberwolves.

Pelicans are finding it hard to get out of each others way on the court, but tipping they’ll have enough tonight agains the absolutely ice-cold Wizards who are 1-5 over their last 6.

MATCH FACT – The favorite has won the last 9 games between the Wizards and Pelicans.

PROP – 1ST HALF HEAD TO HEAD – NEW ORLEANS


OKLAHOMA CITY @ PHOENIX

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Thunder are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Thunder are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 7 9 1-5 6-4
PHX 8 7 3-3 5-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
OKC 106.5 113.4 -6.9 219.9
PHX 111.1 109.0 +2.1 220.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC UNDER OKC
+7.0 221.5 102-97

OKC improved to 7-9 following its 125-122 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday.

Phoenix dropped to 8-7 following its 120-112 double overtime loss to the Nuggets on Saturday.

It will be the slow pace of CP3 and the Suns against the spritely Thunder youth.

OKC have reached the 220.5 total mark in 7 of their 16 games, the Suns in 4 of their 15 games.

MATCH FACT – The Suns have not covered the line in 5 of their last 6 games without Devin Booker.

PICK – OKLAHOMA CITY +7.0 & UNDER 221.5 TOTAL POINTS


DALLAS @ UTAH

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Utah.
  • Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 8 9 2-4 6-5
UTA 13 4 6-2 7-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
DAL 109.6 109.9 -0.3 219.5
UTA 112.9 105.4 +7.5 218.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA UNDER UTA
-3.5 226.5 116-104

Last night the Jazz got over the Knicks 108-94, giving them their 9th-straight win. They hold the hot hand, and have been lucky enough to have had a healthy, injury-free squad over this period.

Dallas went down to Denver 117-113 on Monday night.

Dallas have reached the 225.5 total points line in 6 of their 17 games (4 of their last 4), the Jazz in 6 of their 17 games.

PICK – UNDER 226.5 TOTAL POINTS


MINNESOTA @ GOLDEN STATE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Timberwolves are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.
  • Under is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 4 12 3-6 1-6
GSW 9 8 6-4 3-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF AV.TOT.
MIN 107.1 116.7 -9.6 223.8
GSW 112.6 114.7 -2.1 227.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
GSW UNDER GSW
-8.0 227.5 123-111

The Warriors got the win over the T-Wolves in their last outing on Monday night. The Warriors were impressive in the 130-108 win.

They meet again tonight and the Warriors should back it up again.

The Warriors have reached the 227.5 total points mark in 7 of their 17 games, the T-Wolves in 6 of their 16 games.

MATCH FACT – The home team has won 12 of the last 13 games between the T-Wolves and Warriors.

PICK – GOLDEN STATE -8.0