NBA – Tonight’s Best Bets – Thurs, 20th March

free nba picks thursday

*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

NEW YORK KNICKS @ CHARLOTTE HORNETS

Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC

TEAM TRENDS

  • NYK – The Knicks have failed to cover in 7 of their last 8 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • CHA – The Hornets have lost their last 11 games vs. Eastern teams with a winning record.
  • NYK – 5 of the Knicks’ last 6 road games have gone under.
  • CHA – The Hornets have lost the 1st half in their last 5 home games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NYK 43 25 22-11 21-14
CHA 17 51 10-25 7-26

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NYK 116.6 112.3 +4.3 228.9
CHA 105.7 113.7 -8.0 219.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NYK UNDER CHA
-7.0 221.5 115-98
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • NYK – Karl-Anthony Towns has scored the first basket in the Knicks’ last 3 road games.
  • CHA – LaMelo Ball has made 4+ threes in his last 10 games vs. teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • CHA – LaMelo Ball has recorded 6+ assists in his last 13 games vs. teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • NYK – Karl-Anthony Towns has recorded 5+ assists in his last 4 road games vs. the Hornets.
  • NYK – Miles McBride has recorded 4+ assists in the Knicks’ last 5 road games.
  • CHA – LaMelo Ball has scored 23+ points in his last 10 games vs. teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • CHA – Miles Bridges has scored 26+ points in his last 4 games vs. Eastern teams.
  • CHA – Mark Williams has recorded 8+ rebounds in his last 8 games vs. teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • CHA – Miles Bridges has recorded 6+ rebounds in his last 13 home games.
  • NYK – OG Anunoby has recorded 4+ rebounds in his last 15 games with the Knicks as road favs.
  • NYK – Josh Hart has recorded 10+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games vs. Eastern teams.

Playing the second leg of a back-to-back, the Knicks visit the Hornets at Spectrum Center.

New York has won both matchups this season, extending their streak vs. Charlotte to six. The Hornets were blown out 134-102 by Atlanta, with Nick Smith Jr. struggling at 4-13 shooting while missing Miles Bridges and LaMelo Ball (both probable). Charlotte has lost 10 of 11 without Bridges.

The Knicks fell 120-105 to San Antonio despite Karl-Anthony Towns’ 32-9. New York looks to extend a three-game conference win streak.

PICK – UNDER 221.5 TOTAL POINTS

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BROOKLYN NETS @ INDIANA PACERS

Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

TEAM TRENDS

  • IND – The Pacers have failed to cover in their last 13 games as favs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • IND – The Pacers have won their last 8 games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse vs. losing teams.
  • BKN – The Nets’ last 9 road games vs. Eastern teams have gone under.
  • BKN – The Nets have won the 1st half in their last 3 games as road dogs.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 23 46 11-22 12-24
IND 39 29 21-10 18-19

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BKN 105.5 111.6 -6.1 217.1
IND 116.9 115.8 1.1 232.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BKN UNDER IND
+8.5 222.5 105-99 (OT)
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • BKN – D’Angelo Russell has recorded 7+ assists in 4 of his last 5 games.
  • IND – Tyrese Haliburton has recorded 10+ assists in his last 9 games.
  • IND – Pascal Siakam has recorded 4+ assists in the Pacers’ last 4 games as favs.
  • BKN – D’Angelo Russell has scored 15+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games vs. the Pacers.
  • IND – Pascal Siakam has scored 25+ points in his last 4 games.
  • IND – Aaron Nesmith has scored 16+ points in his last 3 games.
  • IND – Myles Turner has recorded 6+ rebounds in the Pacers’ last 6 games as home favs vs. Eastern teams.
  • IND – Aaron Nesmith has recorded 4+ rebounds in the Pacers’ last 8 home games.
  • IND – Pascal Siakam has recorded 6+ rebounds in his last 10 games vs. the Nets.
  • BKN – Nicolas Claxton has recorded 10+ rebounds in his last 3 road games vs. the Pacers.

Playing the second leg of a back-to-back, the Pacers host the Nets at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

They’ve split their two matchups this season, both at Barclays Center. Indiana edged Dallas 135-131, led by Pascal Siakam’s 29 points on 11-16 shooting, still missing Tyrese Haliburton. That was just their second win in eight games without him—turns out, he’s kind of important.

Brooklyn lost 104-96 to Boston, extending their road skid to seven—their longest since February 2022. Cameron Johnson is out, making Brooklyn’s uphill battle just a little steeper.

PICK – BROOKLYN +8.5

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TORONTO RAPTORS @ GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • GSW – The Warriors’ last 4 games as home favs vs. the Raptors have gone over.
  • TOR – The Raptors have lost their last 13 road games vs. Western teams with a winning record.
  • TOR – The Raptors have won the 1st quarter in their last 4 games.
  • GSW – The Warriors have failed to cover in 5 of their last 6 games after a win.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 24 45 16-20 8-25
GS 40 29 22-14 18-15

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
TOR 110.6 115.8 -5.2 226.4
GS 113.3 110.7 2.6 224.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
GSW OVER GSW
-14.5 224.5 117-114
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • GSW – Moses Moody has made 2+ threes in the Warriors’ last 8 home games vs. losing teams.
  • TOR – Immanuel Quickley has recorded 4+ assists in his last 10 games.
  • GSW – Stephen Curry has recorded 6+ assists in his last 11 games vs. the Raptors.
  • GSW – Jimmy Butler has recorded 6+ assists in the Warriors’ last 5 games.
  • TOR – Jakob Poeltl has scored 16+ points in his last 3 road games.
  • GSW – Stephen Curry has scored 28+ points in his last 4 games vs. Eastern teams.
  • TOR – Scottie Barnes has scored 15+ points in his last 12 road games vs. Western teams.
  • TOR – Immanuel Quickley has scored 15+ points in his last 8 games.
  • TOR – Jakob Poeltl has recorded 10+ rebounds in his last 6 games vs. the Warriors.
  • GSW – Jimmy Butler has recorded 6+ rebounds in the Warriors’ last 4 home games vs. Eastern teams.
  • TOR – Immanuel Quickley has recorded 4+ rebounds in his last 5 games.
  • GSW – Draymond Green has recorded 7+ rebounds in his last 11 games vs. the Raptors.

Closing a seven-game homestand, the Warriors host Toronto at Chase Center.

Toronto won their first meeting 104-101 on January 13. Golden State beat Milwaukee 104-93, led by Jimmy Butler’s 24-8-10 (equal-season-high) with Stephen Curry (available) out. The Warriors have dominated the East, winning 12 of their last 13 against conference opponents.

Toronto was dismantled 129-89 by Phoenix, again missing RJ Barrett (out), marking their 20th loss in 22 road games vs. the West—maybe they should just stay home.

PICK – OVER 224.5 TOTAL POINTS

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CHICAGO BULLS @ SACRAMENTO KINGS

Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • SAC – 8 of the Kings’ last 9 home games have gone over.
  • CHI – The Bulls have lost 8 of their last 9 games vs. winning teams.
  • SAC – The Kings have won the 1st quarter in their last 6 home games vs. the Bulls.
  • SAC – The Kings have covered in their last 5 games as favs.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHI 29 40 13-22 16-18
SAC 35 33 18-15 17-18

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CHI 116.6 119.9 -3.3 236.5
SAC 116.6 115.7 0.9 232.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
SAC OVER CHI
-6.5 234.5 128-116
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • CHI – Nikola Vucevic has made 2+ threes in his last 5 road games vs. the Kings.
  • SAC – Jonas Valanciunas has recorded a double-double in the Kings’ last 3 home games without Domantas Sabonis.
  • CHI – Tre Jones has recorded 6+ assists in the Bulls’ last 5 games.
  • CHI – Coby White has recorded 4+ assists in the Bulls’ last 5 games.
  • SAC – Keegan Murray has scored 16+ points in the Kings’ last 4 games as favs.
  • CHI – Tre Jones has scored 15+ points in the Bulls’ last 4 games vs. teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • CHI – Coby White has scored 21+ points in the Bulls’ last 10 games.
  • SAC – Malik Monk has scored 21+ points in the Kings’ last 3 home games.
  • SAC – Malik Monk has recorded 4+ rebounds in his last 7 games vs. losing teams.
  • CHI – Coby White has recorded 4+ rebounds in his last 4 games vs. the Kings.
  • SAC – DeMar DeRozan has recorded 6+ rebounds in the Kings’ last 4 games as home favs.
  • SAC – Keegan Murray has recorded 6+ rebounds in the Kings’ last 3 games vs. losing teams.

Both in play-in spots, the Bulls and Kings meet at Golden 1 Center.

Sacramento won their first matchup 124-119 on January 12 behind Domantas Sabonis’ 22-15-8. The Kings upset Cleveland 123-119 yesterday, led by Malik Monk’s 22-6-8 and DeMar DeRozan’s 27, missing Zach LaVine and Sabonis (out). They’ve won 12 of their last 15 home games—apparently, home cooking works.

Chicago lost 127-121 to Phoenix despite Josh Giddey’s 22-7 and Coby White’s 24-6. The Bulls have dropped six of their last seven vs. the West, proving the conference hasn’t been kind.

PICK – OVER 234.5 TOTAL POINTS

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MILWAUKEE BUCKS @ LOS ANGELES LAKERS

Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • LAL – The Lakers have won their last 10 home games vs. winning teams.
  • MIL vs. LAL – 5 of the last 6 meetings have gone over.
  • LAL – The Lakers have won the 1st half in 15 of their last 16 home games.
  • LAL – The Lakers have covered in their last 8 home games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 38 30 24-12 14-18
LAL 43 25 28-7 15-18

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIL 114.5 112.5 2.0 227.0
LAL 113.1 111.4 1.7 224.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIL OVER MIL
-7.5 221.5 118-89
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • MIL – Giannis Antetokounmpo has recorded 7+ assists in the Bucks’ last 5 games.
  • MIL – Giannis Antetokounmpo has scored 34+ points in the Bucks’ last 5 games at Crypto.com Arena.
  • MIL – Giannis Antetokounmpo has recorded 12+ rebounds in the Bucks’ last 3 games vs. the Lakers.
  • LAL – The Lakers have won the 1st half in 15 of their last 16 home games.
  • LAL – Taurean Prince has made 2+ threes in his last 6 road games.
  • MIL – Damian Lillard has scored 22+ points in his last 6 games vs. the Lakers.
  • MIL – Damian Lillard has recorded 4+ rebounds in his last 7 games vs. the Lakers.
  • MIL – Kyle Kuzma has recorded 7+ rebounds in his last 4 road games vs. the Lakers.

Playing the second leg of a back-to-back, the Lakers host the Bucks at Crypto.com Arena.

Milwaukee won their first matchup 126-106 last Thursday, led by Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 24-12-9. The Lakers beat Denver 120-108 behind Luka Doncic’s 31-8-7 and Austin Reaves’ 22-8, extending their home win streak to nine—their longest since March 2012, back when flip phones were still a thing.

Milwaukee fell 104-93 to Golden State, dropping five of their last seven. The Bucks could use a spark, but right now, they’re looking more like an unplugged toaster.

PICK – MILWAUKEE -7.5

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