NBA – Tonight’s Best Bets – Sat, 16th Nov

free nba picks saturday

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*These free NBA tips and NBA player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.


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MILWAUKEE BUCKS @ CHARLOTTE HORNETS

Tip-off: 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center

  • Bucks have lost 11 of their last 12 road games.
  • Each of Hornets’ last 7 games have gone under.
  • Bucks have failed to cover in each of their last 6 games after a win.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 4 8 3-3 1-5
CHA 4 7 3-3 1-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIL 111.0 113.5 -2.5 224.5
CHA 107.6 112.6 -5.0 220.2

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
CHA UNDER
+3.5 219.5

ROI BETTING TRENDS

HOTTEST ROI TRENDS - HERE
  • Charlotte Hornets: 3Q Moneyline in 20 of last 41 games at home (32% ROI)
  • Charlotte Hornets: Moneyline in 15 of last 42 games (31% ROI)
  • Charlotte Hornets: 4Q Moneyline in 26 of last 50 games (24% ROI)

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS - HERE
  • LaMelo Ball has 31+ points in Hornets’ last 3 games.
  • LaMelo Ball has made 5+ threes in each of Hornets’ last 4 games.

PREVIEW

Both with four wins, the Bucks and Hornets will clash at Spectrum Center.

Last time out, Charlotte suffered a 114-89 loss to Orlando despite LaMelo Ball’s 35-point, seven-assist performance, while Miles Bridges remains questionable.

The Bucks pulled off a comeback win over Detroit, 127-120 in overtime, led by Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 59-point, 14-rebound outing and Brook Lopez’s 29-point, five-block effort.

Milwaukee seeks to improve a disappointing 1-11 record from their last 12 road games, still without Damian Lillard (out).

This marks their first meeting this season, with Milwaukee having swept last season’s four-game series, including two road victories.

PICK – CHARLOTTE +3.5

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TORONTO RAPTORS @ BOSTON CELTICS

Tip-off: 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden

  • Raptors’ last 5 games have gone under.
  • Celtics have won 40 of their last 42 games vs. teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Road team has covered in each of Celtics’ last 6 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 2 11 2-4 0-7
BOS 10 3 3-2 7-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
TOR 111.4 119.1 -7.7 230.5
BOS 121.3 110.5 +10.8 231.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BOS OVER
-16.5 226.5

ROI BETTING TRENDS

HOTTEST ROI TRENDS - HERE
  • Boston Celtics: 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of last 57 games (34% ROI)
  • Boston Celtics: 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of last 94 games (25% ROI)
  • Boston Celtics: Covered the 1H Spread in 63 of last 100 games (17% ROI)

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS - HERE
  • Ochai Agbaji has scored 12+ points in Raptors’ last 4 games against teams with a winning record.
  • Ochai Agbaji has made 2+ threes in each of Raptors’ last 5 road games.
  • Jayson Tatum has made 4+ threes in 5 of Celtics’ last 6 games.
  • Jayson Tatum has 31+ points in 4 of Celtics’ last 5 games.
  • Jaylen Brown has 25+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Raptors.

PREVIEW

At opposite ends of the East, the Raptors and Celtics will face off at TD Garden on Saturday night in their first meeting of the season.

Boston recently dominated Brooklyn 139-114, with Jayson Tatum delivering a 36-point, 10-assist, nine-rebound performance, helping the team improve to 33-1 when he shoots 60.0% or better.

The Raptors lost 99-95 to Detroit, despite Jakob Poeltl’s season-high 25 points and 18 rebounds. In lineup news, Boston’s Jrue Holiday is questionable.

The Celtics carry an 8-game winning streak against Toronto, including a sweep of last season’s series.

PICK – OVER 226.5 TOTAL POINTS

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LOS ANGELES LAKERS @ NEW ORLEANS PELICANS

Tip-off: 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center

  • Lakers’ last 9 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone over.
  • Lakers have won 15 of their last 16 games vs. teams with a losing record.
  • Lakers have won the 1st half in 8 of their last 9 games vs. Pelicans.
  • Lakers have covered in 6 of their last 7 games vs. Pelicans.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 8 4 6-0 2-4
NOP 4 9 3-4 1-5

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAL 117.8 117.3 +0.5 235.1
NOP 105.1 114.0 -8.9 219.1

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
LAL OVER
-6.5 221.5

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS - HERE
  • Brandon Ingram has 26+ points in 5 of Pelicans’ last 7 home games.
  • Trey Murphy III has made 4+ threes in each of his last 3 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Austin Reaves has made 3+ threes in each of Lakers’ last 5 games as favourites.
  • Yves Missi has recorded 10+ rebounds in each of Pelicans’ last 3 games.
  • LeBron James has 10+ rebounds in each of Lakers’ last 4 games.
  • Austin Reaves has 6+ assists in each of Lakers’ last 4 games.
  • LeBron James has a triple-double in each of Lakers’ last 4 games.
  • LeBron James has 20+ points in each of his last 15 games against the Pelicans.
  • Anthony Davis has 31+ points in 9 of Lakers’ last 11 games as favourites.

PREVIEW

Together playing the second leg of a back-to-back, the Lakers and Pelicans will face off at Smoothie King Center.

New Orleans recently snapped a six-game losing streak by defeating Denver 101-94, powered by Brandon Ingram’s 29-point, nine-rebound, seven-assist effort in Zion Williamson’s continued absence.

The Lakers edged San Antonio 120-115 yesterday, led by Anthony Davis’ season-high 40 points and LeBron James’ 15-point, 16-rebound, 12-assist triple-double. The Lakers have won 10 of their last 11 games when Davis scores 35+ points.

This marks their first meeting after the Lakers took last season’s series 4-1, winning two of three games at this venue.

PICK – OVER 221.5 TOTAL POINTS

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SAN ANTONIO SPURS @ DALLAS MAVERICKS

Tip-off: 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center

  • Mavericks’ last 8 games vs. opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone under.
  • Mavericks have won 12 of their last 13 games vs. Spurs.
  • Mavericks have failed to cover in their last 4 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAS 6 7 5-3 1-4
DAL 5 7 4-3 1-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAS 110.2 110.0 +0.2 220.2
DAL 114.3 111.3 +3.0 225.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
SAS UNDER
-10.5 226.5

ROI BETTING TRENDS

HOTTEST ROI TRENDS - HERE
  • Dallas Mavericks: Game Total Under in 58 of last 91 games (22% ROI)
  • Dallas Mavericks: 2Q Game Total Under in 56 of last 87 games (22% ROI)
  • Dallas Mavericks: Covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of last 53 games (20% ROI)

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS - HERE
  • Klay Thompson has 22+ points in 8 of his last 9 home games against the Spurs.
  • Kyrie Irving has 24+ points in 8 of Mavericks’ last 9 games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • Chris Paul has 10+ points in each of Spurs’ last 4 road games.
  • Kyrie Irving has made 3+ threes in each of his last 4 home games against the Spurs.
  • Harrison Barnes has 4+ rebounds in 8 of his last 9 games against the Mavericks.
  • Julian Champagnie has 6+ rebounds in each of Spurs’ last 4 games against West opponents.
  • Victor Wembanyama has 14+ rebounds in each of Spurs’ last 3 games against West opponents.
  • Chris Paul has a double-double in 4 of Spurs’ last 5 games as underdogs.

PREVIEW

Dallas was recently upset 115-113 by Utah at Delta Center despite Luka Doncic’s 37-point, nine-assist performance without Kyrie Irving, marking their fifth straight loss in conference play.

San Antonio fell 120-115 to the Lakers at Frost Bank Center yesterday, despite Victor Wembanyama’s 28-point, 14-rebound, five-assist outing. Irving is expected to return for Dallas.

This is their second meeting this season, with the Mavericks having won the first 120-109 on October 24, extending their winning streak against the Spurs to five games.

PICK – SAN ANTONIO +10.5

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UTAH JAZZ @ SACRAMENTO KINGS

Tip-off: 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center

  • Kings have failed to cover in their last 10 games as home favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Jazz have lost 20 of their last 21 games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • 7 of Kings’ last 8 night games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone under.
  • Kings have won the first quarter in 8 of their last 9 games vs. Jazz.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 3 8 1-5 2-3
SAC 7 6 3-3 4-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
UTA 106.5 118.5 -12.0 225.0
SAC 117.2 113.8 +3.4 231.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
SAC OVER
-9.5 225.5

ROI BETTING TRENDS

HOTTEST ROI TRENDS - HERE
  • Utah Jazz: Moneyline in 5 of last 14 games (79% ROI)
  • Utah Jazz: 2Q Moneyline in 9 of last 15 games (55% ROI)
  • Utah Jazz: 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of last 32 away games (23% ROI)

Dallas was recently upset 115-113 by Utah at Delta Center despite Luka Doncic’s 37-point, nine-assist performance without Kyrie Irving, marking their fifth straight loss in conference play.

San Antonio fell 120-115 to the Lakers at Frost Bank Center yesterday, despite Victor Wembanyama’s 28-point, 14-rebound, five-assist outing. Irving is expected to return for Dallas.

This is their second meeting this season, with the Mavericks having won the first 120-109 on October 24, extending their winning streak against the Spurs to five games.

PICK – OVER 225.5 TOTAL POINTS

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