Tonight’s Free NBA Picks – The first full card of the year.

nba tips
nba tips

NBA predictions tonight

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

Tonight’s NBA Picks

Philadelphia @ Washington

The Trends –

  • Philly are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
  • Philly are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Washington.

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Washington 49 33 30-11 19-22
Philadelphia 28 54 17-24 11-30

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Washington 109.2 107.4 +1.8
Philadelphia 102.4 108.1 -5.7

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Philadelphia Over  Washington
 +7.0  216.0  120-115

Philly will be debuting two #1 picks tonight while their 150 Million Dollar man is on a minutes limit at 15-20. Washington at home were 30-11 last season, with 5 of those losses coming in the first month of play.

The better Morris twin remains out which will be the only concern for the Wizards with Philly packing a lot of depth. There were almost two upsets on Day 1 of the 2017/18 season, the home record for Washington might be something to throw away here.

Charlotte @ Detroit

The Trends –

  • Over is 20-6-1 in the last 27 meetings in Detroit.
  • Over is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings.

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Detroit 37 45 24-17 13-28
Charlotte 36 46 22-19 14-27

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Detroit 101.3 102.5 -1.1
Charlotte 104.9 104.7 +0.2

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Charlotte  Under Detroit
 +3.5  203.5  102-90

Charlotte was a shoe in for this game if Batum was playing fit, now it looks for like a toss of the coin. Drummond and Howard will cancel each other out in impact while Kemba will be the best player on the court. Worth the risk to take the Hornets although with both teams unsure of lineups, the Under looks attractive.

Brooklyn @ Indiana

The Trends –

  • Over is 20-5-1 in the last 26 meetings in Indiana.
  • Brooklyn are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 36-16-1 in the last 53 meetings.

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Indiana 42 40 29-12 13-28
Brooklyn 20 62 13-28 7-34

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Indiana 105.1 105.3 -0.2
Brooklyn 105.8 112.5 -6.7

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Indiana  Over Indiana
  -3.5  214.5 140-131

Brooklyn will be hoping D’Angelo Russell will be able to fill the void Lopez has left. Along with Crabbe and Lin, the Nets will be hoping to take down the Pacers with the three-ball.

Indiana will be hoping to move on from PG13 very quickly. Turner is now the franchise player with some help from veterans Oladipo and Collison which provides some extra comfort in this selection.

Miami @ Orlando

The Trends –

  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings in Orlando.

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Orlando 29 53 16-25 13-28
Miami 41 41 23-18 18-23

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Orlando 101.1 107.6 -6.6
Miami 103.2 102.1 +1.1

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Miami Under  Orlando
 -3.0  205.5  116-109

Remember this same match up at the beginning of the season last year? Ibaka was debuting and the Magic struggled to get a score while the Heat went on a rampage. I don’t see that much difference this time around.

Milwaukee @ Boston

The Trends –

  • Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Boston.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Milwaukee are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Boston.

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Boston 53 29 30-11 23-18
Milwaukee 42 40 23-18 19-22

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Boston 108 105.4 +2.6
Milwaukee 103.6 103.8 -0.2

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Boston  Over  Milwaukee
-3.5  204.5  108-100

There is no guide as to how the Celtics will be feeling after last night. Seeing their free agent signing Hayward going down for ‘likely’ the season did spur them on to almost steal the game in Cleveland. However, it could be a hard task to back it up again against a team on the rise.

#PrayforHay

New Orleans @ Memphis

The Trends –

  • Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Memphis.

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Memphis 43 39 24-17 19-22
New Orleans 34 48 21-20 13-28

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Memphis 100.5 100 +0.5
New Orleans 104.3 106.4 -2.1

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Memphis  Under  Memphis
-3.0 205.0  103-91

I think we are all undecided on where both these teams are positioned. The Two Tower approach for the Pelicans is yet to pay off and could be a game-style best suited to 10 years ago. Memphis haven’t exactly fared much better with lame free agent signings in Tyreke Evans and Ben McLemore.

Atlanta @ Dallas

The Trends –

  • Atlanta are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Atlanta are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Atlanta 43 39 23-18 20-21
Dallas 33 49 21-20 12-29

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Atlanta 103.2 104 -0.9
Dallas 97.9 100.8 -2.9

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
 Dallas Over  Atlanta
-6.0  197.5  117-111

Cant see any future where Dallas don’t win this game. Also, not sure who will score for the Hawks. Like the Under.

Denver @ Utah

The Trends –

  • Denver are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Utah.
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Utah.
  • Under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Utah 51 31 29-12 22-19
Denver 40 42 22-19 18-23

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Utah 100.7 96.8 +3.9
Denver 111.7 111.2 +0.5

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Nuggets  Under  Utah
+2.0  206.5  106-96

Along with the Bucks, Denver are the new buzz team of the league and will get to test their new look on the road to Utah. On paper, Jokic and Millsap look like a tough task but since the days of Malone and Stockton, the road trip to Utah is never an easy feat.

Minnesota @ San Antonio

The Trends –

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Minnesota are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
San Antonio 61 21 31-10 30-11
Minnesota 31 51 20-21 11-30

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
San Antonio 105.3 98.1 +7.2
Minnesota 105.6 106.7 -1.1

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Spurs  Under  Spurs
-2.0 205.5  104-99

For two years straight, we could be over-rating the Wolves and under-rating the Spurs. Even with Kawhi on the sidelines, you can’t doubt Spurs basketball.

Portland @ Phoenix

The Trends –

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Phoenix 24 58 15-26 9-32
Portland 41 41 25-16 16-25

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Phoenix 107.7 113.3 -5.6
Portland 107.9 108.5 -0.5

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Portland  Over Portland
-1.5  222.0  124-76

Another game where a missing key player could be the difference. CJ McCollum is serving a suspension from preseason that does cause some concern. Both teams love to score, take the Over here.

Houston @ Sacramento

The Trends –

  • To come..

2016/17 Season – Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Sacramento 32 50 17-24 15-26
Houston 55 27 30-11 25-16

2016/17 Season – Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Sacramento 102.8 106.7 -3.9
Houston 115.3 109.6 +5.8

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Houston Over  Houston
 -7.5 217.5  105-100

The Rockets went toe to toe with the Warriors and came out on top. Would be against God’s good will for the Rockets to not back it up the next night in Sacramento.