FREE NBA PLAYOFF PICKS
*Original NBA Playoff picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 64-41
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.
TORONTO @ BOSTON
In what is a win or go home game, I can’t help but fall into a Raptors player, and this time after a soft showing in Game 5, Kyle Lowry gets the go-ahead on points.
In this series thus far, Lowry has surpassed this prop total in 2 of 5 games and it is of no coincidence the Raptors won both games.
High minutes, high volume shooting and an advantageous back court match-up against Kemba will give us every chance to topple 21 or more points.
Lowry has shot the 3 at 23% this series, not because of defense because the looks have been good – he has just been off.
But write him off at your own peril because he only needs 1 early one to drop for a procession to happen.
DP’S PICK – KYLE LOWRY OVER 20.5 POINTS – WIN
TREND BET
TORONTO @ BOSTON
TORONTO
- Under is 18-7-1 in last 26 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 16-5 in last 21 games vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
BOSTON
- Under is 6-0-1 in Celtics last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 7-0 in Celtics last 7 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-1 in Celtics last 11 overall.
MATCHUP
- Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
TREND BET – UNDER 211.5 TOTAL POINTS
TORONTO @ BOSTON
BOSTON LEAD 3-2
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Kyle Lowry has made 3+ three-pointers in 4 of the Raptors’ last 5 games as underdogs against the Celtics. (2.5)
- OG Anunoby has 7+ rebounds in 5 of the Raptors’ last 6 games. (6.5)
- Kemba Walker has 7+ assists in the Celtics’ last 2 games. (5.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| GAME 5 | TOR | BOS | 89 : 111 |
| GAME 4 | BOS | TOR | 93 : 100 |
| GAME 3 | BOS | TOR | 103 : 104 |
| GAME 2 | TOR | BOS | 99 : 102 |
| GAME 1 | TOR | BOS | 94 : 112 |
| 08.08.20 | TOR | BOS | 100 : 122 |
| 29.12.19 | BOS | TOR | 97 : 113 |
| 26.12.19 | TOR | BOS | 102 : 118 |
| 26.10.19 | BOS | TOR | 112 : 106 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| TOR | 53 | 19 | 26-10 | 27-9 |
| BOS | 48 | 24 | 26-10 | 22-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | AV. TOT |
| TOR | 112.8 | 106.5 | +6.3 | 219.3 |
| BOS | 113.7 | 107.3 | +6.4 | 221.0 |
The Celtics went ahead 3-2 with a 111-89 blowout in Game 5, the Raptors were flat out of the gate, scoring just 11 points in the 1st quarter and trailed by as much as 30 down the stretch.
The Raptors have leaned heavily on Lowry, Siakam and VanVleet in the series, each averaging around 40 minutes a game. Their importance is now even greater after Serge Ibaka showed up at practice in a walking boot, the result of a sprained ankle in Game 5.
The Celtics are also very reliant on their Big Three of Brown, Tatum and Kemba Walker. Brown, who was held to 14 points on 4-of-18 shooting in Game 4, responded with a game-high 27 points in Game 5.
Ibaka is listed as questionable.
The Total Points line has dropped every game this series, but if we overlook the Unders trend tonight and it goes Overs up we’ll almost have to shut down for the year.
PICK – BOSTON WIN
TRENDS SAY – UNDER 211.5 TOTAL POINTS
LA CLIPPERS @ DENVER
LA CLIPPERS LEAD 2-1
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Patrick Beverley has 4+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 playoff games. (3.5)
- Paul George has 24+ points in 7 of his last 9 games against the Nuggets. (23.5)
- Nikola Jokic has 25+ points in 10 of the Nuggets’ last 13 playoff games. (23.5)
- Kawhi Leonard has 9+ rebounds in 7 of the Clippers’ last 9 games. (7.5)
- Jamal Murray has 24+ points in 7 of the Nuggets’ last 10 playoff games as underdogs. (23.5)
- Jerami Grant has 2+ three-pointers in 9 of his last 13 playoff games. (1.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 39-18-1 in the last 58 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| GAME 3 | DEN | LAC | 107 : 113 |
| GAME 2 | LAC | DEN | 101 : 110 |
| GAME 1 | LAC | DEN | 120 : 97 |
| 13.08.20 | DEN | LAC | 111 : 124 |
| 29.02.20 | LAC | DEN | 132 : 103 |
| 13.01.20 | DEN | LAC | 114 : 104 |
| 11.10.19 | LAC | DEN | 91 : 111 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAC | 49 | 23 | 27-9 | 22-14 |
| DEN | 46 | 27 | 26-11 | 20-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | AV. TOT |
| LAC | 116.3 | 109.9 | +6.4 | 226.2 |
| DEN | 111.3 | 109.2 | +2.1 | 220.5 |
The Clippers can take a 3-1 lead after outplaying the Nuggets down the stretch in Game 3. Los Angeles turned a 7-point, 4th-quarter deficit into a 113-107 win.
PG13 was just 13 of 32 from the floor in Games 1 and 2, but broke out with 32 points on Monday. He was 12-for-18 shooting and made 5 of 7 three-point attempts. Khawi was equally impressive with 23 points, 14 rebounds and 6 assists.
Jamal Murray has gone in the other direction since scoring 50, 42 and 50 in 3-straight games in the Utah series. Murray has scored 17 or less in 3 of Denver’s last 4 games. That includes a 12-point showing in Game 1 of this series.
The Clippers will try to slow Jokic who was hot in Game 3 with 32 points, 12 rebounds and 8 assists.
PICK – OVER 219.5 TOTAL POINTS
