FREE NBA PLAYOFF PICKS
*Original NBA Playoff picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
MIAMI VS INDIANA
MIAMI
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 playoff games as a favorite.
INDIANA
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 9-3 in last 12 playoff games as an underdog.
MATCHUP
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
TREND BET – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS – WIN
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 60-35
ORLANDO VS MILWAUKEE
We’re back in the winners circle and what a delight it is after being crucified by a .5 bad bet on Gordon two days ago.
The Joker however delivered a stress-free win on the overs in Game 4 of the Nuggets/Jazz series.
Moving on.
Fournier has really struggled against the length and athleticism of the Milwaukee defensive unit. Thus far, the Frenchman has returned an average of 11.3 ppg on 36% shooting from the floor.
I expect no different tomorrow when the Bucks once again put the foot down early and enter cruise mode in the second half.
Despite a depleted roster in the in the bubble, Fournier is down 4 shot attempts per game in the post season, down 10% on the floor and down 1 visit to the charity.
Milwaukee want to wrap this series up as soon as possible and after being humbled in game 1 – everything has been difficult for the Magic.
DP’S PICK – EVAN FOURNIER UNDER 17.5 POINTS – WIN
ORLANDO VS MILWAUKEE
ORLANDO LEAD 2-1
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has the first basket in 5 of the Bucks’ last 9 playoff games.
- Brook Lopez has scored 16+ in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 games. (14.5)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 7+ assists in 4 of his last 5 games against the Magic. (6.5)
- Khris Middleton has 6+ assists in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 games against the Magic. (4.5)
- Eric Bledsoe has 6+ assists in 5 of his last 6 games against the Magic. (5.5)
- Evan Fournier has 3+ three-pointers in 5 of the Magic’s last 7 games against the Bucks. (2.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
- Bucks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| GAME 3 | ORL | MIL | 107 : 121 |
| GAME 2 | MIL | ORL | 111 : 96 |
| GAME 1 | MIL | ORL | 110 : 122 |
| 09.02.20 | ORL | MIL | 95 : 111 |
| 29.12.19 | MIL | ORL | 111 : 100 |
| 10.12.19 | MIL | ORL | 110 : 101 |
| 02.11.19 | ORL | MIL | 91 : 123 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ORL | 33 | 40 | 18-17 | 15-23 |
| MIL | 56 | 17 | 30-5 | 26-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | AV. TOT |
| ORL | 107.3 | 108.3 | -1.0 | 215.6 |
| MIL | 118.7 | 108.6 | +10.1 | 227.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | OVER | MIL |
| -12.5 | 225.5 | 121-106 |
After a shock Game 1 loss to the 8th-seeded Magic, the 1st-seed Bucks got their shit together.
Milwaukee had 50 points in the paint during Game 3’s 121-107 win, helping build a 34-point 2nd-half advantage, going 17-for-37 from 3-point range and shooting a hot 56% overall.
Could be a blowout, but we’re staying clear of this one.
PICKS – NO BET
IF YOU MUST – MILWAUKEE -12.5
OKLAHOMA CITY VS HOUSTON
HOUSTON LEAD 2-1
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Danuel House Jr. has 14+ points in his 5 games at AdventHealth Arena. (12.5)
- Steven Adams has 8 points or less in the Thunder’s last 4 games as underdogs. (10.5)
- P.J. Tucker has 3+ three-pointers in 5 of the Rockets’ last 6 playoff games. (1.5)
- Dennis Schroder has 21+ points in 9 of his last 12 games with the Thunder as underdogs. (18.5)
- James Harden has 37+ points in 6 of the Rockets’ last 9 games against the Thunder. (35.5)
- Chris Paul has 22+ points in 4 of his last 6 playoff games against the Rockets. (20.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Rockets are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| GAME 3 | OKC | HOU | 119 : 107 (104 : 104) |
| GAME 2 | HOU | OKC | 111 : 98 |
| GAME 1 | HOU | OKC | 123 : 108 |
| 21.01.20 | HOU | OKC | 107 : 112 |
| 10.01.20 | OKC | HOU | 113 : 92 |
| 29.10.19 | HOU | OKC | 116 : 112 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 44 | 28 | 24-12 | 20-16 |
| OKC | 44 | 28 | 23-14 | 21-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | AV. TOT |
| HOU | 117.8 | 114.8 | +3.0 | 232.6 |
| OKC | 110.4 | 108.4 | +2.0 | 218.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | UNDER | OKC |
| +3.5 | 219.5 | 117-114 |
OKC’s Luguentz Dort has gained some swagger after his defensive effort against James Harden following his series debut in Game 2. After Harden lit up the Dort-less Thunder for 37 points on 12-for-22 shooting in Game 1, Dort returned and harassed Harden into 5-for-24 3-point shooting in Games 2 and 3, with the Thunder pulling out a 119-107 Game 3 win.
Harden wasn’t alone in his woes from behind the arc in Game 3, with the Rockets missing 35 of their 50 3-point attempts, Eric Gordon with one of the all time worst 15 minute stretches in modern NBA history.
Love the big Kiwi Steven Adams over 10.5 rebounds again.
OKC to keep it close.
PICK – OKLAHOMA CITY +3.5
PLAYER PROP – STEVEN ADAMS OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS
MIAMI VS INDIANA
MIAMI LEAD 2-0
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Goran Dragic has 20+ points in 6 of the Heat’s last 7 playoff games. (18.5)
- Victor Oladipo has 20+ points in 4 of his last 5 playoff games. (18.5)
- Malcolm Brogdon has 9+ assists in each of the Pacers’ last 3 games. (8.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| GAME 3 | MIA | IND | 124 : 115 |
| GAME 2 | IND | MIA | 100 : 109 |
| GAME 1 | IND | MIA | 101 : 113 |
| 15.08.20 | IND | MIA | 109 : 92 |
| 11.08.20 | MIA | IND | 114 : 92 |
| 09.01.20 | IND | MIA | 108 : 122 |
| 28.12.19 | MIA | IND | 113 : 112 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| IND | 45 | 28 | 25-11 | 20-17 |
| MIA | 44 | 29 | 29-7 | 15-22 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | AV. TOT |
| IND | 109.4 | 107.5 | +1.9 | 216.9 |
| MIA | 112.0 | 109.1 | +2.9 | 221.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIA | OVER | MIA |
| -6.5 | 215.5 | 99-87 |
The broom is out tonight.
Miami have dominated on both ends of the court and have a 10-point average winning margin over the first 3 games.
Miami’s 124-115 Game 3 win took place largely at the free-throw line. The Heat went to the line 52 times and made 43, whereas the Pacers attempted just 28 foul shots and made 21.
The Heat’s balanced scoring has been their success, with Butler (24.3 ppg), Goran Dragic (22.7 ppg), Tyler Herro (16.7 ppg), Adebayo (15.3 ppg) and Duncan Robinson (15.0 ppg) through the first 3 games.
Today Miami will notch up their 4th-straight postseason series win over Indiana since 2012.
PICK – MIAMI WIN & OVER 215.5 TOTAL POINTS
PORTLAND VS LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS LEAD 2-1
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Hassan Whiteside has 0 assists in his last 8 playoff games. (0.5)
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has 2+ three-pointers in 6 of his 7 previous playoff games. (1.5)
- C.J. McCollum has 3+ three-pointers in 12 of the Blazers’ last 14 games as underdogs. (2.5)
- Kyle Kuzma has 14+ points in 4 of the Lakers’ last 6 games against the Blazers. (12.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Lakers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| GAME 3 | POR | LAL | 108 : 116 |
| GAME 2 | LAL | POR | 111 : 88 |
| GAME 1 | LAL | POR | 93 : 100 |
| 01.02.20 | LAL | POR | 119 : 127 |
| 29.12.19 | POR | LAL | 120 : 128 |
| 07.12.19 | POR | LAL | 113 : 136 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| POR | 35 | 39 | 21-15 | 14-24 |
| LAL | 52 | 19 | 25-10 | 27-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | AV. TOT |
| POR | 115.0 | 116.1 | -1.1 | 231.1 |
| LAL | 113.4 | 107.6 | +5.8 | 221.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | OVER | |
| -6.5 | 224.5 |
Both Lebron and AD had dominated in the Lakers’ 116-108 win in Game 3 that gave the Lakers a 2-1 lead.
James had 38 points, 12 rebounds and 8 assists while Davis tallied 23 of his 29 points in the 2nd half to go with 11 rebounds, 8 assists and 3 blocks.
Portland will be relying on star guard Damian Lillard, who played with a dislocated left index finger in Game 3 and still notched up 34 points and 7 assists. But he was just 2-of-9 shooting in the 2nd half to finish 8 of 20 overall.
Any amount of production loss due to Lillards finger issues could spell the end of the Blazers tonight.
PICK – LA LAKERS -6.5
