FREE NBA PICKS & PROPS – 29/1/21

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TONIGHT'S PARLAYS
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MATCHUP PARLAY

  • INDIANA @ CHARLOTTE – INDIANA WIN
  • LA CLIPPERS @ ORLANDO – ORLANDO WIN (Kahwi and George surprise returns from COVID protocol, leave out)
  • DALLAS @ UTAH – UTAH WIN

ODDS – 2.43

TOTALS PARLAY

  • CLEVELAND @ NEW YORK – OVER 206.5 TOTAL PTS
  • DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO – OVER 221.5 TOTAL PTS

ODDS – 3.65

PLAYER PROP PARLAY

  • MILWAUKEE @ NEW ORLEANS – ZION WILLIAMSON OVER 22.5 PTS
  • LA CLIPPERS @ ORLANDO – NIKOLA VUCEVIC OVER 22.5 PTS

ODDS – 3.65

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INDIANA @ CHARLOTTE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Terry Rozier has 19+ points in 6 of the Hornets’ last 7 games as home underdogs. (17.5)
  • P.J. Washington has 16+ points in 6 of the Hornets’ last 7 games as home underdogs. (13.5)
  • Malcolm Brogdon has 23+ points in 4 of the Pacers’ last 5 games as favorites. (21.5)
  • Gordon Hayward has 24+ points in 4 of the Hornets’ last 5 games. (21.5)
  • Domantas Sabonis has 7+ assists in the Pacers’ last 3 games against the Hornets. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Pacers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Charlotte.
  • Pacers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Charlotte.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 11 7 6-5 5-2
CHA 7 11 3-5 4-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
IND 113.7 110.9 +2.8 224.6
CHA 107.7 109.7 -2.0 217.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND OVER CHA
-3.5 220.0 108-105

On Wednesday, the Pacers went out to a 17-point lead after the first quarter and held on late for a 116-106 road win against Charlotte.

Charlotte have lost 6 of their last 7 after the Indiana lost.

The Pacers have reached the 220.0 total points mark in 10 of their 18 games, Charlotte in 8 of their 18 games.

Pacers go again.

PICK – INDIANA -3.5

ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • John Collins has 20+ points in 9 of the Hawks’ last 11 road games against Eastern teams. (17.5)
  • Trae Young has 38+ points in the Hawks’ last 3 games as favorites. (27.5)
  • De’Andre Hunter has 21+ points in the Hawks’ last 3 games. (16.5)
  • Clint Capela has 18+ rebounds in the Hawks’ last 3 games as favorites. (14.5)
  • Kevin Huerter has 6+ assists in the Hawks’ last 4 games against Southeast teams. (3.5)
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() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Washington.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ATL 9 9 5-4 4-5
WAS 3 11 1-5 2-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
ATL 113.1 110.7 +2.4 223.8
WAS 115.7 120.4 -4.7 236.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
ATL OVER ATL
-3.5 231.5 116-100

Atlanta took the Nets to OT before losing by a 132-128 final score on Wednesday.

The Wizards are looking to halt a 3-game slide and own the worst overall record in the NBA. On Wednesday, they were outscored by 17 during the 1st quarter and never recovered in  a 124-106 road loss against the Pelicans.

Washington has reached the 231.5 total points mark in 8 of their 14 games, the Hawks in 5 of their 18 games.

The Wizards rank 1st in the league in tempo and 3rd worst in defensively so Overs is tempting, but will go with Hawks ATL.

PICK – ATLANTA -3.5

MILWAUKEE @ NEW ORLEANS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has 32+ points in his last five road games against Western teams. (27.5)
  • Brandon Ingram has 31+ points in 4 of the Pelicans’ last 5 games as home underdogs. (22.5)
  • Zion Williamson has 26+ points in the Pelicans’ last 3 home games. (22.5)
  • Khris Middleton has 7+ assists in the Bucks’ last 3 games. (5.5)
  • Steven Adams has a double-double in 4 of his last 8 games at Smoothie King Center.

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 11 6 7-2 4-4
NOR 6 10 3-3 3-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIL 119.8 110.8 +9.0 230.6
NOR 109.2 111.1 -1.9 220.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIL UNDER NOR
-6.5 228.5 131-126

The Bucks are 11-6 after a 115-108 win over Toronto on Wednesday.

Milwaukee is averaging 119.8 points per game while allowing an average of 111.0 points per game and have five players averaging in double figures.

New Orleans have reached the 228.5 total points mark in 5 of their 16 games (3 of their last 3), the Bucks in 9 of their 17 games.

New Orleans looks for its 2nd-straight win after improving to 6-10 following a 124-106 win over Washington on Wednesday.  Ingram and Zion each scored 32 points.

PICK – OVER 228.5 TOTAL POINTS

CLEVELAND @ NEW YORK

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Andre Drummond has 20+ points in 4of his last 5 games against the Knicks.(17.5)
  • Collin Sexton has 23+ points in 12 of his last 15 road games. (21.5)
  • Julius Randle has 28 points in the Knicks’ last 2games against the Cavaliers. (22.5)
  • Elfrid Payton has 5+ assists in 6 of his last 7 home games against the Cavaliers. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New York.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in New York.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 9 9 6-4 3-5
NY 8 11 3-4 5-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CLE 105.4 109.0 -3.6 214.4
NY 101.5 103.8 -2.3 205.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CLE OVER NY
+2.0 206.5 102-81

The Cavs have won 4 of their last 6 and rank 7th in the NBA in scoring defense at 109.0 ppg. Cleveland outscored the Pistons by 17 points during the 2nd half to pull away for a 122-107 home win on Wednesday.

New York are looking to end a 3-game skid after giving up a 13-point halftime lead during a 108-94 road loss against Utah.

Both rank in the top ten in defensive efficiency and the Knicks play at the slowest tempo. Unders is always tempting with the New Yorkers. 207.5 is a very low total in 2021 NBA basketball however.

New York have reached the 207.5 total in 9 of their 19 games, the Cavs in 9 of their 18 games (6 of their last 6).

Bucking the Unders trend.

MATCHUP FACT – The Knicks have won the first half in 5 of their last 6 games.

PICK – OVER 206.5 TOTAL POINTS

SACRAMENTO @ TORONTO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Harrison Barnes has 18+ points in 5 of the Kings’ last 6 road games. (14.5)
  • Richaun Holmes has 16+ points in 5 of the Kings’ last 6 games as underdogs. (12.5)
  • Kyle Lowry has 19+ points in his last 3 games against the Kings. (18.5)
  • Buddy Hield has 5+ rebounds in the Kings’ last 3 games against the Raptors. (4.5)
  • Fred VanVleet has 7+ assists in 5 of the Raptors’ last 6 games at Amalie Arena. (6.5)
  • Pascal Siakam has 5+ assists in the Raptors’ last 3 games against the Kings. (3.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Kings are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 7 10 5-6 2-4
TOR 7 11 5-4 2-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAC 112.9 120.4 -7.5 233.3
TOR 110.3 109.8 +0.5 220.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR OVER SAC
-5.5 228.0 126-124

The Kings look for their 3rd-straight win after improving to 7-10 after a 121-107 win over  Orlando on Wednesday.

Toronto looks to end a 2-game slide after dropping to 7-11 after a 115-108 loss on Wednesday to Milwaukee.

The Kings are letting opponents shoot 48.9% and are scoring an average of 120.4 ppg so Overs is tempting.

The Raptors have reached the 228.5 total points mark in 7 of their 18 games (1 of their last 6), the Kings in 9 of their 17 games.

The most recent meeting on July 8th was very high scoring 144-123 Toronto win in Sacramento.

PICK – OVER 228.0 TOTAL POINTS

PHILADELPHIA @ MINNESOTA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • NIL

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • 76ers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.
  • 76ers are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
  • Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Minnesota.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 13 6 10-1 3-5
MIN 4 13 3-6 1-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 113.4 110.5 2.9 223.9
MIN 107.4 117.1 -9.7 224.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI UNDER PHI
-7.0 225.5 118-94

The top of the East meets the bottom of the West tonight.

Philadelphia are 13-6 after its 107-106 win at home over the Lakers on Wednesday. Tobias Harris hit a jumper with just 3 seconds on the clock, ending a run of 13-0 by Los Angeles.

Philadelphia has five players averaging double-figure points per game and are scoring an average of 113.4 ppg while allowing of 110.5 ppg.

The T-Wolves hope to end a two-game slide after dropping to 4-13 after a 123-111 loss to the Warriors on Wednesday, going 0-2 in the Warriors series.

76ers to get a confidence boost tonight.

PICK – PHILADELPHIA -7.0

BROOKLYN @ OKLAHOMA CITY

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Kevin Durant has 33+ points in his last 5 road games ainst Western teams. (27.5)
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 7+ assists in 5 of the Thunder’s last 6 games. (5.5)
  • James Harden has 11+ assists in 6 of the Nets’ last 7 games. (9.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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TREND BET

TREND BET
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BROOKLYN

  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 9-1 in last 10 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 14-2 in last 16 overall.

OKLAHOMA CITY

  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 home games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 12 8 9-4 3-4
OKC 8 9 1-5 7-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BKN 119.8 115.8 +4.0 235.6
OKC 106.2 112.4 -6.2 218.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC UNDER BKN
+6.5 230.5 147-124

Brooklyn look for their 4th-straight win after improving to 12-8 after its 132-128 OT win over Atlanta on Wednesday. Durant scored 32 points while Harden scored 31.

Oklahoma City looks for its 3rd-straight win after a 102-97 win over Phoenix on Wednesday.

The Nets have reached the 229.5 total points mark in 10 of their 20 games, OKC in just 3 of their 17 games.

PICK – UNDER 230.5 TOTAL POINTS

LA CLIPPERS @ ORLANDO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Evan Fournier has 21+ points in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 games. (18.5)
  • Nikola Vucevic has 26+ points in the Magic’s last 3 games as favorites. (22.5)
  • Aaron Gordon has 8+ rebounds in 6 of the Magic’s last 7 games as favorites. (7.5)
  • Aaron Gordon has 6+ assists in 5 of his last 6 games. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando.
  • Clippers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Orlando.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 14 5 8-2 6-3
ORL 8 11 4-5 4-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAC 113.6 107.2 +6.4 220.8
ORL 105.6 110.6 -5.0 216.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
ORL OVER LAC
+6.5 212.5 116-90

This will be the second of a back-to-back on the road for undermanned Clippers after beating the Heat last night 109-105 in Miami.

Orlando have lost 9 of their last 11 after trailing by 15 points at halftime and never recovering during a 121-107 home loss against Sacramento.

Paul George and Kawhi Leonard remain sidelined with COVID protocol, while Pat Beverley (knee) also sits.

Orlando should get over the undermanned Clippers on a back-to-back.

UPDATE – KAWHI AND PAUL GEORGE HAVE BEEN LISTED AS ACTIVE.

MATCH FACT – The Magic have covered the line in 14 of their last 18 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.

PICK – ORLANDO +6.5

DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • LaMarcus Aldridge has the first basket in 3 of the Spurs’ last 6 games.
  • Jamal Murray has 23+ points in his last 4 games with the Nuggets as favorites against the Spurs. (19.5)
  • Keldon Johnson has 17+ points in the Spurs’ last 4 games as home underdogs. (12.5)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge has 16+ points in 13 of his last 14 games against the Nuggets. (14.5)
  • Nikola Jokic has 25+ points in the Nuggets’ last 3 road games against the Spurs. (22.5)
  • Dejounte Murray has 8+ rebounds in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5 games at AT&T Center. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Antonio.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 11 7 4-5 7-2
SAS 10 8 4-5 6-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 116.4 110.9 +5.5 227.3
SAS 111.3 110.4 +0.9 221.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN OVER SAS
-4.5 224.5 119-109

The Nuggets will be looking to add to their success after their recent road win against Miami, 109-82.

The Spurs will also be looking to back up their recent home win against over Boston, 110-106.

The Nuggets will cause problems for San Antonio scoring offensively, but haven’t been very elite on the defensive end rank 19th in the NBA in points allowed.

The Spurs have reached the 224.5 total points mark in 8 of their 18 games, the Nuggets in 8 of their 18 games.

MATCH FACT – The favorites have won 33 of the last 35 games between the Nuggets and Spurs.

PROP – OVER 224.5 TOTAL POINTS

DALLAS @ UTAH

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Tim Hardaway Jr. has 18+ points in 7 of his last 8 games against the Jazz. (15.5)
  • Luka Doncic has 30+ points in the Mavericks’ last 4 road games against Western teams. (27.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Mavericks are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah.
  • Mavericks are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 8 10 2-4 6-6
UTA 14 4 7-2 7-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DAL 109.3 110.2 -0.9 219.5
UTA 113.1 105.3 7.8 218.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA UNDER UTA
-4.0 223.0 120-101

The Jazz sit atop the West and have the highest points differential in the league at +7.8. The put it simply, they have been flying lately.

This will be the second game in a row between these two with Utah winning 116-104, handing the Mavs their 3rd-straight loss.

The Jazz have dialed up their defensive, allowing just 105.3.5 ppg ranking 3rd in the NBA.

PICK – UTAH -4.0

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