FREE NBA EXPERT PICKS – 28/1/21

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*These NBA free picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


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PORTLAND @ HOUSTON

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Trail Blazers are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
POR 9 7 5-5 4-2
HOU 7 9 4-4 3-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
POR 115.4 116.3 -0.9 231.7
HOU 110.5 109.9 +0.6 220.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU UNDER HOU
-4.0 229.0 104-101

The Blazers are still without McCollum and rank 5th in the league in scoring at 115.4 ppg. Portland let OKC shoot 51% during a 125-122 home loss on Monday.

Houston outscored the Wizards by 14 points during the 4th quarter to take a 107-88 home win on Tuesday. The Rockets forced 21 turnovers and limited the Wizards to 39% from the floor.

The Rockets have reached the 228.5 total in 4 of their 16 games, the Blazers in 7 of their 16 games.

Christian Wood (ankle) expects return for the Rockets tonight.

Rockets healthier.

MATCH STAT – The Rockets have won the first half in their last 3 games.

PICK – HOUSTON -4.0


LA LAKERS @ DETROIT

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Detroit.
  • Lakers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Detroit.
  • Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 14 5 4-4 10-1
DET 4 14 3-7 1-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAL 113.9 104.6 +9.3 218.5
DET 109.4 113.5 -4.1 222.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DET OVER DET
+7.5 213.0 107-92

The Lakers went down to the 76ers last night as -6.5 favorites. Anthony Davis put the Lakers ahead 106-105 with just sends on the clock, before Tobias Harris took a pass, dribbled to the elbow against Lakers guard Alex Caruso and rose up to bury what turned out to be the winning jumper with 3.0 seconds remaining, giving the 76ers a 107-106 win.

Last night, Detroit lost 122-107 against Cleveland. The Pistons led by 2 points at the half, but gave up 36 and 32 points in quarters 3 & 4.

The Lakers rank first in the NBA in defensive efficiency and 6th in offensive efficiency. But best to wait and check for possible scheduled rest day on a back-to-back.

The Lakers have reached the 220.5 total points mark in 11 of their 16 games, the Pistons in 8 of their 18 games (3 of their last 3).

MATCH STAT – The Pistons have lost their last 12 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back.

PICK – OVER 213.0 TOTAL POINTS


LA CLIPPERS @ MIAMI

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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TREND BET

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Clippers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Clippers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
  • Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 13 5 8-2 5-3
MIA 6 11 4-4 2-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAC 113.9 107.3 +6.6 221.2
MIA 106.2 112.0 -5.8 218.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA UNDER LAC
-4.5 216.5 109-105

Last night, Denver disposed of the Heat easily in a 109-82 win. The Heat shot just 37.5 % from the floor and made just 13 of their 45 three-point attempts. They were also dominated on the glass 49-38.

Paul George (COVID protocols) will return, while Kawhi (COVID protocols) and Patrick Beverley (knee) will remain on the sidelines.

Last time on the floor, the undermanned Clippers lost to Atlanta 108-99 on Tuesday.

Jimmy Butler has cleared the COVID-19 protocols and is going through conditioning work this week, he hasn’t played a game since Jan. 9th.

The Heat have reached the 216.5 total points mark in 9 of their 17 games, the Clippers in 12 of their last 18 (but 0 of their last 2 without their stars)

Too many injuries and COVID protocols to navigate here.

MATCH STAT – The Clippers have won the 1st half in 9 of their previous 10 road games.

PICK – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS


GOLDEN STATE @ PHOENIX

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Warriors are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
  • Warriors are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GSW 10 8 7-4 3-4
PHX 8 8 3-4 5-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
GSW 113.2 114.5 -1.3 227.7
PHX 110.2 108.6 +1.6 218.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
GSW UNDER PHX
+1.5 228.5 114-93

Last night, the Warriors finished their short series with the Minnesota with a record of 2-0 with a 123-111 win. The Warriors shot 52.9% from the floor and made 15 of 34 from three-point range.

Warriors rookie James Wiseman had a career-high 25 points, while fellow rookie Anthony Edwards also had 25.

Last night, the Booker-less Suns lost in a low scoring 102-97 slog against OKC. Chris Paul turned back the clock with 32 points. Phoenix shot just 37.9% from the floor and made 15 of their 43 three-point attemtps.

The Warriors have reached the 228.0 total mark in 8 of their 18 games (3 of their last 3), the Suns in just 4 of their 16 games.

PICK – GOLDEN STATE WIN / UNDER 228.5 TOTAL POINTS (Total Point line has dropped to 219.5 sice this post was made. Perhaps take GSW +1.5)