FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
PARLAY
PARLAY
- Milwaukee @ New York – Milwaukee -12.5
- LA Clippers @ San Antonio – LA Clippers WIN
- Houston @ Phoenix – Houston -5.5
ODDS – $5.10 – WIN
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 15-9
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
ATLANTA @ BROOKLYN
I’m shooting for 4 straight prop wins tomorrow and I like what I see on paper
when the struggling Hawks enter Barclays.
The 6’6 sharp-shooter is forever going to return inconsistent scoring performances, however, with the Nets coming off a loss, returning home as favourites, Harris is primed for a scoring spree against the Hawks who rank 3rd last in defending the 3 on the road, allowing teams to shoot at 40%.
Consistent break downs and lapses on defence will gift Harris an opportunity to get his feet set, come off high Jarrett Allen screens and the permit the give-and-go as he cruises toward scoring 15+
Harris will tease us for much of the game but unless this game becomes a blowout, we’re set to get good looks wire to wire.
DP’S BEST BET – Joe Harris OVER 14.5 POINTS – WIN
TREND BET
SEASON RECORD: 11-9
ATLANTA @ BROOKLYN
HAWKS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games following a ATS win.
NETS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hawks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
TREND BET – BROOKLYN -7.5 – WIN
UTAH @ CHARLOTTE
TEAM TRENDS
JAZZ TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 Saturday games.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 overall.
HORNETS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games as an underdog.
- 5-11 ATS in last 16 games playing on 2 days rest.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Jazz are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.
- Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Donovan Mitchell has 28+ points in each of the Jazz’s last four games.
- Terry Rozier has 3 assists or less in each of his six previous appearances against the Jazz.
- Cody Zeller has 15+ points in each of the Hornets’ last three games.
- Rudy Gobert has 20+ points in each of the Jazz’s last three road games.
- Devonte’ Graham has 24+ points in three of the Hornets’ last four Saturday games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| UTA | 17 | 11 | 11-3 | 6-8 |
| CHA | 13 | 18 | 7-8 | 6-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| UTA | 107.2 | 106.3 | +0.9 | 213.5 |
| CHA | 104.5 | 110.5 | -6.0 | 215.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| UTA | Under | UTA |
| -6.0 | 210.0 | 114-107 |
THE RUB
The Jazz got their first road win against an East opponent last game being the Hawks. Although it took them all four quarters to get the W, Utah are going for 5 straight wins and starting to treat this season seriously again.
OUR PICK – Utah -6.0
ATLANTA @ BROOKLYN
TEAM TRENDS
HAWKS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 16-6 in last 22 overall.
- Over is 14-6 in last 20 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
NETS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-2-1 in last 8 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hawks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
- Under is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings.
- Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Brooklyn.
SEASON SERIES
| 05.12.19 | ATL | BKN | 118 : 130 |
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Jarrett Allen has 14+ points in the Nets’ last 5 games as favourites against East teams.
-
Trae Young has 30+ points in the Hawks’ last 3 games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ATL | 6 | 23 | 3-11 | 3-12 |
| BKN | 15 | 13 | 8-5 | 7-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| ATL | 108.4 | 118.4 | -10.0 | 226.8 |
| BKN | 111.5 | 111.7 | -0.2 | 223.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BKN | Over | BKN |
| -7.5 | 228.0 | 122-112 |
THE RUB
The Nets still remain above .500 even without Durant, Irving and LeVert (think back to when the Lakers got Dwight and Nash and it took them all year to reach +.500.)
The Hawks do not travel well where 10 out of their 12 losses have been a margin above 11 points or more.
OUR PICK – Brooklyn -7.5
CHICAGO @ DETROIT
TEAM TRENDS
BULLS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 10-3-1 in last 14 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
PISTONS TRENDS
- 12-4 ATS in last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- 12-25-1 ATS in last 38 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 home games.
- Under is 35-17-1 in last 53 games playing on 0 days rest.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bulls are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.
SEASON SERIES
| 21.11.19 | CHI | DET | 109 : 89 |
| 02.11.19 | CHI | DET | 112 : 106 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Tomas Satoransky has 11+ points in 5 of the Bulls’ last 6 road games.
- Zach LaVine has 31+ points in the Bulls’ last 3 Saturday games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DET | 11 | 18 | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| CHI | 11 | 19 | 6-10 | 5-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DET | 108.4 | 109.9 | -1.5 | 218.3 |
| CHI | 105.6 | 107.4 | -1.8 | 213.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DET | Under | CHI |
| -5.0 | 213.5 | 119-107 |
THE RUB
Although the Bulls lead the season series 2-0, they occurred in November where the Pistons were severely battling.
Now, both teams are battling. Griffin should return but nothing is certain when the Bulls are in town. Home team to win but you could flip a coin too.
OUR PICK – Detroit WIN
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
TEAM TRENDS
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 15-3 ATS in last 18 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 14-29-1 ATS in last 44 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 44-20-1 in last 65 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 11-5-1 in last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 40-13 in last 53 Saturday games.
76ERS TRENDS
- 3-1-2 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Over is 17-4-1 in last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 3-1-1 in last 5 home games.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Wizards are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.
SEASON SERIES
| 06.12.19 | WAS | PHI | 119 : 113 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Bradley Beal has 28+ points in the Wizards’ last 7 games as road underdogs against Atlantic teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| WAS | 8 | 19 | 4-7 | 4-12 |
| PHI | 20 | 10 | 14-2 | 6-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| WAS | 117.7 | 121.8 | -4.1 | 239.5 |
| PHI | 108.8 | 104.6 | +4.2 | 213.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHI | Over | PHI |
| -12.5 | 228.5 | 125-108 |
THE RUB
Whats going on with Philly? Second straight loss on home court and they meet the team who embarrassed them a few weeks ago in Washington.
You could almost take a flier on the Wizards who are very loooong odds, although you could also see an old fashion smashing tonight too.
OUR PICK – Philadelphia -12.5
MILWAUKEE @ NEW YORK
TEAM TRENDS
BUCKS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 games as a favorite.
- 19-9-1 ATS in last 29 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 11-5-1 in last 17 games as a road favorite.
KNICKS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games as an underdog.
- 5-11 ATS in last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 7-0 in last 7 Saturday games.
- Under is 10-2 in last 12 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 12-4 in last 16 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in New York.
- Bucks are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 03.12.19 | MIL | NY | 132 : 88 |
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIL | 25 | 4 | 14-2 | 11-2 |
| NY | 7 | 22 | 4-10 | 3-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIL | 120.7 | 107.9 | +12.8 | 228.6 |
| NY | 103.1 | 112.1 | -9.0 | 215.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | Over | MIL |
| -12.5 | 227.0 | 123-102 |
THE RUB
With Giannis unofficially taking the crown from LeBron with his gesture, under the bright lights of MSG could be a big one for the Superstar. Hitting threes now, he is a force and got the W against the Knicks on home court by a massive 44 points a few weeks back.
OUR PICK – Milwaukee -12.5
SACRAMENTO @ MEMPHIS
TEAM TRENDS
KINGS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 16-6 ATS in last 22 games overall.
- 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- 4-11 ATS in last 15 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Under is 13-3 in last 16 Saturday games.
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 5-16 ATS in last 21 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 16-5 in last 21 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Kings are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.
- Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings.
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Memphis.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Buddy Hield has 21+ points in the Kings’ last 6 road games against Southwest teams.
- Dillon Brooks has 15+ points in 6 of the Grizzlies’ last 7 games.
- Jaren Jackson Jr. has 20+ points in each of the Grizzlies’ last 3 Saturday games against West teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAC | 12 | 16 | 6-5 | 6-11 |
| MEM | 10 | 19 | 5-11 | 5-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| SAC | 104.8 | 107.5 | -2.7 | 212.3 |
| MEM | 110.5 | 116.3 | -5.8 | 226.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MEM | Under | MEM |
| +1.5 | 220.0 | 119-115 |
THE RUB
Its hard to go near the Kings when their road record needs some work at 6-11. The Grizzlies let one slip in Cleveland last night and could go better on home court while the Kings work on their chemistry.
OUR PICK – Memphis WIN
LA CLIPPERS @ SAN ANTONIO
TEAM TRENDS
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games as a favorite.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 22-10 ATS in last 32 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 9-3 in last 12 games as a road favorite.
SPURS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- 8-18-1 ATS in last 27 games overall.
- 6-17 ATS in last 23 home games.
- 1-7 ATS in last 8 games following a ATS win.
- 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 30.11.19 | SAS | LAC | 107 : 97 |
| 01.11.19 | LAC | SAS | 103 : 97 |
PLAYER TRENDS
-
DeMar DeRozan has 15 points or less in his last 4 home games against the Clippers.
-
Paul George has 27+ points in his last 5 Saturday road games.
- Lou Williams has 17 points or less in his last 8 games against the Spurs at AT&T Center.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAC | 21 | 9 | 14-2 | 7-7 |
| SAS | 11 | 16 | 8-7 | 3-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAC | 115.2 | 108.2 | +7.0 | 223.4 |
| SAS | 112.0 | 115.0 | -3.0 | 227.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAC | Under | LAC |
| -5.5 | 223.5 | 124-109 |
THE RUB
The season series is currently 1-1 with the Spurs taking the honors. Looking back though, Paul George had his worst game of the season with 5 points while Kawhi shot 8-23 and will be extra motivated from their home loss to rival Houston.
Only issue would be if Kawhi sits being a B2B. Maybe he will sit out tomorrow against the Thunder to rest up from Xmas Day against the Lakers.
OUR PICK – LA Clippers WIN
HOUSTON @ PHOENIX
TEAM TRENDS
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Under is 14-6 in last 20 road games.
SUNS TRENDS
- 9-4 ATS in last 13 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 home games.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 10-3 in last 13 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Rockets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Rockets are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Phoenix.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Phoenix.
SEASON SERIES
| 08.12.19 | HOU | PHO | 115 : 109 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- James Harden has 39+ points in the Rockets’ last 6 games as road favourites.
- Russell Westbrook has 8+ assists in his last 6 games at Talking Stick Resort Arena.
- Russell Westbrook has scored the 1st basket in the Rockets’ last two games.
- Clint Capela has 16+ rebounds in 9 of his last 12 games against West teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 19 | 9 | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| PHO | 11 | 17 | 6-10 | 5-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| HOU | 119.8 | 114.4 | +5.4 | 234.2 |
| PHO | 114.5 | 114.8 | -0.3 | 229.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | Over | HOU |
| -5.5 | 234.5 | 139-125 |
THE RUB
The Suns are on a slide with 5 straight losses while the return of Booker didn’t improve their chances against OKC last night.
Can’t go past the Rockets at the moment though. Harden is Harden and Westbrook’s season is improving.
OUR PICK – Houston -5.5
MINNESOTA @ PORTLAND
TEAM TRENDS
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 0-8 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 0-3-2 ATS in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Over is 27-10-1 in last 38 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Timberwolves are 6-20-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Portland.
- Timberwolves are 13-39-1 ATS in the last 53 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 10-1-1 in the last 12 meetings in Portland.
PLAYER TRENDS
- C.J. McCollum has 20 points or less in 8 of his last 9 games against the Timberwolves.
- Damian Lillard has 31+ points in the Trail Blazers’ last 3 home games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIN | 10 | 17 | 3-10 | 7-7 |
| POR | 13 | 16 | 7-6 | 6-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIN | 113.6 | 117.3 | -3.7 | 230.9 |
| POR | 112.8 | 113.7 | -0.9 | 226.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| POR | Under | |
| -7.0 | 229.0 |
THE RUB
The Wolves are looking at a 10th straight loss tonight while the Blazers have moved into the seeding in the West.
Minnesota have lost 6 straight at home and their Allstar KAT is doubtful to play.
OUR PICK – Portland WIN
