7 GAMES – NBA TIPS – 14/1/19

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 27-18

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

DALLAS @ GOLDEN STATE

Doncic hasn’t totaled 30+ points in 3 straight fixtures, which is exactly why I love him to go big, on the road, against the Warriors with 2 days rest under his belt.

Doncic has suited up twice already against the Warriors this season, returning 31 & 35 points on 55% from the floor.

The Warriors do not have the defensive personnel to reduce his offensive impact and with consideration around the Warriors competitiveness, I also expect the Wonderboy to play 35 minutes.

DP’S PICK – LUKA DONCIC OVER 29.5 POINTS


TREND BETS

PHOENIX @ ATLANTA

SUNS TRENDS

  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.

HAWKS TRENDS

  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 games following a straight up loss of 10+ points.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 games following an ATS loss.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
  • Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.

TREND BET – UNDER 230.0

*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.

If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


PHOENIX @ ATLANTA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

SUNS TRENDS

  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.

HAWKS TRENDS

  • 3-13 ATS in last 16 games vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 games following a straight up loss of 10+ points.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 games following an ATS loss.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Suns are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Suns are 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
  • Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
15.11.19 PHO ATL 128 : 112

PLAYER TRENDS

  • John Collins has 17 points or less in each of his last 6 games. (TBC)
  • Devin Booker has 32+ points in the Suns’ last 4 road games. (28.5)
  • Kelly Oubre Jr. has 22+ points in 4 of the Suns’ last 5 games against Eastern Conference games. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHO 16 23 9-14 7-9
ATL 8 32 4-14 4-18

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
PHO 113.2 114.0 -0.8 227.2
ATL 107.0 117.1 -10.1 224.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHO UNDER ATL
-3.0 230.0 123-110

The Hawks were without Trae Young on Sunday, and lost their 4th-straight game, shooting  33% from the floor and 12-of-48 from beyond the arc in a 108-86 loss at Brooklyn on Sunday.

The Hawks hope to have Young back in the lineup tonight.

The Suns found some form defensively in wins over Orlando and Charlotte in their last two games, holding the 2 to an average of 93 points to come out with a 3-2 homestand.

These two teams rank in the top ten in tempo and the Hawks rank 25th in defensive efficiency, however trends lean heavily towards Unders.

OUR PICK  – PHOENIX WIN


UTAH @ BROOKLYN

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

JAZZ TRENDS

  • 7-0 ATS in last 7 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • 10-1 ATS in last 11 games overall.
  • 8-1 ATS in last 9 games as a favorite.
  • 8-1 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .500.
  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • Over is 15-7-1 in last 23 games after scoring 125+ points in their last game.

NETS TRENDS

  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 games as a home underdog.
  • 9-4 ATS in last 13 home games.
  • 2-7 ATS in last 9 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 games following a win of 10+ points.
  • Under is 9-3-1 in last 13 games following a straight win.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Jazz are 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
  • Jazz are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
13.11.19 UTA BKN 119 : 114

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyrie Irving has 27+ points in 6 of his last 7 games against Northwest Division teams. (21.5)
  • Rudy Gobert has 18+ points in the Jazz’s last 3 games against the Nets. (14.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 27 12 15-3 12-9
BKN 18 20 11-8 7-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
UTA 109.4 105.7 +3.7 215.1
BKN 109.7 111.0 -1.3 220.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA OVER UTA
-3.0 222.5 118-107

Kyrie Irving’s (shoulder) long-awaited return gave the Nets a big boost on Sunday and they’ll try to finish off their 4-game homestand with a 3-1 mark tonight against the hot Jazz.

Irving missed 26 games but returned and scored 21 points on 10-of-11 shooting in 20 minutes to spark the Nets to a 108-86 win over the Hawks.

The Jazz are winners of 9-straight and 14 of their last 15 and came back from a 15-point second-half deficit in a 127-116 win over the Wizards on Sunday.

Jazz to keep on rolling.

OUR PICK  – UTAH -3.0


HOUSTON @ MEMPHIS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

ROCKETS TRENDS

  • 11-1 ATS in last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • 5-11 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
  • 4-9 ATS in last 13 games vs teams below .500.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 road games.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 9-4 in last 13 games as a road favorite.
  • Under is 13-6 in last 19 road games vs teams with a losing home record.

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games following a straight up win of 10+ points.
  • Over is 9-1 in last 10 home games.
  • Over is 13-3 in last 16 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 12-4 in last 16 overall.
  • Over is 20-8 in last 28 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
  • Over is 20-8 in last 28 games as a home underdog.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Rockets are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
05.11.19 MEM HOU 100 : 107

PLAYER TRENDS

  • James Harden has 43+ points in the Rockets’ last 4 games against the Grizzlies. (39.5)
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has 22+ points in the Grizzlies’ last 4 games against Southwest Division teams. (17.5)
  • Jonas Valanciunas has 18+ points in 5 of his last 6 games with the Grizzlies as home underdogs. (15.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 26 12 14-4 12-8
MEM 18 22 10-12 8-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
HOU 119.2 113.7 +5.5 232.9
MEM 113.4 116.1 -2.7 229.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU UNDER MEM
-4.5 240.5 121-110

The Grizzlies look to stretch their winning streak to 6 tonight. Memphis looked destined for a long season starting 6-16 but have turned things around with a 12-6 streak.

Houston have won 4 of 5 after cruising to a 139-109 home win over Minnesota  on Saturday.

Both rank in the top 4 in tempo and the Rockets rank 2nd offensively, however the first meeting this series was a 107-100 slug fest, going the way of the Rockets.

Houston G Russell Westbrook (rest) is likely out.

OUR PICK  – UNDER 240.5


NEW YORK @ MILWAUKEE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

KNICKS TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • 10-23 ATS in last 33 games following an ATS win.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.

BUCKS TRENDS

  • 9-2 ATS in last 11 games vs teams below .400.
  • 12-4 ATS in last 16 games vs teams below .500.
  • 10-4 ATS in last 14 games following a ATS win.
  • 15-7 ATS in last 22 games overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Knicks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
22.12.19 NY MIL 102 : 123
03.12.19 MIL NY 132 : 88

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Brook Lopez has 13+ points in 30 of his last 31 games against the Knicks. (9.5)
  • Julius Randle has 26+ points in the Knicks’ last 4 games against Eastern Conference teams. (20.5)
  • Eric Bledsoe has 8 points or less in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 home games against the Knicks. (15.5)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has 14+ rebounds in 5 of the Bucks’ last 6 games against the Knicks. (11.5)
  • Elfrid Payton has 10+ assists in his last 2 games against the Bucks. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 11 29 6-13 5-16
MIL 35 6 18-2 17-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
NY 104.9 112.8 -7.9 217.7
MIL 119.2 106.9 +12.3 226.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIL UNDER MIL
-16.5 228.5 128-102

The Bucks are on pace for a 70-win season after reaching the midway point of their schedule, currently with a 35-6 record.

The Knicks have lost their past 6 trips to Milwaukee, including a 132-88 thumping last season. New York enters tonight on a high however, after posting a 124-121 home win over the Heat on Sunday to snap a 5-game losing skid.

Milwaukee to cruise through tonight.

OUR PICK  – UNDER 228.5


DALLAS @ GOLDEN STATE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAVERICKS TRENDS

  • 6-1-1 ATS in last 8 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
  • 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
  • 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
  • 19-6-1 ATS in last 26 road games.
  • 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games vs teams below .500.
  • 0-6 ATS in last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 14-2 in last 16 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 25-9 in last 34 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 13-6 in last 19 games as a favorite.

WARRIORS TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 10-3 in last 13 home games.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
29.12.19 GSW DAL 121 : 141
21.11.19 DAL GSW 142 : 94

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Luka Doncic has 31+ points in the Mavericks’ last 6 games as road favourites. (29.5)
  • D’Angelo Russell has 25+ points in 6 of his last 7 games. (23.5)
  • Glenn Robinson has 16+ points in 4 of the Warriors’ last 5 games against Western Conference teams. (12.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 24 15 12-10 12-5
GSW 9 32 6-13 3-19

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DAL 116.1 109.3 +6.8 225.4
GSW 104.7 112.9 -8.2 217.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DAL OVER DAL
-8.0 223.0 124-97

The Dallas Mavericks weren’t satisfied with a 3-3 homestand but at least leave home with a positive feeling after a strong second half and a win over the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday.

Golden State trailed by one point at the half at Memphis on Sunday before being outscored 35-17 in the third quarter and dropping a 122-102 decision – its eighth straight setback.

Dallas without too much worry.

OUR PICK  – DALLAS -8.0 & OVER 223.0


CLEVELAND @ LA CLIPPERS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CAVALIERS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 4-11 ATS in last 15 games vs teams above .500.
  • 2-7 ATS in last 9 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 9-4 in last 13 road games.

CLIPPERS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Lou Williams has 22+ points in 4 of the Clippers’ last 5 games. (21.5)
  • Montrezl Harrell has 23+ points in 4 of the Clippers’ last 5 games. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 12 28 6-14 6-14
LAC 27 13 17-4 10-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CLE 104.9 113.7 -8.8 218.6
LAC 115.3 109.6 +5.7 224.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CLE UNDER LAC
+15.0 225.0 128-103

The Cavs do the double LA dance, losing to the Lakers last night, and now wandering down to Staples Center again tonight to face the Clippers.

Los Angeles fell to 7-6 over its last 13 games in a  114-104 loss in Denver on Sunday after a strong 20-7 start.

Cleveland had a modest two-game winning streak end Monday when smashed 128-99 by the host Lakers.

Clippers tonight to get it done, that -14.5 doesn’t sit well.

OUR PICK  – CLEVELAND +15.0