FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 41-27
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
MIAMI @ ATLANTA
Collins is averaging 24.5 points over his last 10 games, and has 20+ over his last 7. That being said it will be interesting to see his production with the addition of Clint Capela when he suits up (currently out another 2 weeks) but until then, love the 19.5 points line for Collins tonight.
Miami give up points to PF’s 15% above the league average over the last month and I can’t see why another 25+ point outing is out of the question tonight.
DP’S PICK – JOHN COLLINS OVER 19.5 POINTS
NBA PARLAY
PARLAY
- CHARLOTTE @ CHICAGO – OVER 210.0
- MEMPHIS @ SACRAMENTO – MEMPHIS +1.5
- HOUSTON @ GOLDEN STATE – OVER 232.0
PARLAY ODDS – $6.95
PLAYER PROPS (RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES)
- MILWAUKEE @ DETROIT – GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS
- MIAMI @ ATLANTA – JOHN COLLINS OVER 19.5 POINTS
PARLAY ODDS – $3.65
Gamble Responsibly.
TREND BET
MILWAUKEE @ DETROIT
BUCKS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 11-4 ATS in last 15 games vs teams below .400.
- 19-7 ATS in last 26 games vs teams below .500.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 road games.
PISTONS TRENDS
- 6-15 ATS in last 21 games vs teams above .600.
- 7-19-1 ATS in last 27 games vs teams above .500.
- 4-14 ATS in last 18 home games.
- 10-21 ATS in last 31 games overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bucks are 19-7-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
- Bucks are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.
TREND BET – MILWAUKEE -13.0
*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
MILWAUKEE @ DETROIT
TEAM TRENDS
BUCKS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 11-4 ATS in last 15 games vs teams below .400.
- 19-7 ATS in last 26 games vs teams below .500.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 games playing on 3+ days rest.
PISTONS TRENDS
- 10-21 ATS in last 31 games overall.
- 6-15 ATS in last 21 games vs teams above .600.
- 7-19-1 ATS in last 27 games vs teams above .500.
- 4-14 ATS in last 18 home games.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 home games vs teams with a road winning % over .600.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 19-9 in last 28 overall.
- Over is 19-7 in last 26 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bucks are 19-7-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Bucks are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit.
SEASON SERIES
| 05.12.19 | DET | MIL | 103 : 127 |
| 24.11.19 | MIL | DET | 104 : 90 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 16+ rebounds in each of his last 6 games. (12.5)
- Khris Middleton has 5+ assists in 7 of the Bucks’ last 8 games. (4.5)
- Eric Bledsoe has 6+ assists in the Bucks’ last 4 games as favorites. (5.5)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 30+ points in 5 of his last 6 games. (29.5)
- Bruce Brown has 5+ assists in 6 of his last 8 games at Little Caesars Arena. (4.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIL | 46 | 8 | 25-3 | 21-5 |
| DET | 19 | 38 | 11-19 | 8-19 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIL | 119.6 | 107.5 | +12.1 | 227.1 |
| DET | 108.0 | 110.6 | -2.6 | 218.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | UNDER | MIL |
| -13.0 | 224.0 | 126-106 |
The 46-8 Bucks owns the league’s best record but will be tested over the next couple of weeks with 8 of their next 11 games on the road.
Milwaukee won 14 of 15 games prior a loss before the All-Star break, just their 5th loss in 26 road contests.
The Pistons have lost 4-straight and 10 of their last 12.
PICK – MILWAUKEE -13.0
MIAMI @ ATLANTA
TEAM TRENDS
HEAT TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Over is 12-3 in last 15 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a favorite.
HAWKS TRENDS
- 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 10-1 in last 11 home games.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 12-4 in last 16 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.
SEASON SERIES
| 11.12.19 | MIA | ATL | 135 : 121 (117 : 117) |
| 01.11.19 | ATL | MIA | 97 : 106 |
| 30.10.19 | MIA | ATL | 112 : 97 |
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PLAYER TRENDS
- John Collins has 22+ points in the Hawks’ last 7 games. (19.5)
- Goran Dragic has 17+ points in 7 of his last 8 games against the Hawks. (14.5)
- Trae Young has 34+ points in his last 5 games at State Farm Arena. (28.5)
- Jimmy Butler has 24+ points in the Heat’s last 4 games as road favorites against Eastern opponents. (22.5)
- Duncan Robinson has 17+ points in the Heat’s last 4 games. (13.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 35 | 19 | 22-3 | 13-16 |
| ATL | 15 | 41 | 9-17 | 6-24 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIA | 111.7 | 108.4 | +3.3 | 220.1 |
| ATL | 110.2 | 118.9 | -8.7 | 229.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ATL | UNDER | ATL |
| +6.5 | 230.5 | 129-124 |
The Heat finish a 6-game trip that spanned the break tonight and look like a title contender at home but owns 13-16 record on the road, dropping 4 of the first 5 on the trip, including a 116-101 loss at Utah before the break.
The Hawks are a nudge ahead of the Cavaliers in the race to avoid the worst record in the East.
Miami took each of the first 3-matchups, including a 106-97 win at Atlanta on Oct. 31st.
PICK – UNDER 230.5
CHARLOTTE @ CHICAGO
TEAM TRENDS
HORNETS TRENDS
- 22-6 ATS in last 28 games vs teams below .400.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Over is 10-2 in last 12 vs teams below .500.
BULLS TRENDS
- 17-38 ATS in last 55 home games.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-0 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Over is 12-2 in last 14 games following a straight up loss.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hornets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
- Hornets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 14.12.19 | CHI | CHA | 73 : 83 |
| 24.11.19 | CHA | CHI | 115 : 116 |
| 24.10.19 | CHA | CHI | 126 : 125 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Terry Rozier has 5+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 games. (4.5)
- Miles Bridges has 18+ points in the Hornets’ last 5 road games. (14.5)
- Cody Zeller has 11+ points in his last 5 games against the Bulls. (10.5)
- Zach LaVine has 30+ points in the Bulls’ last 4 home games against Eastern opponents. (29.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHI | 19 | 36 | 11-16 | 8-20 |
| CHA | 18 | 36 | 8-17 | 10-19 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHI | 106.4 | 109.5 | -3.1 | 215.9 |
| CHA | 102.9 | 110.2 | -7.3 | 213.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| CHI | OVER | CHA |
| -4.5 | 210.0 | 103-93 |
Chicago have been dealt a poor hand with injuries, leaving LaVine as the lone starter from the team’s starting 5 but the Bulls remain optimistic despite being 17 games under .500 and falling into the break on a 6-game losing streak.
Charlotte lost 13 of 14 before finding some groove with wins at Detroit and Minnesota.
PICK – OVER 210.0
BROOKLYN @ PHILADELPHIA
TEAM TRENDS
NETS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 4-9 ATS in last 13 games vs teams above .500.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 games vs teams above .600.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in last 10 games vs teams above .600.
76ERS TRENDS
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 home games.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
- Over is 9-2 in last 11 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nets are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Nets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
SEASON SERIES
| 21.01.20 | BKN | PHI | 111 : 117 |
| 16.01.20 | PHI | BKN | 117 : 106 |
| 16.12.19 | BKN | PHI | 109 : 89 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Josh Richardson has 4+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 games against the Nets. (3.5)
- Taurean Prince has 14+ points in the Nets’ last 4 games as road underdogs. (11.5)
- Ben Simmons has 9+ assists in the 76ers’ last 4 games. (7.5)
- Spencer Dinwiddie has 22+ points in the Nets’ last 3 games against the 76ers. (21.5)
- Ben Simmons has 20+ points in the 76ers’ last 3 games against the Nets. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BKN | 25 | 28 | 16-12 | 9-16 |
| PHI | 34 | 21 | 25-2 | 9-19 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BKN | 110.5 | 111.0 | -0.5 | 221.5 |
| PHI | 108.6 | 106.2 | +2.4 | 214.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHI | OVER | PHI |
| -6.5 | 216.5 | 112-104 1OT |
Brooklyn won 7 of its last 10 prior to the break and sit 7th place in the East, 5 games clear of the 9th-place Wizards in the battle to claim one of the 8th playoff spots.
The 76ers won their final 3 games prior to the All-Star break and are a hot 25-2 at home. However despite this home record they sitting in 5th place in the East due to their poor 9-19 road record.
Kyrie will sit out again (shoulder).
PICK – PHILADELPHIA -6.5
MEMPHIS @ SACRAMENTO
TEAM TRENDS
- Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
- Under is 17-7 in the last 24 meetings.
- Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Sacramento.
SEASON SERIES
| 03.01.20 | SAC | MEM | 128 : 123 |
| 22.12.19 | MEM | SAC | 119 : 115 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Harrison Barnes has 15+ points in his last 6 home games against the Grizzlies. (13.5)
- Buddy Hield has 22+ points in the Kings’ last 5 games against Southwest opponents. (19.5)
- De’Aaron Fox has 17 points or less in the Kings’ last 4 games. (22.5)
- Dillon Brooks has 17+ points in 4 of the Grizzlies’ last 5 road games against Pacific opponents. (16.5)
- Jaren Jackson Jr. has 18+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games against Western opponents. (16.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 28 | 26 | 16-13 | 12-13 |
| SAC | 21 | 33 | 11-15 | 10-18 |
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SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MEM | 113.0 | 114.4 | -1.4 | 227.4 |
| SAC | 107.9 | 110.8 | -2.9 | 218.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MEM | UNDER | SAC |
| +1.5 | 229.5 | 129-125 |
Memphis are a surprising 2 games above .500 and hold the 8th playoff spot in the West by 4 games over the Blazers.
Memphis won 15 of 19 behind the play of future ROY Morant, who owns averages of 17.6 points and 7.1 assists.
The Kings lost their last two games prior to the break and are in 13th place in the West – 7 games behind Memphis – and look destined to miss the playoffs for the 14th-straight season.
PICK – MEMPHIS +1.5
HOUSTON @ GOLDEN STATE
TEAM TRENDS
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games as a road favorite.
- 5-16 ATS in last 21 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 11-5-1 in last 17 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.
SEASON SERIES
| 26.12.19 | GSW | HOU | 116 : 104 |
| 07.11.19 | HOU | GSW | 129 : 112 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Draymond Green has 9+ rebounds in his last 7 games against the Rockets. (7.5)
- Russell Westbrook has 32+ points in his last 5 road games. (31.5)
- Damion Lee has 18+ points in his last 4 games against Southwest opponents. (14.5)
- James Harden has made 5+ three-pointers in the Rockets’ last 4 games as favorites against the Warriors. (4.5)
- Marquese Chriss has 17+ points in the Warriors’ last 3 games. (14.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 34 | 20 | 19-8 | 15-12 |
| GSW | 12 | 43 | 7-19 | 5-24 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| HOU | 118.2 | 114.5 | +3.7 | 232.7 |
| GSW | 106.3 | 114.7 | -8.4 | 221.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | OVER | HOU |
| -10.0 | 232.0 | 135-105 |
Houston comes out of the break as 5th spot in the West – 2 games behind 4th-place Utah and 3 1/2 in back of 2nd-place Denver. The Rockets dropped 2-straight before beating Boston 116-105 and are 5-2 since going to a lineup that spreads the floor and regularly features no player taller than 6-7.
The NBA-worst Warriors are looking to teach its playbook to a slew of new players while Curry and Thompson mend and new addition Andrew Wiggins, who was acquired from the Timberwolves at the trade deadline, is settling in nicely but still looking for his first win as a Warrior.
PICK – OVER 232.0
