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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 41-24
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
SAN ANTONIO @ PORTLAND
Lillard is flat out balling in early 2020, and not just in regards to his points output.
He’s also dishing dimes like they’re going out of fashion over the last 3 weeks. with an average of 9.5 assists, and has cleared the 8.5 assists line in his last 5 games, 4 of those being 10+ assist outings.
Over the last month, point guards against San Antonio tally assists 13% above the LEAGUE average, and with that being said, I look to lock up my 41st win tonight.
DP’S PICK – DAMIAN LILLARD OVER 8.5 ASSISTS – WIN
PARLAY
LATE PLAYER PROP PARLAY
- SAN ANTONIO @ PORTLAND – DAMIAN LILLARD OVER 8.5 ASSISTS
- HOUSTON @ LA LAKERS – ANTHONY DAVIS OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS
ODDS – $3.64 – WIN
TREND BET
SAN ANTONIO @ PORTLAND
SPURS TRENDS
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 11-3 in last 14 games following a straight up loss.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 20-6-1 in last 27 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
- Over is 35-15-1 in last 51 home games.
- Over is 27-11-1 in last 39 games as a home favorite.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
TREND BET – OVER 228.0 – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
ORLANDO @ NEW YORK
TEAM TRENDS
MAGIC TRENDS
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 road games vs teams with a home winning % below .400.
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games as a road favorite.
- 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a favorite.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 0-4-1 ATS in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 15-5-1 in last 21 overall.
- Under is 3-1-1 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 19-9 in last 28 vs teams below .400.
KNICKS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 games overall.
- 2-11 ATS in last 13 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Under is 28-11 in last 39 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 10-4 in last 14 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Magic are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York.
- Magic are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.
SEASON SERIES
| 31.10.19 | ORL | NY | 95 : 83 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Nikola Vucevic has 24+ points in the Magic’s last 4 games as road favorites against Atlantic opponents. (TBC)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ORL | 22 | 29 | 13-12 | 9-17 |
| NY | 15 | 36 | 7-18 | 8-18 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| ORL | 103.3 | 104.8 | -1.5 | 208.1 |
| NY | 104.5 | 111.7 | -7.2 | 216.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Orlando | UNDER | NY |
| -3.0 | 206.5 | 105-103 |
THE RUB
As the trade deadline ticks over, some teams may be filling out an undermanned lineup with players heading out the door. The Knicks are floating arguably their best player this season in Morris Snr. The Magic to reap the rewards of an incoherent New York team.
PICK – Orlando -3.0
NEW ORLEANS @ CHICAGO
TEAM TRENDS
PELICANS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .500.
- 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 road games.
- 15-5-1 ATS in last 21 games overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 14-5 in last 19 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
BULLS TRENDS
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .400.
- 17-37 ATS in last 54 home games.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 11-4 in last 15 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pelicans are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
SEASON SERIES
| 09.01.20 | NOR | CHI | 123 : 108 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Zach LaVine has 25 points or less in 7 of the Bulls’ last 8 games. (27.5)
- Brandon Ingram has 25+ points in 6 of his last 7 games with his team as a road favourite. (23.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NOR | 20 | 31 | 10-16 | 10-15 |
| CHI | 19 | 33 | 11-15 | 8-18 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NOR | 114.9 | 117.2 | -2.3 | 232.1 |
| CHI | 105.9 | 108.7 | -2.8 | 214.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| New Orleans | Over | NOR |
| -4.5 | 231.0 | 125-119 |
THE RUB
The Bulls sliding door of healthy players continues while their is some doubt with Zion’s big toe. As we keep preaching, stay away from Chicago!
PICK – New Orleans -4.5
PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE
TEAM TRENDS
76ERS TRENDS
- 6-18-2 ATS in last 26 road games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 0-6-1 ATS in last 7 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 9-2 in last 11 games after allowing 125+ points in their last game.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 road games.
BUCKS TRENDS
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
- 19-8 ATS in last 27 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as a home favorite.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 26.12.19 | PHI | MIL | 121 : 109 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Eric Bledsoe has 11 points or less in 8 of his last 9 home games against Eastern opponents. (15.5)
- Khris Middleton has 23+ points in the Bucks’ last 5 games at Fiserv Forum. (20.5)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 14+ rebounds in his last 5 games. (13.5)
- Ben Simmons has 9+ assists in the 76ers’ last 4 games against the Bucks. (7.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHI | 31 | 20 | 22-2 | 9-18 |
| MIL | 43 | 7 | 23-3 | 20-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHI | 108.4 | 106.1 | +2.3 | 214.5 |
| MIL | 120.0 | 107.6 | +12.4 | 227.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Milwaukee | Over | MIL |
| -9.0 | 226.0 | 112-101 |
THE RUB
The 76ers have somewhat addressed their woes with bench depth in acquiring Burks and Robinson from the Warriors last night. Although they wont have them suited up in this game.
PICK – Milwaukee -9.0
SAN ANTONIO @ PORTLAND
TEAM TRENDS
SPURS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 11-3 in last 14 games following a straight up loss.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 home games.
- 2-6-1 ATS in last 9 games as a favorite.
- 1-6-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 20-6-1 in last 27 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
- Over is 35-15-1 in last 51 home games.
- Over is 27-11-1 in last 39 games as a home favorite.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Spurs are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
- Over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
SEASON SERIES
| 17.11.19 | SAS | POR | 116 : 121 |
| 29.10.19 | SAS | POR | 113 : 110 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Damian Lillard has 36+ points in the Blazers’ last 5 games at Moda Center. (32.5)
- LaMarcus Aldridge has 22+ points in his last games against Northwest opponents. (17.5)
- DeMar DeRozan has 26+ points in the Spurs’ last 4 games as underdogs. (24.5)
- C.J. McCollum has 24+ points in 5 of the Blazers’ last 6 games against the Spurs. (21.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| POR | 23 | 28 | 13-11 | 10-17 |
| SAS | 22 | 28 | 14-12 | 8-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| POR | 113.3 | 115.0 | -1.7 | 228.3 |
| SAS | 113.2 | 114.1 | -0.9 | 227.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Portland | Under | POR |
| -3.0 | 231.0 | 125-117 |
THE RUB
Two teams who could be lining up with all kinds of players tonight if some trades are executed. What we do know is that Lillard isn’t going anywhere who is on an absolute tear.
PICK – Portland -3.0
HOUSTON @ LA LAKERS
TEAM TRENDS
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .600.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .500.
- 2-7 ATS in last 9 road games.
- Over is 9-0 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
LAKERS TRENDS
- 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs teams above .600.
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 home games.
- Over is 10-2 in Lakers last 12 overall.
- Over is 8-3 in Lakers last 11 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 games following an ATS win.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Rockets are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Rockets are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 19.01.20 | HOU | LAL | 115 : 124 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kyle Kuzma has 18+ points in 7 of his last 8 games against the Rockets. (15.5)
- LeBron James has 29+ points in his last 3 games against the Rockets. (27.5)
- Anthony Davis has 11+ rebounds in 6 of his last 8 games against the Rockets. (10.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 32 | 18 | 18-7 | 14-11 |
| LAL | 38 | 11 | 17-6 | 21-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| HOU | 118.8 | 114.5 | +4.3 | 233.3 |
| LAL | 114.3 | 106.8 | +7.5 | 221.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LA Lakers | OVER | HOU |
| -6.0 | 238.5 | 121-111 |
THE RUB
Tonight will be a good check to see if size does matter in the NBA for 2020. The Rockets just traded their Center in Capela with their next backup in Tucker is 6’6 tall. Will be interesting to see if he can stop any of Davis, Howard and McGee. They better hope they aren’t firing blanks from the arc.
PICK – LA Lakers WIN
