*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS @ INDIANA PACERS
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
East Semifinals – Game 3 (Indiana leads series 2-0)
Team & Totals Trends:
- Pacers have won 16 of their last 18 home games
- 7 of the Cavaliers’ last 8 playoff games have gone over
- Pacers have covered in 8 of their last 9 playoff games vs. Cavaliers
- Cavaliers have won the 1st quarter in 6 of their last 7 games
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CLE | 64 | 18 | 34-7 | 30-11 |
| IND | 50 | 32 | 29-11 | 20-20 |
SEASON POINTS AVERAGE
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOTAL |
| CLE | 121.9 | 112.4 | +9.5 | 234.3 |
| IND | 117.4 | 115.1 | +2.3 | 232.5 |
SEASON SERIES
| DATE | RESULT |
| Jan 13, 2025 | IND 108 @ CLE 93 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CLE 127 @ IND 117 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | CLE 112 @ IND 114 |
| Apr 14, 2025 | IND 126 @ CLE 118 (OT) |
| GAME 1 | IND 121 @ CLE 112 |
| GAME 2 | IND 120 @ CLE 119 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| CLE | OVER | |
| -2.5 | 225.5 |
The Pacers return home to Gainbridge Fieldhouse for Game 3 of their Eastern Semi-final series against the Cavaliers, holding a 2-0 lead. Indiana completed a dramatic comeback in Game 2, overcoming a seven-point deficit in the final minute to win 120-119 and extend their winning streak against Cleveland to four games.
The Pacers’ perimeter defense made the difference, limiting the Cavaliers to just 11-of-39 (28.2%) from three-point range. Myles Turner was a force on both ends, finishing with 23 points and 5 blocks, helping Indiana improve to 7-0 this season when he scores 20 or more.
Donovan Mitchell carried the load for Cleveland, erupting for a season-high 48 points, along with 9 assists and 4 steals (tying his season high). The Cavaliers remain shorthanded, with Darius Garland, De’Andre Hunter, and Evan Mobley all listed as questionable heading into Game 3.
PICK – OVER 225.5 TOTAL POINTS
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER @ DENVER NUGGETS
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
West Semifinals – Game 3 (Series tied 1-1)
Team & Totals Trends:
- Nuggets have won 7 of their last 8 games as home underdogs vs. Western Conference opponents
- Each of the Nuggets’ last 5 games have gone over
- Underdogs have covered in each of the last 9 meetings at Ball Arena
- Thunder have won the 1st half in their last 6 games vs. the Nuggets
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 68 | 14 | 35-6 | 32-8 |
| DEN | 50 | 32 | 26-15 | 24-17 |
SEASON POINTS AVERAGE
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOTAL |
| OKC | 120.5 | 107.6 | +12.9 | 228.1 |
| DEN | 120.8 | 116.9 | +3.9 | 237.7 |
SEASON SERIES
| DATE | RESULT |
| Oct 25, 2024 | OKC 102 @ DEN 87 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | OKC 122 @ DEN 124 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEN 103 @ OKC 127 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | DEN 140 @ OKC 127 |
| GAME 1 | DEN 121 @ OKC 119 |
| GAME 2 | DEN 106 @ OKC 149 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| OKC | OVER | |
| -5.5 | 233.5 |
The Thunder and Nuggets head to Ball Arena for Game 3 of their Western Semi-final series, with the matchup tied 1-1. The Thunder responded emphatically in Game 2 with a 149-106 blowout win, matching the most points Denver has allowed in a non-overtime game since 1991.
Oklahoma City combined explosive offense with lockdown defense, forcing 21 Nuggets turnovers and holding them to just 37.9% shooting from the field (33-of-87). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the charge with 34 points and 8 assists on a hyper-efficient 11-of-13 shooting performance.
The Thunder have now won 17 consecutive games when Gilgeous-Alexander shoots 60% or better from the floor. As the series shifts to Denver, the Nuggets will look to regroup and reclaim momentum on their home court.
PICK – OVER 233.5 TOTAL POINTS
