Tonight’s NBA Picks
*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.
Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.
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LA Clippers @ New Orleans
H2H Trends –
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- LA Clippers are 5-16 ATS in the last 21 meetings in New Orleans.
- Over is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in New Orleans.
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
LA Clippers | 5 | 6 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
New Orleans | 6 | 6 | 1-3 | 5-3 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
LA Clippers | 107.8 | 105.3 | +2.5 |
New Orleans | 107.3 | 107.5 | -0.2 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
LA Clippers | Over | New Orleans |
+6.5 | 213.5 | 111-103 |
The Clippers rank 20th in defensive efficiency and the Pelicans rank 7th in tempo of play. Like the Overs, H2H is dangerous.
Best Bet = Over 213.5
Atlanta @ Washington
H2H Trends –
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Atlanta | 2 | 10 | 0-4 | 2-6 |
Washington | 6 | 5 | 3-3 | 3-2 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Atlanta | 103.2 | 110.6 | -7.4 |
Washington | 111.4 | 108.3 | +3.1 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Atlanta | Over | Washington |
+10.5 | 220.5 | 113-94 |
Both the Hawks and Wizards rank top ten in tempo and the Wizards rank 8th in offensive efficiency. Like the Overs.
Will stay clear of the line.
Best Bet = Over 220.5
Memphis @ Houston
H2H Trends –
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 25-11 in the last 36 meetings in Houston
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Memphis | 7 | 4 | 4-2 | 3-2 |
Houston | 9 | 3 | 3-2 | 6-1 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Memphis | 101.5 | 98.0 | +3.5 |
Houston | 110.5 | 104.1 | +6.4 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Houston | Over | Houston |
-6.0 | 209.5 | 111-96 |
Best Bet = Houston H2H
Memphis rank 3rd in offensive efficiency and the Rockets rank 2nd in offensive efficiency so like the Overs here again. Seems to be the trend of the night, even with Under 25-11 in the last 36 meetings in Houston.
Houston at home the best bet.
Sacramento @ New York
H2H Trends –
- Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
- Cavaliers are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Sacramento | 3 | 8 | 2-3 | 1-5 |
New York | 6 | 5 | 5-2 | 1-3 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Sacramento | 95.2 | 104.2 | -9.0 |
New York | 105.4 | 106.3 | -0.9 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
New York | Over | New York |
-5.0 | 204.5 | 118-91 |
Best Bet = Over 205.5
Sac start a 3 game road trip tonight. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and we will roll with them in a close one.
As a betting man, I’m staying miles away from this one…
Cleveland @ Dallas
H2H Trends –
- Cleveland are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
- Cleveland are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Cleveland | 5 | 7 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
Dallas | 2 | 10 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Cleveland | 110.2 | 114.2 | -4.0 |
Dallas | 99.2 | 107.1 | -7.9 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Cleveland | Under | Cleveland |
-5.5 | 218.0 | 111-104 |
Best Bet = Cleveland – 5.5
Cleveland will get their shit together against Dallas, they just have to. The difference in ability here is miles apart.
If Cavs lose this I’m done with NBA forever…
Lebron rolled his ankle last out so may be minute restrictions.
Philadelphia @ Golden State
H2H Trends –
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Orlando are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Denver.
- Orlando are 5-11-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Philadelphia | 6 | 5 | 2-2 | 4-3 |
Golden State | 9 | 3 | 4-2 | 5-1 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Philadelphia | 107.4 | 107.5 | -0.2 |
Golden State | 119.1 | 107.8 | +11.2 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Philadelphia | Under | Golden State |
+14.0 | 230.0 | 135-114 |
Best Bet = Philadelphia +14.0
Golden State lead the league in scoring at 119.1 ppg, but rank a lowly 22nd on defense at 107.8. Despite their defensive woes they have an almost 12-point differential that is by far the best in the league.
Spreads a bit large for us, like the 76ers to cover.
LA Lakers @ Milwaukee
H2h Trends –
- LA Lakers are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
LA Lakers | 5 | 7 | 4-3 | 1-4 |
Milwaukee | 5 | 6 | 2-3 | 3-3 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
LA Lakers | 104.7 | 107.6 | -2.9 |
Milwaukee | 104.4 | 106.7 | -2.4 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Milwaukee | Under | Milwaukee |
-5.0 | 214.0 | 98-90 |
Best Bet = Milwaukee H2H
The Bucks H2H here is going straight into the parlay. Like the Unders also, especially if Lonzo is jacking up some horrid shots.
Chicago @ San Antonio
H2h Trends –
- Chicago are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in San Antonio.
- Under is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Chicago | 2 | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
San Antonio | 7 | 5 | 5-2 | 2-3 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Chicago | 93.6 | 101.0 | -7.4 |
San Antonio | 100.5 | 100.1 | +0.4 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
San Antonio | Over | San Antonio |
-11.5 | 194.0 | 133-94 |
Best Bet = NOPE
No player on the Bulls roster is putting up more than 16 ppg and it’s fair to say they are the mayor of Struggletown in the NBA.
Spurs should win and cover here in a slog. Overs if you’re a sicko.
Orlando @ Denver
H2h Trends –
- Memphis are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Orlando | 8 | 4 | 4-2 | 4-2 |
Denver | 7 | 5 | 5-2 | 2-3 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Orlando | 110.8 | 106.2 | +4.7 |
Denver | 106.2 | 105.1 | +1.1 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Denver | Under | Denver |
-8.0 | 222.0 | 125-107 |
Best Bet = Denver H2H
The Nuggets have been tough to gauge from a betting standpoint. The Under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 overall and we are expecting Unders and a Denver win at the line.
Orlando is on their 2nd game in as many nights against a young rested Nuggets. That thin air of Denver won’t help them.
Minnesota @ Phoenix
H2h Trends –
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.
- Minnesota are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Minnesota | 7 | 4 | 4-1 | 3-3 |
Phoenix | 4 | 9 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Minnesota | 108.6 | 111.2 | -2.5 |
Phoenix | 106.2 | 116.7 | -10.5 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Minnesota | Under | Phoenix |
-9.0 | 227.0 | 118-110 |
Best Bet = Under 227.0
Minnesota have won 4 of their past 5 and they’ll come in here trying to make a statement. Staying clear of this one. Like the Unders though.
Brooklyn @ Utah
H2h Trends –
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Win/Loss
TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
Brooklyn | 5 | 7 | 3-2 | 2-5 |
Utah | 5 | 7 | 5-3 | 0-4 |
Season Points +/-
TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
Brooklyn | 111.0 | 114.6 | -3.60 |
Utah | 97.0 | 99.1 | -2.10 |
Picks against the spread
Spread | O/U Points | Result |
Brooklyn | Under | Utah |
+9.5 | 210.0 | 114-106 |
Best Bet = Over 210.0
Brooklyn comes into this game on the second night of a back to back but that -9.5 line is a bit much, especially for a Utah team that without elite offense.
Overs best.