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NBA Playoff Round 1 Picks – Wednesday, 29th April

April 29, 2026

Game 5 brings elimination pressure and series-defining momentum swings. Detroit and Los Angeles look to close at home, while Cleveland returns to a pivotal best-of-three scenario against Toronto.

ORLANDO MAGIC @ DETROIT PISTONS

Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Odds: ORL $4.20 / DET $1.24
East 1st Round – Game 5 (ORL leads 3-1)

Detroit’s +8.2 differential and elite 109.6 OPPG defense give them a structural edge despite trailing the series. Orlando holds a modest +0.6 differential and now has the opportunity to close it out. Expect Detroit to control tempo and lean on defensive pressure.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
ORL	45	37	25-15	20-22
DET	60	22	31-9	28-13

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
ORL	115.7	115.1	+0.6	230.8
DET	117.8	109.6	+8.2	227.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
DET	OVER	DET
-9.5	211.5	116-109

PICK – OVER 211.5 TOTAL POINTS

TORONTO RAPTORS @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
Odds: TOR $3.80 / CLE $1.28
East 1st Round – Game 5 (Series tied 2-2)

Cleveland’s +4.1 differential and 27-14 home record provide a slight edge in this swing game. Toronto sits at +2.8 differential and has proven competitive defensively (111.8 OPPG). Expect a controlled tempo and possession battle late.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
TOR	46	36	24-17	22-19
CLE	52	30	27-14	25-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
TOR	114.6	111.8	+2.8	226.4
CLE	119.5	115.4	+4.1	234.9

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
CLE	OVER	CLE
+8.5	215.5	125-120

PICK – CLEVELAND +8.5

HOUSTON ROCKETS @ LOS ANGELES LAKERS

Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Odds: HOU $2.50 / LAL $1.56
West 1st Round – Game 5 (LAL leads 3-1)

Houston enters with a strong +5.2 differential and 115.2 PPG offense, but Los Angeles’ 28-13 home record and playoff experience loom large in a closeout scenario. Expect controlled half-court sets and defensive adjustments to define late-game execution.

WIN/LOSS