NFL – Best Bets & Player Props – Wild Card Round

nfl wild card round picks

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These free NFL picks and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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LOS ANGELES CHARGERS @ HOUSTON TEXANS

Saturday, 11th January

NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Chargers have won their last 8 games as favs vs. AFC opponents.
  • The Chargers’ last 4 games have gone over.
  • The Chargers have covered the line in their last 5 road games.
  • The Texans’ opponents have scored last in their last 6 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 11 6 5-3 6-3
HOU 10 7 5-3 5-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAC 23.6 17.7 +5.9 41.3
HOU 21.9 21.9 +0.0 43.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
LAC OVER
-2.5 42.5
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Dalton Schultz has a TD in 3 of his last 4 postseason games.
  • Nico Collins has a TD in 6 of his last 7 home games.
  • Quentin Johnston has a TD in 4 of the Chargers’ last 7 games as favs.
  • Justin Herbert has 2+ passing TDs in the Chargers’ last 4 games.
  • Herbert has 275+ passing yards in the Chargers’ last 3 games.
  • J.K. Dobbins has 50+ rushing yards in his last 6 games as favs.
  • C.J. Stroud has 225+ passing yards in 11 of his last 14 home games.
  • Stroud has 1+ passing TD in 16 of his last 17 home games.
  • Ladd McConkey has 80+ receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 games.
  • Joe Mixon has 19+ rush attempts in his last 3 games vs. the Chargers.
  • Ka’imi Fairbairn has 8+ kicking points in 5 of the Texans’ last 6 home games.
  • The Texans’ D/ST has a TD in their last 3 postseason games.

MATCH PREVIEW

The Wild Card Round kicks off with the Texans hosting the Chargers at NRG Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The Chargers enter as the in-form team, riding a three-game winning streak and seeking their first playoff victory since 2018.

Houston, hosting a playoff game for the second consecutive season as AFC South champions, has dealt with injuries and a late-season slump. C.J. Stroud showcased efficiency last week against the Titans, completing 6-of-6 passes on the opening drive, including a touchdown to Nico Collins, before being rested.

Stroud shined in last year’s Wild Card Round, throwing three touchdown passes in a rout of the Browns, but will face a tougher challenge against a Chargers defense that ranks first in points allowed.

Justin Herbert, still hunting his first postseason win, leads a Chargers offense looking to capitalize on their momentum in what promises to be a compelling playoff opener.

PICK – LA CHARGERS -2.5

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PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ BALTIMORE RAVENS

Saturday, 11th January

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

TEAM TRENDS

  • 8 of the last 9 games between the Steelers and Ravens have gone under.
  • The Steelers have lost their last 5 postseason games.
  • The underdogs have covered the line in 9 of the last 11 games between the Steelers and Ravens.
  • The Steelers have lost the 1st quarter in their last 6 games.
  • The Ravens’ first scoring play has been a touchdown in their last 4 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PIT 10 7 5-3 5-4
BAL 12 5 6-3 6-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PIT 22.4 20.4 +2.0 42.8
BAL 30.5 21.2 +9.3 51.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
PIT OVER
+9.5 43.5
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Mark Andrews has a TD in the Ravens’ last 6 games.
  • Najee Harris has a TD in 6 of the Steelers’ last 9 road games vs. AFC North teams.
  • Pat Freiermuth has a TD in 4 of the Steelers’ last 6 games.
  • Isaiah Likely has a TD in the Ravens’ last 3 home games vs. the Steelers.
  • Rashod Bateman has a TD in 4 of the Ravens’ last 5 home games vs. AFC North teams.
  • Jaylen Warren has 33+ rushing yards in the Steelers’ last 5 games vs. the Ravens.
  • Najee Harris has 41+ rushing yards in 8 of the Steelers’ last 9 games vs. AFC teams.
  • George Pickens has 74+ receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games as a road underdog.
  • Lamar Jackson has 207+ passing yards in the Ravens’ last 6 home games.
  • T.J. Watt has 0.5+ sacks in 11 of the Steelers’ last 12 games vs. the Ravens.
  • Kyle Van Noy has 1.0+ sacks in his last 5 games.
  • Lamar Jackson has 1+ interceptions in his last 6 games vs. the Steelers.

MATCH PREVIEW

Baltimore and Pittsburgh clash at M&T Bank Stadium in a high-stakes playoff battle between division rivals with contrasting trajectories.

Baltimore, riding a four-game winning streak, locked up the AFC North with a commanding 35-10 Week 18 win over the Browns. Derrick Henry dominated that game, rushing for 138 yards and two touchdowns, as the Ravens extended their streak of victories by 17+ points.

In stark contrast, Pittsburgh enters on a four-game losing skid, their longest since 2009. The Steelers’ offense has struggled mightily, scoring 17 points or fewer in each loss, with Russell Wilson unable to replicate the midseason form that had Pittsburgh atop the division.

These teams split their regular-season meetings, with Baltimore snapping Pittsburgh’s four-game win streak at M&T Bank Stadium.

PICK – OVER 43.5 TOTAL POINTS

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DENVER BRONCOS @ BUFFALO BILLS

Sunday, 12th January

Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

TEAM TRENDS

  • The favourites have covered in 12 of the Broncos’ last 13 games.
  • The Bills have won their last 8 home games.
  • The Broncos’ last 4 postseason games has gone UNDER.
  • The Broncos have scored first in 7 of their last 8 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 10 7 6-2 4-5
BUF 13 4 8-0 5-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 25.0 18.3 +6.7 43.3
BUF 30.9 21.6 +9.3 52.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BUF OVER
-8.5 47.5
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Dawson Knox has scored the first touchdown in the Bills’ last 4 Wild Card Round games.
  • James Cook has a TD in 7 of the Bills’ last 8 games.
  • Josh Allen has a TD in the Bills’ last 5 home games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • Courtland Sutton has a TD in 3 of the Broncos’ last 4 games.
  • Marvin Mims Jr. has a TD in 3 of the Broncos’ last 5 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

Denver, fresh off their largest win since 1976, return to the playoffs and will visit the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium.

Josh Allen played one snap in last week’s loss to the Patriots, extending his streak of consecutive starts to 115 before he and most of Buffalo’s starters were rested with the No.2 seed already secured.

Denver’s playoff path was eased by the Chiefs resting their stars, allowing Bo Nix to rack up 321 passing yards and four touchdowns in a dominant performance to finish his rookie season ranked sixth in the NFL for passing touchdowns.

The Bills are undefeated at home this season and are hosting their fifth consecutive Wild Card game, winning each of the previous four. Denver, however, will be aiming for its first postseason victory since Super Bowl 50, when current Bills star Von Miller was named the MVP.

PICK – OVER 47.5 TOTAL POINTS

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GREEN BAY PACKERS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Sunday, 12th January

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Packers have won the first quarter in 9 of their last 10 games as underdogs.
  • The Eagles have won 12 of their last 13 games.
  • The Eagles’ last 8 January games has gone UNDER.
  • The Eagles have been the first to 20 points in their last 13 games.
  • The underdogs have covered in each of the Packers’ last 4 postseason games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GB 11 6 6-3 5-3
PHI 14 3 8-1 6-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
GB 27.1 19.9 +7.2 47.0
PHI 30.9 17.8 +13.1 48.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
PHI UNDER
-4.5 45.5
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Josh Jacobs has a TD in the Packers’ last 8 games.
  • DeVonta Smith has a TD in 6 of his last 7 home games.
  • Tucker Kraft has a TD in 4 of the Packers’ last 7 games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • Saquon Barkley has 2+ TDs in each of his last 2 games vs. the Packers.

MATCH PREVIEW

Green Bay will take on the Eagles in the Wild Card Round at Lincoln Financial Field.

The Eagles, despite resting several starters, secured a 20-13 win over the Giants in their regular-season finale, earning their 14th victory of the season and extending their home win streak to seven games. Meanwhile, the Packers fell 24-22 to the Bears, finishing their regular season on a down note.

This matchup features two of the NFL’s top running backs. Josh Jacobs ranks fourth in the league with 15 rushing touchdowns, including 12 over his last eight games. Saquon Barkley made history by becoming the ninth player to rush for 2,000 yards in a season, despite sitting out the finale against his former team.

The two teams previously met in Brazil to kick off their 2024 campaigns, with the Eagles coming out on top 34-29. A key storyline heading into this game is the health of both quarterbacks: Jalen Hurts has missed the last two games due to a concussion, while Jordan Love is dealing with an elbow injury.

PICK – PHILADELPHIA -4.5

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WASHINGTON COMMANDERS @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

Sunday, 12th January

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Buccaneers’ last 4 games have gone OVER.
  • The Commanders have lost their last 5 postseason games.
  • The Buccaneers have covered 8 of their last 11 games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • The Buccaneers’ first score has been a touchdown in 5 of their last 7 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
WAS 12 5 7-2 5-3
TB 10 7 5-4 5-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
WAS 28.5 23.0 +5.5 51.5
TB 29.5 22.6 +6.9 52.1

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
WAS OVER
+2.5 50.5
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Brian Robinson has a TD in 9 of his last 10 games as a road underdog.
  • Jalen McMillan has a TD in the Buccaneers’ last 5 games.
  • Rachaad White has a TD in the Buccaneers’ last 4 games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • Mike Evans has a TD in 4 of his last 5 games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • Bucky Irving has a TD in 5 of the Buccaneers’ last 6 games vs. NFC teams.
  • Terry McLaurin has a TD in 5 of the Commanders’ last 6 games.
  • Zach Ertz has a TD in 5 of the Commanders’ last 7 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

The Commanders face the Buccaneers in a Wild Card showdown at Raymond James Stadium, with both teams riding impressive streaks.

The Commanders enter the playoffs on a five-game winning streak, their longest unbeaten run since Week 17, 2012.

The Buccaneers extended their home winning streak to three games with a 27-19 victory over the Saints, aiming to win four in a row at home for the first time since 2021.

A key focus for Washington will be slowing down Mike Evans, who recently reached his 11th season with 1,000+ receiving yards, tying Jerry Rice’s NFL record. Evans will face off against Washington’s third-ranked pass defense, which will be challenged by Tampa Bay’s dominant pass rush, with 44 sacks in their last 14 games.

Washington’s offensive line has allowed 50 sacks this season, so protecting quarterback Jayden Daniels will be crucial as they look to avenge their 37-20 season-opening loss to the Buccaneers at this same venue.

PICK – WASHINGTON +2.5

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MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ LOS ANGELES RAMS

Monday. 13th January

SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Vikings have been the first to 10 points in 15 of their last 17 games.
  • The Vikings have won 9 of their last 10 games.
  • The Vikings’ last 7 Monday games have gone UNDER.
  • The Rams have failed to cover in their last 4 Monday games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 14 3 8-1 6-2
LAR 10 7 5-4 5-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIN 28.8 22.1 +6.7 50.9
LAR 21.6 22.7 -1.1 44.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIN OVER
-1.5 47.0
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyren Williams has scored the first touchdown in each of his last 3 home games.
  • Kyren Williams has a TD in 11 of his last 12 home games.
  • Aaron Jones has a TD in each of his last 5 Monday games.
  • Cooper Kupp has a TD in 4 of the Rams’ last 5 postseason games.
  • Jordan Addison has a TD in 3 of the Vikings’ last 4 road games.

MATCH PREVIEW

The Wild Card Round concludes on Monday as the Minnesota Vikings face the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. Both teams are looking to rebound after streak-ending losses in the final week of the regular season.

The Rams, who rested several starters, fell to the Seahawks, ending their five-game winning streak.

The Vikings saw their nine-game unbeaten run come to a decisive halt with a 31-9 loss to the Lions, a game that determined the NFC’s top seed and a first-round bye.

Defensive performance will be key as both teams try to contain two of the league’s elite receivers, Justin Jefferson and Puka Nacua. Both players surpassed 100 receiving yards in their earlier meeting this season, where the Rams claimed a 30-20 victory at SoFi Stadium.

The Vikings will be eager to reverse that result and snap a three-game skid against the Rams to secure a spot in the Divisional Round. This matchup promises to be a thrilling clash as both teams aim to advance in the postseason.

PICK – OVER 47.0 TOTAL POINTS

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