Free NFL Picks & Parlays

NFL – Sunday NFL Picks & Player Props – Week 17

December 29, 2024

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These free NFL expert picks and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

NEW YORK JETS @ BUFFALO BILLS

Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

TEAM TRENDS

8 of the Bills’ last 10 home games have gone overs.
The Bills have won their last 7 home games.
The Jets have failed to cover the line in 9 of their last 12 games.
The Bills have scored last in 11 of the Jets’ last 12 games.
In the Jets’ last 4 road games, the first score has been an opponent touchdown.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
NYJ	4	11	2-5	2-6
BUF	12	3	7-0	5-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
NYJ	19.5	23.8	-4.3	43.3
BUF	31.3	22.1	+9.2	53.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
BUF	OVER	BUF
-10.5	46.5	40-14

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

Davante Adams has scored a touchdown in the Jets’ last 4 games.
James Cook has scored a touchdown in 5 of the Bills’ last 6 games.
Breece Hall has scored a touchdown in 5 of his last 6 road games vs. AFC teams.
Josh Allen has scored 2+ touchdowns in 3 of the Bills’ last 4 games.
Aaron Rodgers has passed for 244+ yards in the Jets’ last 4 games as underdogs.
Aaron Rodgers has avoided an interception in 7 of the Jets’ last 8 games.
Josh Allen has thrown an interception in the Bills’ last 4 home games vs. AFC East teams.
Breece Hall has rushed for 52+ yards in 6 of his last 7 games.
James Cook has rushed for 100+ yards in 3 of the Bills’ last 4 games.
Khalil Shakir has recorded 50+ receiving yards in 4 of the Bills’ last 5 games vs. AFC teams.
Breece Hall has 50+ receiving yards in the Jets’ last 2 games vs. the Bills.
Josh Allen has passed for 235+ yards in 4 of the Bills’ last 5 games vs. AFC teams.

MATCH PREVIEW

The Jets will look to pull off an upset when they visit the Bills at Highmark Stadium.

Buffalo extended its winning ways at home with a 24-21 comeback win over the Patriots, erasing a 14-point deficit for its seventh straight victory at this venue, matching its longest home unbeaten streak since 1990-91. James Cook was pivotal, scoring twice to bring his season total to 16 touchdowns, tied for the league lead. Buffalo’s potent ground attack, led by Cook and Josh Allen, will test a Jets defence that has allowed 19 rushing touchdowns this season.

The Jets are reeling from a 19-9 loss to the Rams, where they failed to score after halftime. Aaron Rodgers, averaging 294.7 passing yards over his last three games, will aim to exploit a vulnerable Buffalo secondary allowing 348.7 yards per game over its last three outings.

The Bills narrowly defeated the Jets 23-20 in their Week 6 clash, setting the stage for another tight divisional matchup.

PICK – OVER 46.5 TOTAL POINTS

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LAS VEGAS RAIDERS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

TEAM TRENDS

The home team has covered the line in 7 of the Saints’ last 8 games.
The Raiders have lost their last 6 road games.
The Raiders’ last 4 games have gone unders.
Brock Bowers has recorded 93+ receiving yards in 5 of the Raiders’ last 7 road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
LV	3	12	2-5	1-7
NO	5	10	3-5	2-5

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
LV	17.6	30.0	-12.4	47.6
NO	20.6	23.1	-2.5	43.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
LV	OVER	LV
-1.0	37.5	25-10

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

Alexander Mattison has recorded 23+ receiving yards in 6 of his last 8 games.
Chase Young has recorded 0.5+ sacks in 6 of his last 7 games vs. AFC teams.
Alexander Mattison has recorded 16+ rush attempts in 5 of his last 6 road games vs. NFC teams.

MATCH PREVIEW

With playoff hopes long gone, the Las Vegas Raiders and New Orleans Saints square off at Caesars Superdome with pride on the line.

The Saints are coming off a humbling 34-0 loss to the Packers on Monday Night Football, their largest defeat since 2005. Rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler has struggled in his four starts, with New Orleans averaging a 24.8-point losing margin in those games, underscoring the impact of Derek Carr’s repeated absences.

The Raiders snapped a 10-game losing streak with a 19-14 win over the Jaguars. Aidan O’Connell’s return stabilized the offense, which recorded zero turnovers for the first time this season. Rookie sensation Brock Bowers added 11 receptions, moving within five catches of breaking the NFL’s single-season rookie record.

PICK – LAS VEGAS -1.0

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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ NEW YORK GIANTS

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

TEAM TRENDS

The Giants have failed to cover the line in 9 of their last 10 games.
The Giants have lost their last 10 games.
The Colts’ last 5 games at MetLife Stadium have gone overs.
The Giants’ opponents have been first to 10 points in their last 10 games.
The first score has been an opponent touchdown in the Giants’ last 6 home games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
IND	7	8	4-3	3-5
NYG	2	13	0-8	2-5

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
IND	21.2	23.9	-2.7	45.1
NYG	14.3	24.1	-9.8	38.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
IND	UNDER	NYG
-7.0	40.5	45-33

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in 6 of his last 8 games with the Colts as favorites.
Josh Downs has scored a touchdown in 3 of his last 4 games vs. teams with a losing record.
Jonathan Taylor has scored a touchdown in 8 of his last 9 games with the Colts as favorites.
Tyrone Tracy has scored a touchdown in 4 of the Giants’ last 5 games vs. teams with a losing record.
Anthony Richardson has scored a touchdown in the Colts’ last 3 games.
Devin Singletary has scored a touchdown in 4 of his last 6 games vs. AFC teams.
Drew Lock has recorded 178+ passing yards in his last 5 games as a starter.
Kwity Paye has recorded 0.5+ sacks in 5 of the Colts’ last 7 games.
Jonathan Taylor has recorded 91+ rushing yards in his last 6 games with the Colts as favorites.
Anthony Richardson has recorded 46+ rushing yards in the Colts’ last 4 games.
Malik Nabers has recorded 64+ receiving yards in the Giants’ last 5 games.
Michael Pittman Jr. has recorded 42+ receiving yards in 4 of the Colts’ last 5 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

Suffering through a franchise-record 10-game losing streak, the Giants host the Indianapolis Colts at MetLife Stadium, seeking their first win since Week 3.

The Giants are reeling from a 34-7 loss to the Falcons, marking their eighth straight game allowing 30+ points. They return home aiming to avoid an 0-9 season record at MetLife Stadium.

The Colts powered past the Titans 38-30 last week behind a franchise-record 335 rushing yards. Jonathan Taylor led the charge with 218 yards and three touchdowns, keeping Indianapolis’ slim playoff hopes alive. However, the Colts’ wild card aspirations could hinge on earlier Saturday results. Indianapolis’ league-best rushing attack faces a Giants defence ranked second-worst in rushing yards allowed, setting up a challenging matchup for the struggling New York squad.

PICK – INDIANAPOLIS -7.0

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DALLAS COWBOYS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

TEAM TRENDS

The Eagles have failed to cover the line in their last 8 home games vs. teams with a losing record.
The Eagles have won 10 of their last 11 games.
The Eagles have been the first to 20 points in their last 11 games.
The Cowboys have scored first in their last 4 games.
The Eagles’ last 3 home games have gone unders.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
DAL	7	8	2-6	5-2
PHI	12	3	6-1	6-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
DAL	21.6	26.9	-5.3	48.5
PHI	26.8	18.9	+7.9	45.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
DAL	OVER	PHI
+7.5	38.5	41-7

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

Jalen Tolbert has scored a touchdown in the Cowboys’ last 3 road games.
DeVonta Smith has scored a touchdown in 7 of the Eagles’ last 8 Sunday home games.
Saquon Barkley has scored 2 touchdowns in 3 of the Eagles’ last 4 games vs. NFC teams.
Rico Dowdle has rushed for 75+ yards in his last 4 road games.
Jake Ferguson has recorded 6+ receptions in 4 of his last 5 road games.
Saquon Barkley has rushed for 124+ yards in the Eagles’ last 4 games vs. NFC teams.
Brandon Aubrey has recorded 8+ kicking points in the Cowboys’ last 5 games.
Jake Ferguson has recorded a longest reception of 19+ yards in his last 3 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

The Eagles host the Cowboys at Lincoln Financial Field in a pivotal NFC East clash with major playoff implications.

After jumping out to an early lead against the Commanders last week, the Eagles faltered following a concussion to Jalen Hurts, falling 36-33. The loss snapped their 10-game winning streak and dropped Philadelphia a game behind the Vikings and Lions in the race for the NFC’s top seed.

The Cowboys, fresh off a 26-24 upset win over the Buccaneers, are looking for their fifth victory in six games. However, their struggling run defence, ranked 27th in yards allowed and last in touchdowns, faces a massive challenge in containing Saquon Barkley.

The NFL rushing leader with 1,838 yards and 13 touchdowns, Barkley remains the centerpiece of the Eagles’ attack as Philadelphia aims to stay in contention for home-field advantage.

PICK – OVER 38.5 TOTAL POINTS

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CAROLINA PANTHERS @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

TEAM TRENDS

The Panthers have covered the line in their last 6 games as underdogs.
The Panthers have lost their last 10 road games vs. NFC teams.
The last 4 games between the Panthers and Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium have gone overs.
3 of the Panthers’ last 4 games as underdogs vs. NFC teams have gone to overtime.
The Buccaneers have scored last in their last 4 games.
The Buccaneers have recorded a defensive interception in their last 4 home games vs. the Panthers.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
CAR	4	11	3-6	1-5
TB	8	7	3-4	5-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
CAR	18.9	29.9	-11.0	48.8
TB	28.5	23.5	+5.0	52.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
TB	OVER	TB
-8.5	47.0	48-14

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

Mike Evans has scored a touchdown in the Buccaneers’ last 4 home games vs. the Panthers.
Chuba Hubbard has scored a touchdown in 4 of the Panthers’ last 5 road games.
Jalen McMillan has scored a touchdown in the Buccaneers’ last 3 games.
Rachaad White has scored a touchdown in the Buccaneers’ last 4 home games.
Bryce Young has scored a touchdown in 3 of the Panthers’ last 4 games.
Baker Mayfield has passed for 288+ yards in the Buccaneers’ last 3 games.
Rachaad White has rushed for 75+ yards in the Buccaneers’ last 3 games vs. the Panthers.
Bucky Irving has rushed for 68+ yards in 5 of the Buccaneers’ last 6 games.
Mike Evans has recorded 89+ receiving yards in 5 of the Buccaneers’ last 6 games vs. the Panthers.

MATCH PREVIEW

NFC South rivals the Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face off at Raymond James Stadium in a pivotal matchup with playoff ramifications.

The Buccaneers’ four-game winning streak was snapped last week in a narrow 26-24 loss to the Cowboys, despite another strong showing from Baker Mayfield. Mayfield continues to impress, ranking fourth in the league with 3,920 passing yards and third with 34 touchdown passes this season.

The Panthers ended their four-game skid with a thrilling 36-30 overtime victory against the Cardinals. These teams last met in Week 13, with Tampa Bay claiming a 26-23 overtime win – their fourth straight victory over Carolina.

Both teams sit at 8-7, with the Buccaneers needing a win to keep pace with the division-leading Falcons, who hold the head-to-head tiebreaker.

PICK – OVER 47.0 TOTAL POINTS

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TENNESSEE TITANS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL

TEAM TRENDS

The Titans have failed to cover the line in 10 of their last 11 games.
The Titans have lost their last 4 games.
The Titans’ last 7 road games have gone overs.
The Titans have recorded a defensive interception in their last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
TEN	3	12	1-6	2-6
JAX	3	12	2-5	1-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
TEN	18.9	27.8	-8.9	46.7
JAX	18.5	30.2	-11.7	48.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
JAX	OVER	JAX
-1.0	39.5	20-13

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

Calvin Ridley has scored a touchdown in 5 of his last 6 road games vs. division opponents.
Brian Thomas has scored a touchdown in 4 of the Jaguars’ last 5 games at EverBank Stadium.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has scored a touchdown in 5 of the Titans’ last 6 road games.
Tank Bigsby has scored a touchdown in 3 of the Jaguars’ last 4 games vs. teams with a losing record.
Travis Etienne has scored a touchdown in 3 of his last 4 home games vs. teams with a losing record.
Mac Jones has passed for 220+ yards in the Jaguars’ last 4 games.
Tank Bigsby has rushed for 42+ yards in the Jaguars’ last 3 games.
Travis Etienne has rushed for 44+ yards in 5 of his last 6 home games at EverBank Stadium.
Calvin Ridley has recorded 63+ receiving yards in his last 6 road games vs. division opponents.
Brian Thomas has recorded 86+ receiving yards in the Jaguars’ last 3 games.
Brian Thomas has recorded a longest reception of 31+ yards in his last 4 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

With three wins each in 2024, division rivals the Titans and Jaguars will meet at EverBank Stadium, battling to avoid the AFC South cellar.

The Titans are reeling after a 38-30 loss to the Colts, their fourth straight defeat. Tennessee’s defence was gashed on the ground, surrendering 335 rushing yards and four touchdowns in a performance that highlighted their season-long struggles.

The Jaguars fell 19-14 to the Raiders in Week 16 despite an impressive outing from rookie wide receiver Brian Thomas. Thomas has been a bright spot for Jacksonville, ranking sixth in the NFL for receiving yards and equal-fifth for touchdowns. He also starred in their earlier meeting, catching eight passes for 86 yards in a 10-6 Jacksonville win at Tennessee.

PICK – OVER 39.5 TOTAL POINTS

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MIAMI DOLPHINS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS

Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH

TEAM TRENDS

The Dolphins’ last 7 road games have gone unders.
The Dolphins have covered their last 5 road games vs. teams with a losing record.
The Browns have recorded a defensive interception in 7 of their last 8 games vs. the Dolphins.
The Browns have lost their last 4 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
MIA	7	8	5-3	2-5
CLE	3	12	2-5	1-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
MIA	20.3	21.9	-1.6	42.2
CLE	16.3	25.3	-9.0	41.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
MIA	UNDER	MIA
-6.5	37.5	20-3

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

Tyreek Hill has scored a touchdown in 3 of the Dolphins’ last 4 games.
De’Von Achane has scored a touchdown in the Dolphins’ last 5 games vs. teams with a losing record.
Jonnu Smith has scored a touchdown in the Dolphins’ last 4 games vs. AFC opponents.
Jerome Ford has scored a touchdown in the Browns’ last 2 games.
Jerome Ford has rushed for 84+ yards in the Browns’ last 2 games.
David Njoku has scored a touchdown in 3 of his last 4 home games vs. teams with a losing record.
The Dolphins have been the first to 15 points in 12 of the Browns’ last 13 games.
The Browns have scored last in their last 9 home games.
Jason Sanders has made 2+ field goals in the Dolphins’ last 7 Sunday games.
Jonnu Smith has recorded 44+ receiving yards in the Dolphins’ last 8 games.
De’Von Achane has recorded 35+ receiving yards in the Dolphins’ last 4 games.
Tua Tagovailoa has passed for 234+ yards in the Dolphins’ last 4 games as favourites.

MATCH PREVIEW

Enduring a four-game losing streak, the Browns will host the Dolphins at Huntington Bank Field.

The Browns dropped to 3-12 after a 24-6 defeat to the Bengals in Week 16. Dorian Thompson-Robinson, making his first start of the season in place of Jameis Winston, struggled with two interceptions and zero touchdowns. Cleveland’s offence has now failed to score more than 10 points in three of its last four games.

The Dolphins kept their playoff hopes alive with a 29-17 win over the 49ers. Tua Tagovailoa led the way with two touchdown passes, while Miami’s defence forced three turnovers. Despite the victory, the Dolphins could be eliminated before kickoff depending on Saturday’s results.

These teams last met in Week 10, 2022, when Tagovailoa threw for 285 yards and three touchdowns in a 39-17 Miami victory.

PICK – MIAMI -6.5

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GREEN BAY PACKERS @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS

U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

TEAM TRENDS

The Vikings have won their last 8 games.
6 of the Vikings’ last 7 games vs. NFC North opponents have gone overs.
The Vikings have covered their last 3 games.
The Vikings have recorded a defensive interception in 12 of their last 15 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
GB	11	4	6-2	5-2
MIN	13	2	7-1	6-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
GB	27.5	19.1	+8.4	46.6
MIN	26.4	18.4	+8.0	44.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
MIN	OVER	MIN
-1.0	48.5	27-25

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

T.J. Hockenson has scored a TD in 3 of his last 4 games vs. the Packers.
Josh Jacobs has scored a TD in each of the Packers’ last 6 games.
Tucker Kraft has scored a TD in 5 of the Packers’ last 9 Sunday games.
Jayden Reed has scored a TD in each of the Packers’ last 2 games vs. the Vikings.
Aaron Jones has scored a TD in each of the Vikings’ last 3 home games.
Justin Jefferson has scored a TD in each of the Vikings’ last 3 games.
Sam Darnold has thrown 2+ TDs in 5 of the Vikings’ last 6 games.
T.J. Hockenson has 6+ receptions in each of his last 4 games vs. the Packers.
Aaron Jones has rushed for 67+ yards in each of the Vikings’ last 3 games.
Josh Jacobs has rushed for 62+ yards in 10 of the Packers’ last 11 games.
T.J. Hockenson has 26+ receiving yards in each of his last 25 home games.
Justin Jefferson has 81+ receiving yards in each of the Vikings’ last 6 Sunday home games.
Jordan Addison has 54+ receiving yards in each of the Vikings’ last 3 home games.
Sam Darnold has 231+ passing yards in each of the Vikings’ last 10 games.
Jordan Love has 229+ passing yards in each of the Packers’ last 3 games vs. the Vikings.
Jonathan Greenard has recorded 1.0+ sacks in 4 of the Vikings’ last 5 home games.
Josh Jacobs has recorded a longest rush of 19+ yards in each of his last 3 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

Riding their equal-longest winning streak since 2002-03, the Vikings will host division rivals the Green Bay Packers at U.S. Bank Stadium.

The Vikings edged the Seahawks 27-24 last week, with Sam Darnold connecting with Justin Jefferson for 144 yards and two touchdowns. The victory marked Minnesota’s eighth consecutive win, keeping them atop the NFC North. A ninth straight win would set the stage for a division-deciding showdown against the Lions in Week 18.

The Packers delivered a big 34-0 victory over the Saints on Monday Night Football, their largest win since 2014. Green Bay has now won five of its last six games, solidifying its playoff push.

The Week 4 clash between these teams saw Minnesota escape with a narrow 31-29 victory at Lambeau Field.

PICK – OVER 48.5 TOTAL POINTS

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ATLANTA FALCONS @ WASHINGTON COMMANDERS

FedExField, Landover, MD

TEAM TRENDS

The Falcons have failed to cover the line in their last 4 road games.
The Commanders have won their last 3 games vs. the Falcons.
The Commanders’ last 4 home games have gone over the total points line.
The Commanders have scored first in 9 of their last 11 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
ATL	8	7	4-4	4-3
WAS	10	5	6-2	4-3

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
ATL	21.8	23.3	-1.5	45.1
WAS	28.8	23.2	+5.6	52.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
WAS	OVER	WAS
-4.5	47.0	30-24 (OT)

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

Terry McLaurin has scored a TD in each of the Commanders’ last 4 games.
Bijan Robinson has scored a TD in each of the Falcons’ last 4 road games vs. NFC opponents.
Brian Robinson has scored a TD in each of the Commanders’ last 2 games vs. the Falcons.
Zach Ertz has scored a TD in each of the Commanders’ last 2 games as home favs.
Jayden Daniels has thrown 2+ TDs in each of the Commanders’ last 4 games.
Bijan Robinson has 92+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last 4 games.
Jayden Daniels has 202+ passing yards in 7 of the Commanders’ last 8 games.

MATCH PREVIEW

Riding a three-game winning streak, the Commanders will host the Falcons at Northwest Stadium.

The Commanders stunned the Eagles 36-33 in Week 16, overcoming a 13-point fourth-quarter deficit and five turnovers. Jayden Daniels delivered a masterful performance, leading the team in rushing and throwing five touchdown passes. Now at 10-5, Washington has matched its highest win total since 1991 but still needs a win to secure a playoff berth.

Atlanta made headlines by benching Kirk Cousins in favor of rookie Michael Penix Jr., who was supported by a dominant defense. Two pick-sixes and Bijan Robinson’s two rushing touchdowns fueled a 34-7 victory over the Giants, propelling Atlanta back atop the NFC South after Tampa Bay’s loss to Dallas.

PICK – OVER 47.0 TOTAL POINTS

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