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These free NFL expert picks and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.
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START BUILDING PROPS!HOUSTON TEXANS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
TEAM TRENDS
- The Chiefs have won 19 of their last 20 games.
- Each of the last 5 games between the Texans and Chiefs have gone over.
- The Texans have scored first in their last 9 games and won the first half in 10 of their last 11.
- The Chiefs have scored last in their last 6 home games.
- The Chiefs have covered in 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 9 | 5 | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| KAN | 13 | 1 | 7-0 | 6-1 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| HOU | 23.4 | 21.4 | +2.0 | 44.8 |
| KAN | 23.5 | 18.5 | +5.0 | 42.0 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| HOU | UNDER | KAN |
| +3.5 | 41.5 | 27-19 |
MATCH PREVIEW
Kansas City host Houston at GEHA Field on Saturday afternoon in a clash of two playoff-bound teams.
Kansas City extended its win streak to four with a 21-7 win over the Browns, highlighted by a big defensive showing with six takeaways, their most since 2016. However, Patrick Mahomes’ availability is uncertain after suffering a high-ankle sprain, potentially impacting the Chiefs’ pursuit of the AFC’s top seed.
The Texans clinched the AFC South with a 20-12 win over the Dolphins, fueled by a defense that forced four turnovers, bringing their tally to 25 over the last nine games. With both defenses in peak form, points may come at a premium in this showdown.
PICK – UNDER 41.5 TOTAL POINTS
BET NOWPITTSBURGH STEELERS @ BALTIMORE RAVENS
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
TEAM TRENDS
- The Steelers have won their last 6 games as underdogs against the Ravens.
- Each of the last 8 games between the Steelers and Ravens have gone under.
- The Ravens have failed to cover in 7 of their last 8 home games against AFC North opponents.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PIT | 10 | 4 | 5-1 | 5-3 |
| BAL | 9 | 5 | 4-2 | 5-3 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| PIT | 24.0 | 18.9 | +5.1 | 42.9 |
| BAL | 29.9 | 23.7 | +6.2 | 53.6 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| PIT | OVER | BAL |
| +6.5 | 45.5 | 34-17 |
MATCH PREVIEW
The Ravens host the Steelers in a big AFC North clash with playoff seeding on the line.
The Ravens are riding high after a 35-14 win over the Giants, where Lamar Jackson shined with 290 passing yards, five touchdowns, and 65 rushing yards. However, Jackson has struggled historically against Pittsburgh, throwing just five touchdowns in seven career meetings, with Baltimore winning only twice.
The Steelers won their Week 11 matchup 18-16 after a failed Ravens two-point conversion. Pittsburgh, now 10-4, aims to rebound from a 27-13 loss to the Eagles, where their rushing attack was stifled to a season-low 56 yards. That sets up a tough test against Baltimore’s league-best run defense, allowing just 80.7 yards per game.
PICK – PITTSBURGH +6.5
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