NFL – Thursday Night Picks & Player Props – Week 11

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These free NFL expert picks and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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HOTTEST ROI BETTING TRENDS

  1. Washington Commanders – 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (69% ROI)
  2. Washington Commanders – 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (66% ROI)
  3. Philadelphia Eagles – 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (64% ROI)
  4. Washington Commanders – Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (56% ROI)
  5. Philadelphia Eagles – 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (58% ROI)

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

TEAM TRENDS

  • 8 of the Commanders’ last 9 road games have gone over.
  • Eagles have won 8 of their last 9 Thursday games.
  • Commanders have scored first in 5 of their last 6 games.
  • Commanders have won the 1st half in 7 of their last 8 games.
  • Commanders have failed to cover in 6 of their last 7 games vs. teams with a winning record.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
WAS 7 3 4-1-0 3-2-0
PHI 7 2 3-1-0 4-1-0

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
WAS 29.0 21.7 +7.3 50.7
PHI 25.9 17.9 +8.0 43.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
PHI OVER PHI
-3.5 48.5 26-18
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • A.J. Brown has a TD in 3 of the Eagles’ last 4 games vs. Commanders.
  • Brian Robinson has a TD in 9 of his last 10 road games.
  • DeVonta Smith has a TD in 7 of the Eagles’ last 8 games at Lincoln Financial Field.
  • Austin Ekeler has a TD in the Commanders’ last 2 games.
  • Saquon Barkley has a TD in his last 4 games vs. Commanders.
  • Terry McLaurin has a TD in his last 4 road games.
  • Jayden Daniels has a TD in 3 of the Commanders’ last 4 games as underdogs.
  • Jalen Hurts has 2+ passing TDs in his last 4 games vs. Commanders.
  • Jalen Hurts has 2+ rushing TDs in 3 of the Eagles’ last 4 games.
  • Terry McLaurin has 98+ receiving yards in 3 of the Commanders’ last 4 games.
  • DeVonta Smith has 64+ receiving yards in 6 of the Eagles’ last 7 games at Lincoln Financial Field.
  • Dallas Goedert has 46+ receiving yards in 4 of the Eagles’ last 5 home games vs. NFC East teams.
  • Saquon Barkley has 126+ rushing + receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games as a fav vs. NFC East teams.
  • Dante Fowler Jr. has 1.0+ sacks in 5 of the Commanders’ last 6 games.
  • Jayden Daniels has not thrown an interception in the Commanders’ last 5 games.

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MATCH PREVIEW

Division rivals with 7 wins each, the Commanders and Eagles face off in a battle under the lights at Lincoln Financial Field for Thursday Night Football.

The Eagles are in top form, having smashed the Cowboys 34-6 at AT&T Stadium for their fifth straight win. Phillie’s defense was top-tier, holding Dallas to just 49 passing yards and forcing five turnovers, while Jalen Hurts added four total touchdowns, ranking second in the league for rushing scores this season.

The Commanders are coming off a narrow 28-27 home loss to the Steelers. Jayden Daniels struggled, completing just 17 of 34 passes for 202 yards with no touchdowns, resulting in Washington relinquishing the NFC East lead to Philadelphia.

PICK – PHILADELPHIA -3.5

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